Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tillamook County Fair
Thursday - August 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIL-1   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST MSW6000 ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY SNAKE Jul15 Jul02 Jun10     (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   ★    
2  JHAWK FLYER Jul14 Jun28 Jun21 Jun10   (stewart larry)GOODGAME R null   23% 3.40    
3  WINSOME LEVOTTI         (balcom sha)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   ★    
4  NEATAPAR Jul14 Jul04 Jun21     (braden darle)SMITH E null   51% 0.90    
5  SIMONSITO Jul30 Jun10       (young )GONZALEZ FLORES null   ★    
 
TIL-3   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUCCESSFUL COMMAND Jun27         (balcom sha)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   20% 4.10    
2  KEEN JAMES Jul13 Jun27 Mar07 Feb22 Jan26 (cox jo)SMITH E null   37% 1.70    
3  BLUE SUNSET Jul04 Jun28 Jun10     (crystal du)PRECIADO A null      
4  LUCKY CHAMP Jul22 Jul08 Jun12 May29 May06 (ortega jo)JENSEN P null   ★    
5  LONGFORD Jul13 Jun27 Jun10     (guerrero di)GUERRERO C null   ★    
6  REBEL ROAR Jul31         (dennis g)GOODGAME R null   17% 4.70    
 
TIL-5   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACKRAT BRANT         (stewart larry)GOODGAME R null      
2  BEING A BOSS Jul03 Jun18 Jun04     (harris)GONZALEZ FLORES null   13% 6.90    
4  SKEESIX Jun28 Jun20       (hof d)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   ★    
5  MATTAWA N THAT Jul15 Jul04 Jun28 Jun21   (boyle mar)JENSEN P null   16% 5.30    
6  STARBOARD LIST Jul15 Jun20       (harshman loe)SMITH E null   45% 1.20    
SCR  ZOE'S PAPA CEE Jul14 Jul04 Jun28 Jun20   (bumgardner)PRECIADO A null   ★    
 
TIL-6   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM5000 ($5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRITE LILY Jul31 Jul29 Jul04 Jun28 Jun21 (dennis g)GOODGAME R null   ★    
2  HERE'S THE THING Jul04 Jun27 Jun11     (crystal du)PRECIADO A null   11% 7.80    
3  MY LITE NITE Jul15 Jul04 Jun27 Jun21   (hof d)SMITH E null   58% 0.70    
4  AT U LOVER Jul03 Jun21       (lewis rober)GUERRERO C null   ★    
5  HYPHY Jul14 Jul03 Jun21     (maelfeyt b)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   ★    
 
TIL-7   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW5000NW3L ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATERFALL Jul04 Jun27 Jun20     (crystal dustie)GOODGAME R null   8% 11.10    
2  GOING ALL IN Jun27 Jun11 May28     (gilmour ji)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   ★    
3  GREAT CURVES Jun21         (harshman loe)SMITH E null   37% 1.70    
4  LEAD ACTRESS Jul04 Jun20       (maelfe)GONZALEZ FLORES null   ★    
5  CAL'S GIRL Jun21         (bumgardner)PRECIADO A null   29% 2.50    
6  SHE'S MY RIDE Jul02 Jun04       (ortega joe)GUERRERO C null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.