Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Tillamook County Fair
Thursday - August 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TIL-1   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST MSW6000 ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY SNAKE Jul15 Jul02 Jun10     (gilmour jim)JENSEN P null      
JHAWK FLYER Jul14 Jun28 Jun21 Jun10   (stewart larry)GOODGAME R null   23% 3.40    
WINSOME LEVOTTI         (balcom sharo)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null      
NEATAPAR Jul14 Jul04 Jun21     (braden darlene)SMITH E null   51% 0.90    
SIMONSITO Jul30 Jun10       (young do)GONZALEZ FLORES null      
 
TIL-3   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT-
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUCCESSFUL COMMAND Jun27         (balcom sharo)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   20% 4.10    
KEEN JAMES Jul13 Jun27 Mar07 Feb22 Jan26 (cox jo)SMITH E null   37% 1.70    
BLUE SUNSET Jul04 Jun28 Jun10     (crystal dust)PRECIADO A null      
LUCKY CHAMP Jul22 Jul08 Jun12 May29 May06 (ortega joe)JENSEN P null      
LONGFORD Jul13 Jun27 Jun10     (guerrero dieg)GUERRERO C null      
REBEL ROAR Jul31         (dennis g)GOODGAME R null   17% 4.70    
 
TIL-5   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACKRAT BRANT         (stewart larry)GOODGAME R null      
BEING A BOSS Jul03 Jun18 Jun04     (harris j)GONZALEZ FLORES null   13% 6.90    
SKEESIX Jun28 Jun20       (hof d)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null      
MATTAWA N THAT Jul15 Jul04 Jun28 Jun21   (boyle mary)JENSEN P null   16% 5.30    
STARBOARD LIST Jul15 Jun20       (harshman loega)SMITH E null   45% 1.20    
SCR  ZOE'S PAPA CEE Jul14 Jul04 Jun28 Jun20   (bumgardner j)PRECIADO A null      
 
TIL-6   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM5000 ($5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT-
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRITE LILY Jul31 Jul29 Jul04 Jun28 Jun21 (dennis g)GOODGAME R null      
HERE'S THE THING Jul04 Jun27 Jun11     (crystal dust)PRECIADO A null   11% 7.80    
MY LITE NITE Jul15 Jul04 Jun27 Jun21   (hof d)SMITH E null   58% 0.70    
AT U LOVER Jul03 Jun21       (lewis roberta)GUERRERO C null      
HYPHY Jul14 Jul03 Jun21     (maelfeyt bru)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null      
 
TIL-7   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW5000NW3L ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT-
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATERFALL Jul04 Jun27 Jun20     (crystal dustie)GOODGAME R null   8% 11.10    
GOING ALL IN Jun27 Jun11 May28     (gilmour jim)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null      
GREAT CURVES Jun21         (harshman loega)SMITH E null   37% 1.70    
LEAD ACTRESS Jul04 Jun20       (maelfeyt)GONZALEZ FLORES null      
CAL'S GIRL Jun21         (bumgardner j)PRECIADO A null   29% 2.50    
SHE'S MY RIDE Jul02 Jun04       (ortega joe)GUERRERO C null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.