Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Thursday - September 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-1   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG MONDAY Sep16 Aug05 Jul17 May29 May14 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 123 3.50    
2  M AND M GIRL Sep19 Aug20       (arceo salvado)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  BREW CASA Sep16 Aug15 Jul16 Jul02 Jun06 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 4.00 ★    
4  JACK'S PARTY GIRL Sep16 Aug15 Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  JAZZ BRUNCH Sep16 Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  VICTORY BOLT Sep09 Aug05 Jul16 Jun17   (mcshane d)DE CRUZ 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
PRM-2   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COCO BRAVADO Sep18 Jul29 Jun17 May27 May06 (spagnola ida)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00    
2  RETALIATED Sep18         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00 11% 8.50    
3  TIN BADGE Aug29 Aug01 Jul18 Jul02 Jun13 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 116 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  APPLICANT Aug22 Aug12 Jul24 May28 May14 (chlebo)FLETCHER D 116 12.00 ★    
5  SMOKING GUN (GB) Sep11 Jul31       (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 5.00 ★    
6  TOPPER T Sep05 Jun25 Jun06 May15 Mar05 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 116 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
PRM-3   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED SKY Aug19         (anderson l)BIRZER E 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
2  ARISTOCAT Aug12 Jul25 Jul08 Jun24 Jun06 (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 2.50 ★    
3  PRINCE OF EARL Sep12 Jun30 May02 Apr27 Apr04 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 6.00 ★    
4  MEET GEORGE JETSON Aug12 Jun25 Jun12 May22   (hemba bra)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
5  JOE BILL Sep12 Aug22 Jul10 Jun03 Mar26 (smith p)CORBETT W 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  LUCKY DUDE Sep12 Aug19 Jul25 Jun24 Jun06 (anderson l)TOHILL S 120 4.00 ★    
 
PRM-4   09/29/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 2 F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY STROLL Aug21 Aug05 Jul22     (wellington tom)TOHILL S 119 4.00    
2  STARGRAZER         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  ESPIRIDION         (chleborad)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 17% 5.00    
4  MOLLY BYE O Sep18 Sep02 Aug21 Jul25 Jul01 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 2.00 ★    
5  FARRAH FOWLER Sep16 Sep02       (martin)FLETCHER D 119 2.50 ★    
6  APRETTYLULABY         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
PRM-5   09/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 2 F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FOUR POINT OH         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 8.00 ★    
2  KID BIZ Sep16 Sep02 Aug21 Aug05 Jul22 (jacquot gene)TOHILL S 119 5.00    
3  GOOD N LUCKY Sep18 Sep02       (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 119 6.00 9% 10.10    
4  FLAT OUT ROSE Sep18 Sep02       (murphy tr)DE CRUZ 119 2.00 61% 0.60    
5  BE SINCERE Sep18 Aug21 Jul25 Jul01 Jun19 (fett brandi)MARTINEZ A 119 3.00 ★    
6  SMACKIN GOOD TIME Sep18 Sep02       (schutz pam)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50 ★    
7  KAMEA Sep16 Sep02 Aug21 Jul25 Jul01 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 10.00    
 
PRM-6   09/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBIN TAIL Jun10 May06 Apr24 Mar18 Jan23 (smith p)BIRZER E 122 2.00 ★    
2  ITALIAN JUSTICE Sep11 Aug05 Jul24     (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 122 5.00 ★    
3  CLAY'S MOON STONE Sep18 Aug06 Jun10 Feb23 Jan19 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
4  CURLIN BLESSING Sep18 Aug05 Apr28 Apr11 Mar21 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  ALL GOOD TIMES Sep18 Aug06 Jul08 Jun10 Apr03 (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
PRM-7   09/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOCTURNAL MISSION Sep16 Aug15 Jun04 Apr30 Mar23 (pearson m)CORBETT W 124 10.00 ★    
2  MAGIC IN A HAT Sep16 Aug29 Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
3  MIZZEN AIR Jun11 Apr20 Mar18 Feb27 Feb20 (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  LADY PHYLLIS Aug28 Jul30 Jul13 May28 Apr15 (arceo salvado)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00 8% 12.20    
5  IRISH CONTESSA Sep16 Aug08 Jul16 Jul02 Jun13 (arceo salvador)TOHILL S 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
6  READY TO GET LOUD Sep16 Sep09 Aug29 Jul31 Jun24 (martin)FLETCHER D 121 6.00    
7  FANCY GI GI Sep19 Aug05 Jun25 Jun10 May07 (gustafson au)JORDAN R 124 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.