Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ferndale
Sunday - August 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FER-2   08/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEPHYR CAT Jul09 Jun17       (howey quinn)KING MCKENZIE 126 10.00    
BEAUTYINTHEBEAST Aug13 Aug07 May08 Apr23 Mar27 (de pablo)HARVEY B 122 2.00 69% 0.50    
INEXPENSIVE STAR Jul31 Jul10 Jun26     (greiner ga)AMADOR RUIZ 126 1.80    
COUSIN NIECEY Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 May29 (ledezma )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 115 4.00    
HILLSDALE NATION Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 May27 May08 (mcdonald melan)SMITH E 122 3.00    
 
FER-3   08/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AT U LOVER Aug11 Jul03 Jun21     (maelfeyt bruno)WOOTEN W 126 3.50    
TAKES A VILLAGE Aug12         (rubin howa)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.50    
HYPHY Aug11 Jul14 Jul03 Jun21   (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 4.00 11% 7.90    
RACHEL'S LADY Jul22 Jul03 Jun21     (guerrero emilio)FLORES PABLO 126 5.00    
SCR  CHAY UP AND AWAY Aug13 Jan30 Jan16     (aquino m)HARVEY B 126 2.00 63% 0.60    
 
FER-4   08/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET MEG Jul04 Jun20 Jan21     (williams ala)HARVEY B 126 4.50    
QUEEN OF LOVE Aug07 Jul16 Jun19 May27 Jan28 (wong jonat)AMADOR RUIZ 126 1.80 50% 1.00    
STEEL NERVES Jul16 Jul01 Jun12 May20 Apr16 (gilmour jim)SMITH E 122 2.50    
SCR  ALL Aug04 Jul01 Apr15 Mar20 Feb18 (wong jonathan)KING MCKENZIE 126 3.00 21% 3.90    
LEAD ACTRESS Aug11 Jul04 Jun20     (maelfeyt bruno)WOOTEN W 126 6.00    
 
FER-5   08/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYER OPTION Jul23 Jul04 May28 Apr24   (baker d )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 115 4.50    
DON'T GET ME WRONG         (lucas j)KING MCKENZIE 122 5.00 8% 12.20    
SHANGHAI WILD CAT Jul23 Jul02 May06 Apr02 Mar12 (greiner ga)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.00    
BARNABY BONES Jul04 Jun21       (beckner l)HARVEY B 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
HELICOPTER PILOT Jul08         (aquino angela )SMITH E 126 1.60 58% 0.70    
 
FER-6   08/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADILLAC CHROME Aug12         (gale sandy)KING MCKENZIE 126 6.00    
CAPES HOT ROCKET Jul15 Jul04 Jun28     (guerrero e)AMADOR RUIZ 126 8.00 7% 12.90    
VERMEER Apr23 Mar20 Jan16     (naranjo )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 4.50    
DEBT MONGER Jul09 Mar19 Mar06 Feb20 Jan23 (aquino m)HARVEY B 126 2.00 9% 9.60    
TADEO Aug12 Jul03 Jun11     (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 3.00 58% 0.70    
SPEEDY TOM Aug14 Aug07       (guerrero emilio)FLORES PABLO 126 3.50    
 
FER-7   08/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNPOSSIBLE Jul23 Jul09 Jul02 May30 May13 (howey quinn)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.00    
BOY HOWDY Jul16 Jul15 Jul03 Jun27 Jun20 (cantrell margie)GOODGAME R 126 3.50 48% 1.10    
HARDY CHISEL Aug06 Jul09 Jun27 May14 Apr29 (greiner gary)SMITH E 126 12.00    
PERSEVERANCE Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May30   (howey qui)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
GOING AWAY PARTY Aug05 Jul10 Jun17 May13 Apr16 (aquino m)HARVEY B 126 4.00    
TIZ INDY Aug14 Aug07 Jul02     (naranjo sa)AMADOR RUIZ 126 10.00 29% 2.40    
HAWK'S RISING Jul22 Jul03 Jun20 Jun03 May15 (greiner gary)FLORES PABLO 126 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.