Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPERMAN Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 Sep25 Aug19 (mcl)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 2.50 ★    
2  KAI'S STATEMENT Dec04 Nov26 Nov12 Oct16 Sep18 (morfin sergio)HARVEY B 120 20.00    
3  ROARING TIGER Dec02 Nov06 Oct02 Aug26 Aug06 (france reid)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 ★    
4  MR NAVIGATOR Nov19 Sep17 Sep03 Jun26 May28 (wong jonathan)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.50 74% 0.40    
5  MY LITTLE TAYLOR Oct09 Oct02 Sep09 Aug26 Jul23 (lucas robert )PAYERAS EDGAR 120 15.00    
6  SAFE COMBINATION Nov24 Oct14 Oct02 Sep03 Aug26 (france reid)FREY KYLE 124 4.50 ★    
7  CHRIS FIX Nov27 Oct22 Sep25 Aug19 Jul29 (marquez alfr)DESORMEAUX J 120 3.50 ★    
 
LRC-2   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KRIXUS FLASH Nov25 Sep16 Sep01 Jul24 Jun19 (stute gary)FREY KYLE 122 5.00 13% 6.70    
2  MR. FIGHTER Nov12 Sep16 Sep01 Jul31 Jul10 (deleon rafael)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 20.00 ★    
3  VIOLET CROWN Nov20 Oct23 Sep24 Sep09   (dollase crai)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 112 1.80 ★    
4  ANTICIPATED Aug11 Jul10       (aguirre pau)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00 29% 2.50    
5  LORD OF LIGHT Nov12 Sep25 Jul30     (hollendorfe)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 1.40 33% 2.10    
6  DRUIDIC Dec02 Nov18 Sep16 Aug14   (amescua ren)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
 
LRC-3   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN GEM Dec02 Oct21 Sep01 Jul29 Jul09 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 8.00    
2  GALARINA Oct28 Sep16 Jul29 Jul02 Jun11 (dunham daniel)CURATOLO RYAN 122 15.00    
3  OREO'S DREAM Oct15 Sep18 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 (raudales jose)MATIAS J 122 30.00    
4  A BROKEN BREEZE Oct16 Sep05 Aug11 Jun08 May28 (harris andr)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 13% 7.00    
5  WILD ARCH Nov19 Nov06 Oct07 Sep23 Aug18 (saavedra an)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
6  BOWL OF CHERRIES Nov19 Oct21 Oct07 Oct01 Sep04 (mora leandro)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
7  SAILING ALONG Nov19 Oct22 Sep15 Sep03 Jul31 (saldana ree)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 10.00 8% 11.90    
8  STATEFOREST Nov05 Oct16 Sep18 Sep03 Jul01 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
9  LOUD LOUD MUSIC Dec02 Nov06 Oct15 Sep04   (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
LRC-4   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSTY B CAUSE Dec03 Nov04 Sep10 Aug06   (papaprodromo)DESORMEAUX J 120 10.00    
2  BIG FRANK DA TANK Jul09 Jun05       (kitchingman)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 3.00 12% 7.00    
3  CROSS EXAMINE Dec04 Nov04 Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 (aquino m)HARVEY B 124 8.00 8% 11.00    
4  MAUI ROAD         (hernandez jose)ORTEGA CESAR 124 20.00    
5  ALEX'S DREAM Nov16 Nov06 Oct15 Oct07 Sep23 (baze t)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 20.00    
6  INESPERADO (FR) Dec03 Jan08       (cassidy james)VALDIVIA JR 124 3.50    
7  ROYAL ORB Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 Mar26   (gomez ruben)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 8.00    
8  ABSOLUTE TRUTH Sep17 Jun26       (copeland lisa)MATIAS J 124 30.00    
9  WHISKEY VISION Dec04 Nov04 Sep01 Aug11 Jun25 (brinkerhoff val)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  ARMAVEER Nov12 Oct22 Sep25 Aug19 Jul09 (scolamieri )HERRERA A 124 4.50 6% 14.40    
SCR  BIG BROTHER Dec03 Oct28 Oct02 Sep25 Aug28 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  COLLEGE BOY Oct09 Aug06 May30     (powell leon)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 10.00    
 
LRC-5   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TODAY MATTERS Nov05 Sep24 Aug19 Aug04 Jul09 (ruiz lorenzo)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 4.00    
2  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Nov27 Oct23 Sep23 Aug19 Jul24 (wong jonath)HERRERA A 124 4.00 ★    
3  SUMO (ARG) Nov27 Oct23 Sep23 Aug18 Jul23 (wong jonath)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  BIG TALKER Nov11 Oct16 Oct07 Aug05 Jun04 (pineda milton)CURATOLO RYAN 124 2.50 ★    
5  SALTO DE TIGRE Nov06 Oct14 Sep05 Aug12 Jul22 (ruiz lorenzo)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
6  SONIC BREES Oct28 Oct09 Sep24 Aug13 Jul23 (ganbat enebish)CEDILLO ABEL 124 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
LRC-6   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON DROP SHOT Nov26 Jan17       (wong jonathan)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  STAMP MY PASSPORT         (powell leonar)CURATOLO RYAN 120 8.00    
3  SMILE FOR GLORY Oct16 Oct02       (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 120 4.00 ★    
4  AGADOR SPARTACUS Nov26 Nov04 Oct09 Aug18 Feb06 (brinkerhoff val)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
5  MAGNIFICENT RIDE Oct16 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 Jun26 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 120 1.20 45% 1.20    
6  CAROL'S COMIC Nov26 Oct23 Aug28 Aug06 Jun26 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 120 6.00 ★    
 
LRC-7   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($32K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESPECTFULLY Oct16 Sep17 Jul31 Jun19 May14 (barocio li)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50    
2  TROUVILLE Dec02 Sep18 Sep05 Aug07 Apr08 (powell leon)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 4.00 14% 6.30    
3  INVINCIBELLA (GB) Nov25 Oct30 Oct10 Sep04 Aug05 (knapp steve)HERRERA A 124 12.00 11% 8.20    
4  SO IT WOULD SEEM Nov19 Oct10 Sep11 Aug07 Jun10 (miller peter)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 5.00    
5  DOUBLE FANTASY Sep11         (quinonez rol)DESORMEAUX J 124 6.00 ★    
6  CRIMSON ROSE Nov13 Sep30 Sep02 Aug07 Jun17 (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  HARPER'S GALLOP Oct15 Sep17 Aug21 May14   (powell leonard)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 ★    
 
LRC-8   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL AMONG US Nov06         (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
2  CHARBONNEAU Jul23 Jul01 Jun12     (howey quinn)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 4.50 6% 15.20    
3  LOGON TO WIN         (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 122 20.00    
4  MY RANSOM Nov06 Oct22 Sep23 Aug26 Jul24 (sierra javier)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 15.00    
5  CATHEDRAL LIGHT Nov18 Sep23 Aug27     (hollendorfer j)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00 6% 16.50    
6  EDDIE CROSSWIRE         (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
7  SPIRITUAL ADVISOR         (bon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00    
8  BRONZE ONE         (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 30.00    
9  CALCULATED SPIN Dec03 Nov20 Nov11 Oct10 Aug14 (davis c)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 30.00    
10  THIRSTY PAPPY Sep23 Aug20 Jul23     (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
11  BRONKO NAGURSKI         (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.