Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/10/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP C/G PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BITETHEBULLETBRO Jul11 Jun27       (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 124 12.00    
DELVECCHIO Jul05 Jun22       (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 0.80 68% 0.50    
SCR  RAILROAD DAN Jul31 Jun25 Jun19     (hanson debora)CUMBERBATCH R 124 25.00    
CROWNED ROYAL Jul27 Jul12 Jun27 Jun13   (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00    
PURRSIBILITY Jul27 Jul13 Jun01     (donley jim)CHOW CHAVION 124 6.00    
MCKAGUE Jul20 Jun15       (anderson )CHADEE JR 124 2.00 10% 9.50    
 
ASD-2   08/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFFENOUGHTOSTART Jul26 Jul19 Jun29 Jun15   (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 123 4.50    
BUTTON MUSHROOM Jul19 Jul12 Jun20     (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 12.00    
LANDRY KYLE Jul25 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 Apr13 (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 123 3.00 35% 1.90    
BACK INTHAT ACTION Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jun29 Jun15 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
WITT NINE Jul19         (gaskin steven)ALI RONALD 123 4.00 15% 5.70    
MISSION REALITY Jul26 Jul11 Jun29     (gaskin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 8.00    
MIZZENHOWER Jul26 Jul12       (gardipy t)CHADEE JR 123 15.00 5% 18.60    
 
ASD-3   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRAL         (gaskin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 120 6.00    
SCR  DUBD SAINT ANGEL         (stanford maria)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 15.00    
PRAIRIE DRIFTER Jul27         (gittens devon)NELSON C 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
ARROGANCE Aug02         (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 120 4.00 34% 2.00    
ADJOURNMENT         (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 4.50    
SCR  PARTYATMYPLACE Aug02         (brown shelley)CARRENO J 120 12.00    
SCR  WELL PLAYED Aug02 Jul16       (brown )LEWIS ANTHONY 120 2.50 21% 3.90    
 
ASD-4   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL GOOD DEAL Jul25 Jul12 Jun27     (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 123 1.20    
WITTS'S GATO Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 Jun20   (mustard doug)CHICKENESS S 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
WITTS QUESTION Jul27 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 Jun07 (gaskin steven)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 8.00    
GOLD DIGGIN DARLIN Jul25 Jul12 Jun28     (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
ZIG Aug02 Jul19 Jun28 Jun15 Apr28 (morin sha)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00    
UNION SMARTIE Jul27 Jul13 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
ASTARTOBE Jul27 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06   (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 12.00 10% 8.60    
 
ASD-5   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A LADY TAMER Jul26         (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
CAMINO DE ESTRELLA Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 Jun06 Mar08 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.20 33% 2.00    
MR. BENZ         (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 1.60 24% 3.10    
OHTANI Jul25 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01   (gardipy tom)BADALOO DOUGLAS 124 15.00    
ASTONISHING TWEET Jun16 May26 May07 Apr22 Mar06 (keplin j)CHICKENESS S 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
PHIL POWER Jul27         (buffalo )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00    
JOVIAL DESTINY Jul27 Jul19 Jul11 Jun29 Jun15 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 124 30.00    
 
ASD-6   08/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG ARM Jul20         (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
DOUGS PAL Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 Feb15 Jan26 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00    
CANADIAN SECRET Jul19 Jul06 Jun27 Jun01   (dickey elton)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 5.00    
HOT SOUP Jul24 Jul05 Jun22 May30 May17 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 4.00    
BEAR ME A MOMENT Jun12         (brown all)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 25.00 9% 9.50    
HANNIGAN Aug02 Jul13 Jun27 Jun15 Jun01 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 119 8.00 16% 5.20    
OUTCOME Aug01 Jul12 Jun20 Apr30 Apr01 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 1.60 17% 4.90    
 
ASD-7   08/10/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Jul19 Jul04 Jun21     (gardipy tom)BADALOO DOUGLAS 121 25.00    
MUCHO EXPRESS Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 Feb14   (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 4.00    
MYTRUED Jul19 Jul04 Jun13     (rawson fred)CUMBERBATCH R 123 10.00    
MISSEN THE POINT Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 May29   (cavanaugh perr)CHICKENESS S 123 3.00 19% 4.40    
CRITICAL CONDITION Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 Jun22 Jun06 (maxwell curtis)BELLE SHAVON 117 6.00 16% 5.30    
BARBIE'S QUEST Jul19 Jul04 Jun21     (johnson m)CHADEE JR 121 2.00 28% 2.50    
KIKI MY STAR Jul12 Jun20 May31 Apr08 Mar21 (kidd blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 30.00    
WITT'S MEMORIES Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 Jun15   (anderson carl)ALI RONALD 123 15.00    
NOTABLE NORA Aug01 Jul20 Jun13 May31   (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 117 12.00 9% 10.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.