Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Sunday - September 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-7   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.856K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IVY ABAD GIRL Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 Jun24 May27 (wellington to)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 4.00 7% 14.20    
REMITTANCE SENT Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 Jun12 (clark r)CANCHARI ALEX 118 15.00    
SHELBY TO Aug28 Aug14 Aug06 Jul22   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  LET'S GO LACEY Aug29 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 (roe ro)FLETCHER D 120 12.00 6% 16.80    
BIGMONEYHUNNY Jul15 Jun26 May27     (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 118 5.00    
LULUS FLIGHT BOOTS Aug21 Jul04 May29 May13   (martin william)ZIEGLER ZACK 119 8.00    
CAMCORDIA Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jul03 (martin e)BIRZER E 119 8.00    
GARBO SPEAKS Sep02 Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 (hemba brad)JORDAN R 118 3.50 47% 1.10    
SHY RUNNER Aug20 Jul16 Jun12 May22   (martin wi)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
 
PRM-8   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE TO FAIL Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul08 Jun12 (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 4.00 10% 9.50    
BALI STAR Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 May03 Apr21 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 120 3.50    
MY NOAH Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 May20 (martin n)TOHILL S 120 10.00 7% 14.20    
FREER Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 Jun25 Jun12 (martin timot)JORDAN R 118 5.00 14% 6.30    
SMOKING GUN (GB) Jul31         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
KLIMCO Aug22 Mar09 Feb19 Jan30   (caldwell )DE CRUZ 120 2.00    
SCR  WORTHTHEMONEY Aug28 Jul22 Jun27 Jun03 May14 (martin william)ZIEGLER ZACK 123 15.00    
 
PRM-9   09/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($24.767K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST JOHNNY Aug15 Jul15 Jun11 May28   (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00    
TWIRLING CHIEF Aug15 Jul16 Jun20 May28 May16 (guillory j)TOHILL S 124 2.50 11% 8.30    
BOTTOMLESS Aug20 Aug01 Jul10     (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 3.50    
MIDNIGHT RULES Aug08 Jul11 Jun20 Jun06 May21 (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 10.00    
SPALDING STROLL Aug15 Jul25 Jun20 Jun05 Apr17 (tracy tanner)CANCHARI ALEX 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
A BRUSH OF LUCK Aug20 Aug08 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 (murphy tr)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 35% 1.80    
NAUTICAL MISS Aug26 Jul31 Jul16 Jun27 Jun18 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 112 12.00 7% 13.70    
 
PRM-10   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Jul11 Jun27 May23 Apr30 Apr03 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
JUSTA STREAK Aug22 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 May28 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 116 4.00    
SCR  BROTHER AARON Jun19 May27 Apr16 Apr01 Feb21 (caldwell r)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00    
LODE OF BLARNEY Aug22 Aug12 Jul11 Jun18 May22 (gonzalez v)CORBETT W 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
SUN SQUALL Aug26 Jul29 Jul15 Jun04   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
SCR  MURDO Aug08 May13 Feb28 Feb06 Jan15 (dieter dalton)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 12.00    
DATA STORM Jul29 Jun17 May30 May07 Apr23 (martin e)BIRZER E 119 3.50    
SECRET BLARNEY Aug21 Jul18 Jun25 Jun05 May28 (young scott )JORDAN R 111 8.00 10% 9.30    
 
PRM-11   09/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL'S MELODY Aug12 Jul30 Jul17 Jul09 Jun17 (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
BLAZE AWAY N HIDE Aug05 Jul24 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (arnett g)JORDAN R 113 2.00 36% 1.80    
DIVA TREVA Aug05 Jul09 Jun20 May30   (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 116 3.50    
ITALIAN JUSTICE Aug05 Jul24       (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 119 8.00    
MISS MELODY Jul30 Jul04 Jun19 May27 May07 (clay pat)CORBETT W 119 10.00 15% 5.50    
EURO ME Jul24 Jul08 Jun19 May27 Apr29 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 8.00    
ROME'S BURNING Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 116 4.00    
 
PRM-12   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESLEYAN Jun12 May06 Apr22 Mar25 Mar05 (martin timot)JORDAN R 111 5.00    
LAKE RADIO Aug22 Jul29 Jul10     (smith p)BIRZER E 116 2.50 43% 1.30    
TURFY Aug22 Jul29 Jul08 Jun13 May28 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 4.00    
HELLEPHENT Aug19 Jan16       (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 116 3.00 18% 4.70    
TOO LATE Aug26 Jul29 May29 Apr03 Mar13 (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 119 8.00    
HIS GIANT Aug27 Jul31 Jul15 Jul03 Jun13 (clark dic)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 13% 6.70    
MY BOY GUS Aug20 Aug12 Jul31 Jul23 Jul03 (gonzalez isa)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 10.00    
CAPTAIN DON Aug22 Jul18 Jun24 May23 May07 (dieter dalton)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.