Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Thursday - August 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   08/11/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLONDEONAMISSION Jul23 Jul07 Jun23 May13   (tharrenos)WILSON JAYNE 122 6.00    
SILVER DAHLIA Jul17 Jun30 May20     (mattine john)STEIN JUSTIN 122 4.50 30% 2.40    
PERSEVERANCIA Jul02 Jun11 Apr30     (banach dar)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
MY GIRL SKY Jul01 May27 Apr30     (vas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 2.00    
KITTEN'S ROMANCE Jul17 Jun24 Feb27 Jan28   (macrae donal)CARROLL DECLAN 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
LUZ DE LA LUNA Jul23 Jul01 Jun25 Jun11 May21 (squires nathan)SALLES LEO 119 8.00    
 
WO-2   08/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE RING Jul28         (dunslow a)HUSBANDS P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MORE SAVVY Jul28 Jul14 Jun23     (siddo barringto)HOYTE JASON 122 20.00    
CARIBBEAN KITTEN Jul14 Feb10 Jan13     (mcclachrie d)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
SILENT GUROO Jul28 Jul09       (marrocco j)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 3.00    
ROYAL CITY REIGN Jul14 Jun30 Jun09 May12 Apr23 (kierans d)SALLES LEO 124 12.00    
SOMEONE ELSE Jul14 Jun23 May26 May07 Apr16 (ritchie s)WILSON JAYNE 122 4.50 11% 8.40    
ICE FLOE Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 May22   (tiller rober)CARROLL DECLAN 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
WO-3   08/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE CARRYCOMB Aug04 Jul16 Jun30 Jun10 May08 (mohabir chetram)HEIN NICOLE 113 20.00    
NICOLE'S SONG Jul21 Jun16       (mck)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
SHAZEEN Jul29 May12       (eshelman bonn)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 10.00    
T'PRING Jul21 Jul09 Jun17     (cole-simps)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 6.00    
PRINCESS LAVENDER Jul19 Jun27 May31     (rabstein claudi)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00    
JOLIE DAVINA Jul09 Jun17       (belhumeur juli)JORDAN COREY 124 8.00    
SCR  EXECUTIVE EFFECT Jul21         (dunslow a)HUSBANDS P 120 1.60 59% 0.70    
 
WO-4   08/11/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($48.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALTH MISSION Jan21         (day-phillips)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 8.00    
STAR SCHOLAR Jul21 Jun30 Jun09     (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  FIFTY THREE Jul22 Jul01 Jun16     (gracey philli)HOYTE JASON 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUPER HEADLINE Jul22         (attard k)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
HARDWARE GAP Jul02 Jun04 May22 May07   (brooks)ALDERSON IAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SNOOKERED Jul08 Jun19 May27 May20   (ranford kathry)SAMUEL SHAWN 121 20.00    
UNDER SURVEILLANCE Jul24 Jul03 Jun03 May14 Apr23 (tharrenos will)STEIN JUSTIN 121 3.00    
I AM RESILIENT Jul22 Jun24 May22     (tiller robert )CIVACI SAHIN 119 8.00    
UH OH IT'S MAGIC Jul23 Jun04 May14     (halden rachel)BAHEN R 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  QUIET INTENT         (greer bran)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 15.00    
 
WO-5   08/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($49.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETS RUN TWO Jul14 Jun23 Mar31 Mar10 Feb12 (biamonte ralph)CIVACI SAHIN 120 10.00    
VENENOSA Jul14 Jul01 Jun17 Jun02 May26 (squires nathan)HUSBANDS P 120 8.00    
GOLDSTORM GLORY Jul14 Jun18 May21 Apr24 Mar13 (cox gail)STEIN JUSTIN 120 12.00    
BUTTERED TOAST Jul16 Jun16 May19     (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 125 4.00 13% 6.90    
HALLANVAARA Jul30 Jul01 Jun02 May19 Apr30 (holder tedston)HOYTE JASON 122 6.00    
BODACIOUS MISS Jul14 Jul03 Jun18     (owens steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 3.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  ADMONISH Jul15 Jul02 Jun02 May14   (squires nath)CARROLL DECLAN 121 12.00    
SILVER MAGNATIZED Jul23 Jun25 May27 Apr23   (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
WO-6   08/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($53.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISHIYAYA Jul28 Jul09 Jun26     (mattine mi)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 121 4.50    
TEACHER'S PET Jul28 Jul02 Jun04     (attard c)CIVACI SAHIN 121 10.00    
RED EQUINOX Jun26         (attard jamie)NICHOLLS KEVEH 123 8.00    
MONASTERY LANE         (richards)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
SILENT CAUSEWAY Jul21 Jun26 Jun05     (krasauskaite lau)HUSBANDS P 123 2.00 25% 2.90    
SUPER LUNAR Jul28 Jul03 May19 May06 Mar25 (ritchie s)WILSON JAYNE 121 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
WO-7   08/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($108.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORESTER'S FORTUNE Jul17 Jun19 Jun05     (barrow r)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 6.00    
KAWACATOOSE Jul10 Jun26 May28 May08   (mcdonald michael )BAHEN R 125 3.00 20% 4.00    
WARP RIDE Jul17 Jun19 May29 May07 Apr17 (smith andrew)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
ROCKCREST Jul13 Jun05 May12     (burke nigel )NICHOLLS KEVEH 123 2.00    
REAL MONEY Jun05 May15 Feb26 Jan16   (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.50    
SPITE STORE Jun19 May15 Apr17     (morden richard)STEIN JUSTIN 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
 
WO-8   08/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($39.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARPE HORSESHOE Jul14 Jun18 May26 Apr24   (attard steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 3.50 48% 1.10    
VESPOLINA Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 Apr30   (carey ju)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
SILENT GHOST Jun30 Jun18 May27 May12   (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 120 8.00    
FORMENTOR May28 May15 Apr23     (siddo barringt)HUSBANDS P 122 10.00    
SCR  SNEAKY REBEL Jul09 Jun11 May12 Apr23   (dixon patrick)STEIN JUSTIN 122 10.00    
MY GIRL HOOTER Jul30 Jun30 Jun16     (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SIMPLE SOUVENIR Jul09 Jun18 May21 Apr30   (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 3.00    
BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND Jul09 Jun16       (hall philip)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.