Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Monday - August 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APOLLO BAY Aug05 Jul30 Jun20 Jun11 May14 (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 4.50    
FAKE SOLUTION Jul30 May29 May16 Mar26   (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 125 2.50 22% 3.40    
SCR  SPORTY FLYER Aug05 Jul04 Jun10 Mar20 Jan28 (martin e)TOHILL S 125 4.00 19% 4.20    
CLEARLY MAD Jul30 Jun25 Jun10 May29   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
TEQUILA Aug14 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 May21 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 5.00    
LUCKS BIG BOY Aug05 Jul04 Jun19 May29 May07 (martin timothy )ROMAN KEVIN 125 12.00    
DREAMER'S DELIGHT Jul31 May22 Apr23 Apr07 Mar11 (martin timot)JORDAN R 115 10.00    
 
PRM-5   08/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE BILL Jul10 Jun03 Mar26     (smith kenny )JORDAN R 115 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  LOONSHOT Aug12 Jul25 Jul08     (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00    
MORO FLYBOY Jun24 May13       (gustafson austi)ROMAN KEVIN 124 8.00    
HALEY'S BEAU         (smith ken)TRIANA JR 120 10.00    
R SERENGETI Jun17 Jun03 May13     (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 124 4.00    
SCR  LAMELO Jul31 Jul10 Jun12     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50    
BORK Jul31 Jul08 Jun12 May24 May09 (young e)CORBETT W 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
PRM-6   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19.918K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATCHLOCK Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 Jun27 May22 (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 10.00 13% 6.70    
APPLICANT Aug12 Jul24 May28 May14   (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00    
ITSALLABOUTYOU Aug12 Jun26 Jun05 May22   (tracy tanner)CANCHARI ALEX 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
SAY IT NICELY Aug01 Jul24 Jul01 May28 May14 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
GONE WITH THE FINN Jul24 Jul01 Jun18     (mcshane d)TOHILL S 124 3.00    
NOSBOR Jul11 Jul01 May28 May14 Mar29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 8.00    
DISCREET INVASION Jul31 Jul18 Jun04 May23   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
PRM-7   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 2 ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUMONI FLOAT Aug06 Jul17       (jacquot gene)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
DARK BARON Aug06         (young e)CORBETT W 119 12.00    
SCR  PALACE JESTER Jul11         (mcshane d)TRIANA JR 119 20.00    
WARREN L Jul23         (anderson doug)CANCHARI ALEX 119 15.00    
KOBE'S CAUSE Aug06         (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
SANGRIA SKY Aug06 Jul23 Jul11 Jun20   (tibbit)FLETCHER D 119 4.00    
PALACE GUARD Jul23         (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 119 4.50 18% 4.40    
LEAPIN TY MAN Jul29         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 12.00 17% 5.00    
OPPOSITION Jul23 Jul02       (fett brandi)JORDAN R 114 15.00    
10  MADETHEDEAN'SLIST Jul29         (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 119 12.00    
 
PRM-8   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 2 ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARAH'S BOY BLUE         (clay p)FLETCHER D 119 15.00    
SCR  NINETEEN HUNDRED         (hansen ty)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
STROLLN WITH STELA Jul29 Jun20       (guillory j)TOHILL S 119 20.00    
ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Aug06 Jul23 Jun20     (rarick wade)BIRZER E 119 3.50 9% 9.70    
TEMPLE CITY RUN Aug06 Jul02       (young scott )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 12.00    
SCR  LETS ROCK N STROLL         (dieter dalton)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 5.00    
IOWA CLUB Aug06 Jul02       (von kelly)CORBETT W 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
WILY WADE Jul11 Jun20       (mcshane d)TRIANA JR 119 20.00    
CALL ME Q Jul29 Jul02       (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
PRM-9   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.511K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAGE DOOR Jul30 Jun26 Jun03 May23 Jan07 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50    
LUCKY LOUIE Jul30 Jul01 Jun13 May20   (jordan todd )JORDAN R 115 4.00 7% 13.70    
COOL CAT CHARLIE Aug08 Jul10 Jun05 May21   (broberg karl)CANCHARI ALEX 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
TAP THE BRAKES Jul24 Jul10 Jun25 Jun11 May14 (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 120 10.00    
BET YOU A BEER Jul10 Jun25 Jun03     (mcshane d)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
HEZA WILD RIDE Jul30 Jul02 Jun13 May15   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  HALO JAX Jul31 Jun11 May14 Apr10 Mar20 (womochil jeff)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 12.00    
 
PRM-10   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN DON Jul18 Jun24 May23 May07 Apr24 (dieter dalton)CANCHARI ALEX 120 20.00 8% 11.90    
SHIP BOSS Jul29 Jul18 Jun25 May22   (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 3.00    
JUSTA STREAK Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 May28   (mcshane d)TOHILL S 117 8.00    
TURFY Jul29 Jul08 Jun13 May28 Apr10 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
KLIMCO Mar09 Feb19 Jan30     (caldwell )DE CRUZ 116 10.00 19% 4.30    
BOLD COWBOY Jul29 Jul08 Jun17     (mcfarlane da)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50    
WOKE UP IN LOVE Jul08 Jun25 Jun06 May23   (foley p)JORDAN R 112 20.00 15% 5.80    
SWAGGY GEORGE Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May30 May16 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00    
LODE OF BLARNEY Aug12 Jul11 Jun18 May22 Apr24 (gonzalez )TRIANA JR 120 12.00    
10  LAKE RADIO Jul29 Jul10       (smith p)BIRZER E 116 2.50 33% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.