Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Monday - August 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   08/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SACRED KIKI BIRD Jul25 Jun27 Jun13 Mar13 Feb26 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 8.00 20% 4.00    
WILLTOBELUCKY Jul15 Jul02 Jun09 May07 Mar30 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 125 6.00    
PRIVATE LAKE Jul15 Jun13 May30 May13 Mar27 (arnett jon )GARCIA A 125 1.80    
PINSON Jul15 Jun11 May20 May01 Feb20 (clay pat)DE CRUZ 125 4.50 22% 3.50    
SEE THE PYRAMIDS Jul15 Jun27 Mar19 Mar13   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00    
SCR  WACO KID Jul17 Jun24 Jun03 May23 Apr30 (gonzalez v)CORBETT W 125 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
PRM-5   08/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIVE HELLRAISER Jul23 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 May21 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 3.00    
FREDDY J Jul04 May15       (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
FLEET OF HOOF Jul11 Jun24 Apr29 Apr09 Mar10 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 10% 8.60    
ONE LAST CHANT         (jacquot gene)CANCHARI ALEX 120 8.00 8% 11.90    
WE'RE ALL NUTS Jul23 Jul04 Jun19     (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 10.00    
BLUEGRASS FLIGHT Jul15 Jun19 Jun04     (clark dick )GARCIA A 120 12.00    
EVIL KNIEVEL Jul11 Jun20 Jun04 May15   (wellington t)JORDAN R 115 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
PRM-6   08/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPITFIRE SUZIE Jul01 Jun04       (peters de)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 12% 7.00    
ELECTED FORCE         (caldwell r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 6.00    
CHASING DIVINITY Jul17         (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 120 10.00    
FIERY LUCK Jun13 Apr20 Apr06     (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  WANDAS CAFE Feb20         (smith p)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00    
FEELSSOGOODINLOVE Jul17 Jun26       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
STREET RINGER Jun26         (condon sc)TRIANA JR 124 5.00    
TALLANDLONG Jul01 Jun18 May06 Apr24 Feb21 (gleason tyrone)CORBETT W 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
PRM-7   08/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.263K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STROLL LIKN OUTLAW Jul10 Jun13 May14     (arnett jon )GARCIA A 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
BOTTOMLESS Jul10         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 12.00    
MILTON STREET Jul10 Jun27       (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 15.00    
SAW THE SUNRISE Jul15 Jun06 May15 Apr23   (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 120 10.00    
FRANKLY EPIC Jul10 Jun19 May15     (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
COLORFUL NATIVE Jul16 Jun27 Jun06 May21   (jacquot gene)CANCHARI ALEX 120 4.00    
FLAT SPOOKY Jul10 Jun13       (birzer bo)TRIANA JR 120 20.00    
LURCH Jul16 Jun27 May30 May16   (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
SOLE SURVIVOR Jul10         (tibbit)FLETCHER D 120 20.00    
 
PRM-8   08/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($44.554K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU TALKIN TO ME Jul04 Jun13 May22     (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
TIN BADGE Jul18 Jul02 Jun13 Apr30 Apr07 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 122 10.00 10% 9.20    
SHUT UP MAN Jul18 Jun04 May14     (murphy)FLETCHER D 118 6.00    
GREEDY CREEDY Jul18 Jul04 Jun06 May15   (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
RUNNING ALEX'SBAND Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May27   (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 5.00    
JOHN R Jul18 Jun13 May22     (hemba bra)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
GO ADMIRAL GO Jul18 Jun25 May23     (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 8.00    
 
PRM-9   08/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($43.243K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN POSSE Jul16 Jun25 Jun06 May15   (young scott)WETHEY JR 116 8.00    
OSCAR WINNER WALLY Jul11 Jul01 Jun12 May23   (broberg karl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50    
PRIDEOFDIXIECREED Jul09 Jun18 May28 May14   (guillory henry )ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
WAR RON Jul09 Jun17 May23     (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
JUSTA STREAK Jul09 Jun18 May28     (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 4.00    
ALL OVER OLIVER Jul23 Jun19 May16 Apr23 Mar27 (tracy tanner)CANCHARI ALEX 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
SAY IT NICELY Jul24 Jul01 May28 May14   (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 115 12.00 12% 7.10    
STORMIN' J. J. Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 May28 May14 (villafranco)GARCIA A 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.