Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - August 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   08/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTENT TO STRIKE Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 6.00 11% 8.00    
2  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Aug05 Jul30 Jun22 Jun06 Mar31 (brown r)WALCOTT W 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  QUINTO SOL Aug06 Jul22 Jun03 May20 Mar23 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 ★    
4  GRAY ADMIRAL Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 Jun10 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
5  NORTHERNLOCOMOTIVE Aug06 Jul30 Jun24     (petrowski joa)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 5.00    
6  NEVVARE Aug19 Jul23 Jul08 Jul01 Jun18 (cone rodne)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 8.00 ★    
 
CTM-2   08/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAR NO Q Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04   (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 124 2.50 ★    
2  BOOKIE Jul29 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 3.00 ★    
3  LONESOME CAT Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Jun11   (ward anderso)WALCOTT W 124 6.00 ★    
4  WHERE'S THE GOLD Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 May21 (bell ken)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00    
5  RYANWATER Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Jun10 May21 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 2.00 31% 2.30    
6  IRISH TRICK Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 May13 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
 
CTM-3   08/26/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Aug12 Jul23 Jul15 Jun10   (fre)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
2  HANDSOME HENRY Aug12 Jul15       (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 121 15.00    
3  KISS AWAY Jul23 Jul09       (smith craig )WALCOTT W 121 3.00 11% 8.00    
4  VICTORY AT LAST Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 May27 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 126 4.00 28% 2.60    
5  MUSIC HOUR Jun04         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 121 5.00    
6  MIDNITE CHILL Aug13         (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 121 8.00 11% 8.10    
7  SANSOME Jul23         (palma milton)NELSON DANE 121 10.00    
8  EXPO Jul09 May27 May07     (robertson jer)ZENTENO EDGAR 126 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.