Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ferndale
Friday - August 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FER-1   08/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHANTOMS BOOK Jul15 Jul04 Jun20     (mcdevitt tiffani)HARVEY B 126 3.50 10% 9.30    
JAN'S BEST Jul15 Jul04 Jun21     (guerrero emili)SMITH E 126 2.00 41% 1.40    
ELECTRIC ELIZABETA Jun27 Jun20       (guerrero emil)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 25% 3.10    
MISSY PARKER Aug10 Jul14 Jun28 Jun20   (mcdevitt)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00    
MO SUGAFOOT Jul04 Jun28 Jun20     (beckner te)AMADOR RUIZ 126 1.60    
 
FER-2   08/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT LEWIS RIVERS Jul04 Jun20       (williams ala)HARVEY B 126 5.00    
SUNSET DRAGUNN Aug06 Jul24 Jun12 May30 May01 (greiner ga)AMADOR RUIZ 126 4.00 35% 1.90    
OFFICER OF WAR Aug04 Jul24 Jul17 Jun27   (guerrero emil)GUERRERO C 126 3.50 19% 4.20    
POTENTE ALBA Aug04 Jul15 Jul02 May22 Apr29 (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 2.50    
SIR LAUGHALOT         (howey quinn)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.00 19% 4.20    
 
FER-3   08/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEE STREET Aug05 Jul23 Jun27 Jun21 May28 (greiner gary)KING MCKENZIE 126 4.00 24% 3.20    
NICOLE GRACE Jul29 Jun05 May22 Apr30 Apr10 (thomas ruby)HARVEY B 126 1.20    
SUBTLE RIDE Jul15 Jul04 Jun27 Jun21 May06 (gale sandy)GOODGAME R 126 1.60 43% 1.30    
RAMONCITA LIGHT Aug12 May20 May06 Apr10 Mar19 (greiner ga)AMADOR RUIZ 126 5.00    
 
FER-4   08/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALINE Aug04 Jul02 Jun12 May22 Apr24 (howey quinn)FLORES PABLO 126 4.00    
WINGS OF THE WIND Aug10 Jun20       (cantrell margie)GOODGAME R 126 4.00 12% 7.40    
PULPITS POWER Aug12 Aug10 Jul29 Jul03 Jun20 (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 3.00 16% 5.30    
MAXINAMILLION Aug04 Jul10 Jun25 May30 May08 (tamayo isi)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.00 38% 1.60    
BERNIE'S BIG BOY Aug06 Jul24 Jul02 May14 May01 (miller quentin )KING MCKENZIE 126 8.00    
AMITY HARBOR Jul15 Jun21 Jan30 Jan09   (williams ala)HARVEY B 126 6.00    
 
FER-5   08/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTER GRACE Aug06 Jul17 Jul02 May07 Mar27 (mcdonald w)HARVEY B 117 6.00 10% 9.20    
WARNING SOUND Aug07 Jul09       (howey quinn)KING MCKENZIE 117 4.50 23% 3.40    
OMAHA RUTSCH Aug14 Jul23 Jul16 Jun05 May14 (de pablo)SMITH E 126 2.50    
ROYAL HEART Aug14 Jul15 Jul02 Jun12 May22 (de p)AMADOR RUIZ 126 10.00    
PEQUENO AVELITO Jul31 May29 May15 Apr24   (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00    
OLYMPIC SILVER Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May21 (ramos je)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 1.40 36% 1.80    
 
FER-6   08/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HULA KING Aug04 Jul17 Jun25 Jun03 May22 (tamayo isi)AMADOR RUIZ 126 3.00    
DREAMER'S REALITY Aug10 Jul15 Jul04 Jun20 Jun10 (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 2.00 33% 2.00    
FORT YORK Aug12 Jul14 Jul03 Jun20 Jan31 (maelfeyt bruno)HARVEY B 126 8.00 32% 2.10    
LONO Jul16 Jul14 Jul03 Jun28 Jun21 (williams a)GOODGAME R 126 4.00    
PIVOTAL FEVER Jul31 Jul17 Jun17 May08 Apr23 (howey quinn)KING MCKENZIE 126 5.00    
WILL IS CHILL Jul17 Jul03 May29 May01 Mar18 (ramos je)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 115 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.