Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($44.554K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPTHATLUCK Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Jun10 May22 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 117 8.00 ★    
2  MISS PEACH Jul22 Jun27 Jun05 May15   (von kelly)CORBETT W 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  REBEL RISING Aug12 Jul15 Jun27 Jun10 Jun05 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 122 6.00 ★    
4  JUST LIKE TRISTA Aug07 Jul16 Jun27 Jun05 May15 (anderson )DE CRUZ 118 1.80 31% 2.20    
5  RAISIN RAISIN Aug05 Jul15 Jun27 Jun12 May13 (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00    
6  OLIVE OYL Aug08 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May16 (wellington tom)TOHILL S 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
PRM-5   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON IN THE SKY Aug08 Jul17 Jun24 May29 Mar20 (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 3.50 ★    
2  SEE THE PYRAMIDS Aug01 Jul15 Jun27 Mar19 Mar13 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
3  GOD'S PICK Aug12 Jul31 Jul22 Jul04 Jun10 (young scott )JORDAN R 116 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  MAGIC IN A HAT Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 Jun10 May28 (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 116 8.00    
5  STAGE DOOR Aug22 Jul30 Jun26 Jun03 May23 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 118 4.00 ★    
6  SEAZAN Aug08 Jul25 Jun24 Apr15 Mar18 (clark dic)DE CRUZ 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
PRM-6   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.201K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUSHING SCARLETT Aug20 Aug05 Jul03 Jun24 Jun05 (mcshane davi)JORDAN R 115 3.00 10% 9.10    
2  CALL THE SHOTS Jul30 Jun24 Jun12 May21   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 ★    
3  COLD AS YOU Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jun27 May22 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 3.50 14% 6.40    
4  SHIPS JEWEL Aug05 Jul16 Jun17 May27   (wellington to)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00 ★    
5  SOYBEAN Jul10 Jun12 Apr29 Apr15 Apr02 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 120 10.00    
SCR  DONNA'S HOPE Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 (roe w)TOHILL S 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  READY TO GET LOUD Jul31 Jun24 Jun17 May27 May13 (martinez )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
 
PRM-7   08/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY AIN'T ENOUGH         (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 5.00 ★    
2  FITZEA Jul30         (tracy tanner)CANCHARI ALEX 119 8.00    
3  LAWLESS JOHN         (murphy tr)DE CRUZ 116 10.00    
4  HUSKER BUTCH         (von kelly)TOHILL S 119 6.00    
5  GUSTAVO Aug08         (gustafson au)JORDAN R 114 4.00 ★    
6  LUV MAP         (murphy)FLETCHER D 116 10.00 ★    
7  OCEAN OF STORMS Aug08         (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
8  AFRAIDOFTHEBUNNY Aug14 Jul29       (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
PRM-8   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT CAVIAR Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 May27 (lemburg mark)TOHILL S 120 5.00 5% 18.60    
2  FAST SOPHIA Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 May30 May16 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 4.00 ★    
3  JITTERS Aug12         (arnett g)CANCHARI ALEX 124 3.50    
4  TALLANDLONG Aug01 Jul01 Jun18 May06 Apr24 (gleason tyrone)CORBETT W 124 8.00 58% 0.70    
5  LET'S GO LACEY Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 May15 (roe rober)DE CRUZ 117 6.00 9% 10.50    
6  FIREY EMBLEM Aug12 Jul23 Jul10 Jun05 May17 (hunt charlton)BIRZER E 120 3.00 ★    
7  NO ONE CARES Jul01 Jun11 May30 May14 Mar06 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
SCR  WUMPMUG Aug12 Jul10 Jun13 May27 May06 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00    
 
PRM-9   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($44.554K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAHOMES Aug14 Jul30 Jul18 Jul04 Jun13 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00    
2  SHUT UP MAN Aug01 Jul18 Jun04 May14   (murphy)FLETCHER D 118 8.00    
3  TIN BADGE Aug01 Jul18 Jul02 Jun13 Apr30 (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 122 2.50 ★    
4  JOHN R Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 Jun13 May22 (hemba bra)DE CRUZ 122 10.00 11% 8.00    
5  RUNNING ALEX'SBAND Aug21 Aug01 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 12% 7.50    
6  ALLEN'S ROCKET Aug08 Jul16 Jun25 Jun05 May14 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
7  GREEDY CREEDY Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun06 (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
 
PRM-10   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.511K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDNECKERTHANYOU         (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  STORMIN' J. J. Aug14 Aug01 Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 (villafranco m)CANCHARI ALEX 120 4.00    
3  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Jul31 Jun26 Jun03 May21   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 10.00    
4  MAFIA DON Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jul01 Jun12 (martinez )DE CRUZ 120 15.00 ★    
5  IT'S ALL ABOUT JOE Aug15 Jul15 Jun20 Jun11 May21 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 124 3.00    
6  MATCHLOCK Aug22 Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 Jun27 (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00 ★    
7  DISCREET INVASION Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 Jun04 May23 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
8  PHILLIP JUSTIN Jun26 Jun12       (fett b)FLETCHER D 118 15.00    
9  LAUNCHED Aug14 Jul31 Jul01 Jun12 May23 (zielinski gr)JORDAN R 115 8.00    
10  SWEET WHEAT Aug14 Jul25 Jun25 Jun04 May15 (von kelly)CORBETT W 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.