Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Sunday - July 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-4   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.05K) 2 F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKETT'S RED CITY         (smith a)CEBALLOS F 119 8.00 13% 7.00    
METROS LIL POLLIE         (richards rodney)CHAVEZ R 119 6.00 12% 7.40    
CANDY TRACK         (smith paul)RODRIGUEZ H 119 8.00 13% 7.00    
PRETTY PEPPY Jun10         (collier jimmi)JUAREZ J 119 8.00    
LEAP YEAR NIGHT         (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
JOJO'S GIRL Jun24 Jun10       (munoz gua)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 119 3.50    
STORMY DAME Jun24 Jun10       (zamo)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 2.50    
 
RUI-6   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINY WHO Jul02 Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 Jan30 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 4.50    
TUTTA TERLINGUA May27 Apr23 Feb21 Feb01 Jan08 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
BAND OF GLORY Jul01 Jun10 Apr03 Mar20 Mar04 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 8.00 6% 16.20    
ARRANGED VOWS May22 Apr29 Mar15     (chavez arturo)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00 7% 14.40    
CHARLIES HURRICANE May27 May01       (buechl)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 6.00    
MARILYN MONEYROLL Jun10 May13 Apr29 Mar01 Feb04 (vega v)TORRES J 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
RAGTIME RYTHM May21 Feb05       (valdes aure)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.00    
 
RUI-8   07/17/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO PASA NADA May07 Apr23 Feb27 Feb12 Jan13 (valdes aure)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.50 8% 11.50    
CHEESE TRAY May07 Mar27 Feb27 Feb08 Jan15 (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 123 3.00 10% 9.10    
ELLIOT Jan29 Jan11       (gonzalez andres)REYES FRANK 123 15.00    
STORMIN FAST Jun26 Jun12 Mar19 Feb13 Jan30 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00    
B A CHAMPION Jun26 May21 Apr12 Mar29 Mar13 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00    
ON A WARPATH Jun12 Apr23 Mar19 Jan30 Jan04 (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 123 4.50    
THUNDER DOME         (barton dalla)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 6.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  EVACUEE Jun12 Mar27 Feb27 Jan30 Jan04 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
RUI-10   07/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.45K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANOSO Jun25 Jun10 Mar22 Feb13 Feb01 (collier c)MEDELLIN A 123 5.00    
REINING PESOS Jun26 May29 May08 Feb20 Feb13 (valdes p)PEREZ A 123 8.00    
CHAMPITO Jun25         (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.50 16% 5.20    
SALTIE FIRE May14 Feb22 Jan16     (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 3.00 6% 15.60    
QUIEN ES Jun24 Jun05 Mar06 Feb22 Feb08 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 4.00 51% 1.00    
WRAPPED Jul01 May21 May13 Feb12 Jan09 (valdes aure)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.50    
F S POSITRACK Apr03 Mar19 Feb22 Jan18 Jan01 (collier jimmi)JUAREZ J 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.