Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD APPEAL Jul10 Feb18 Jan09     (martin timot)JORDAN R 115 5.00 13% 6.70    
2  NEW STRIPE Jul08 Jun17       (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
3  HEART HEADED ARKY Jun25 Apr30 Apr08 Mar24 Feb26 (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 120 10.00    
4  CORRENTE DE OURO Jun25 Jun02 May15 Feb11 Jan10 (arnett jon )GARCIA A 120 3.00 5% 17.90    
5  STRONG STORM Jun27         (gleason t)TRIANA JR 120 8.00 ★    
6  CYBER MONDAY Jul03 Jun17 Jun06 May25 May07 (brocka lo)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 13% 7.00    
7  ROBERT WHO Jun27 Jun12 May20     (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
 
PRM-5   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL VALE Jun13 May24 May18 May03 Apr19 (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 10.00    
2  ATTAIN SUCCESS Jul01 May20 Mar31 Mar17 Feb24 (caldwell r)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50 13% 6.50    
3  CALCULATING KING Jun24 May17 Apr19 Mar28   (gustafson)TRIANA JR 124 4.00 ★    
4  AMERICAIN JOEY Jun24 Jun04 May23 May07 Apr24 (martin timot)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 10.00    
5  CAPTAIN DON Jun24 May23 May07 Apr24 Mar17 (von don)BIRZER E 124 8.00 8% 11.30    
6  HAVE A PLAN Jun24 Jun13 May22 Apr01 Mar12 (hemba bra)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  DRILL'S LI'L MAN Jun19 May27       (broberg karl)JORDAN R 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
PRM-6   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MESS Feb16 Jan14       (gonzalez )TRIANA JR 122 4.00 11% 8.10    
2  BOLD LEGEND Jun26 Jun17 May28 Apr30 Apr08 (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50    
3  MY KIKI Jun17 May21 Apr12 Mar22 Feb18 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  JAZZ BRUNCH Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 Apr30 Feb18 (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 120 8.00 ★    
5  HARLONS COMMISION Jun24 Jun05 Apr30 Apr10 Mar11 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 122 10.00 10% 9.40    
6  GLORY ROLL Jul02 May21 Mar13 Jan29   (jordan todd )JORDAN R 117 6.00    
7  STERN Jun24 May15 Apr29 Apr02 Mar04 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
PRM-7   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Jun19 May23 May07 Apr03 Mar19 (martin timot)JORDAN R 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  GOOD SCOUT Jun25 May21 Apr02 Mar17 Feb18 (caldwell r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 128 2.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  HAYDENS HAVOC Jul08 Jun17 May23 May03 Mar26 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 128 4.00 ★    
4  MYSTERY MAN Jun19 May23 Apr06 Mar11 Jan29 (arnett jon )GARCIA A 128 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  BROADWAY May30 Mar26       (martinez )TRIANA JR 124 12.00    
6  RIDE RICHIE RIDE Jun24 Jun11 May30 May16 Apr07 (clark r)CORBETT W 124 6.00 ★    
7  BROADWAY PETE Jun04 May20 Apr13 Mar20 Feb27 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00    
 
PRM-8   07/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTLEGGING GIRL May30 May01 Apr15     (jacquot gene)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00    
2  DREAM PIRE Jun18 May14 Apr08 Feb23 Feb04 (caldwell r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
3  BRINA         (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 125 3.00 9% 10.50    
4  SUE HAPPY Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 May23   (roe robert )GARCIA A 120 10.00    
5  MIZHIPZLETUS Jun18 Jun04       (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 3.50 11% 7.70    
6  KEEN CONTENDER Jun24 Jun06 May14 Mar13 Feb19 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 115 2.00 ★    
7  ELI'S GIRL Jun29 Jun12 May29 Mar31 Feb24 (tracy tanner)TOHILL S 120 8.00 38% 1.60    
 
PRM-9   07/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($47.174K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIN BADGE Jul02 Jun13 Apr30 Apr07 Mar17 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 121 10.00    
2  SIR WALLY WALLY Jun25 Jun06 May15     (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 5% 18.30    
3  WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Jul04 Jun13 May30     (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.50 ★    
4  JOHN R Jun13 May22       (hemba bra)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 ★    
5  GO ADMIRAL GO Jun25 May23       (eikleberr)TRIANA JR 121 8.00 ★    
6  SMART N INTUITIVE Jun25 May22 Apr24 Feb09   (arnett jon )GARCIA A 121 10.00    
7  MAHOMES Jul04 Jun13 May22     (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 116 4.00    
8  TIME GOES ON Jun25 Jun06 May15     (von kelly)CORBETT W 121 12.00    
9  MINECRAFT MANIAC Jun25 May15       (anderson l)TOHILL S 121 4.50 66% 0.50    
 
PRM-10   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($44.554K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED WHITE AND LOUD Jul08 Jun04 May23     (martinez kel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 126 15.00    
2  YEARS FLY BY May20         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 126 20.00    
3  SHUT UP MAN Jun04 May14       (murphy)FLETCHER D 122 20.00    
4  SCRUTINIZER Jun06 May15       (martin wi)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  SNAP'N TAP Jun04 May14       (wellington tom)TOHILL S 126 4.00 7% 12.90    
6  GREEDY CREEDY Jul04 Jun06 May15     (murphy s)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
7  DISCREET INVASION Jun04 May23       (martinez )TRIANA JR 122 10.00 6% 16.20    
8  JAYSKER Jul04 Jun04 May22     (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 10.00    
9  UNCLE CHAD Jun04         (anderson l)ROMAN KEVIN 122 15.00    
10  SECRET BLARNEY Jun25 Jun05 May28 Apr01 Mar12 (young scott )JORDAN R 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
11  OUR LAST CHANCE Jun18 May28 May14     (anderson do)GARCIA A 126 5.00 ★    
12  SHIP BOSS Jun25 May22       (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.