Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - September 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE MAGIC Sep04 Aug12 Jul10 Jun18 May23 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
2  PRINCESS TRINA Aug19 Aug05 Jul10 Jun24 Jun13 (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  FASHION FACT Sep16 Aug19 Jul23 Jun13 May20 (condon schuyl)CANCHARI ALEX 119 8.00 ★    
4  JITTERS Aug29 Aug12       (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 4.00 ★    
5  BAYLEYWICK Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 Jun03 (hicklin c)DE CRUZ 116 1.60 31% 2.30    
6  FIVE ROSES LUNA Sep05 Aug13 Jul23 Jun25 Jun12 (zielinski gre)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 10.00    
 
PRM-6   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($15.201K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIT A BAD NEWS Sep05 Jul31 Jul16 Jun27 Jun18 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 121 2.50 ★    
2  DELIGHT SURPRISE Sep05 Aug20 Aug13 Jun18 May29 (martin)FLETCHER D 124 8.00 10% 9.30    
3  FREEIA TAP Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 Jul10 Jun05 (young scott )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 ★    
4  PALACEDANCER Aug21 Jul10 Jun24     (martin willia)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 4.00    
5  REDNECKER Sep05 Aug20 Aug13 Jul04 Jun18 (martin timot)JORDAN R 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
6  TROUBLE IN RED Sep16 Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 Jun27 (young e)CANCHARI ALEX 121 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
PRM-7   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.856K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LURCH Sep16 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
2  JUST JOHNNY Sep11 Aug15 Jul15 Jun11 May28 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 3.50 ★    
3  PURE CRYSTAL Sep16 Sep03 Jun17 Jun11 May27 (arceo salvador)BIRZER E 123 4.00 25% 3.10    
4  WELLER ROGUE Sep05 Aug14 Jul15 Jun20 May30 (tracy tanner)CANCHARI ALEX 120 6.00    
5  A BRUSH OF LUCK Sep11 Aug20 Aug08 Jul16 Jun25 (murphy tr)DE CRUZ 116 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  SHATTERED DREAMS Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 Jul02 (bolinger robert )TOHILL S 119 10.00    
7  WIN IN THE CITY Aug28 Aug15 Jul15 Jun05 May21 (young e)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00 ★    
 
PRM-8   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20.704K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET BLARNEY Sep11 Aug21 Jul18 Jun25 Jun05 (young scott )JORDAN R 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
2  NOT ROCKET SCIENCE Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 Jul11 (clark r)TOHILL S 123 4.00 ★    
3  KING DEUCE Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 Jun05 May22 (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 8.00 ★    
4  OSCAR WINNER WALLY Sep19 Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 Jul01 (lemburg mark)BIRZER E 123 1.60 ★    
5  REDNECKERTHANYOU Aug29         (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  STORMIN' J. J. Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul24 Jul10 (villafranco m)CANCHARI ALEX 119 10.00    
 
PRM-9   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERRY'S EIGHTY Jun11 May21 Apr10 Mar11 Feb11 (smith p)BIRZER E 120 4.00 ★    
2  CHICKS DIG SCARS Sep09 Aug07 Jul24 Jul08 Jun10 (arnett g)TOHILL S 121 6.00 ★    
3  MOTO MOTO Sep09 Aug07 Jun25 May29   (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 2.00 32% 2.20    
4  GOOD SCOUT Jun25 May21 Apr02 Mar17 Feb18 (caldwell r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  BIG THORN Sep09 Jul24 Jul02 Jun17 May16 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 1.80 28% 2.60    
 
PRM-10   09/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIANNA'S JET Sep03 Jul17 Jun10 May21 Jan19 (guillory henr)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
2  TAPTHATLUCK Aug29 Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Jun10 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 117 5.00 13% 6.60    
3  XCARET Aug08 Jun20 May29 Apr08 Feb19 (guillory he)QUINONEZ ALONSO 116 10.00    
4  CYCLONE SORORITY Sep05 Aug12 Jul23 Jul10 Jun12 (gonzalez isa)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00 ★    
5  REBEL RISING Aug29 Aug12 Jul15 Jun27 Jun10 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 117 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  SASSY AIN'T I Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 Jul03 Jun17 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 117 2.00 18% 4.70    
7  SWEET LAURA Sep05 Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 (guillory henr)CANCHARI ALEX 116 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.