Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prineville Turf Club
Friday - July 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRV-2   07/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000 ($4K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL SON Jul03 Jun20       (crystal du)PRECIADO A null      
DREAMER'S REALITY Jul04 Jun20 Jun10     (harshman loe)SMITH E null   15% 5.70    
AMITY HARBOR Jun21 Jan30 Jan09     (williams ga)GUERRERO C null   48% 1.10    
MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Jul04 Jun20       (rodriguez saul)GOODGAME R null      
SCR  CHILL Jun20         (cantrell margie)WOOTEN W null   13% 6.50    
 
PRV-4   07/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW4000 ($0K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LITE NITE Jul04 Jun27 Jun21     (hof d)SMITH E null   56% 0.80    
SUBTLE RIDE Jul04 Jun27 Jun21 May06 Apr27 (cox j)GUERRERO C null      
SHESAIDSHESPERFECT Jun28 Jun21       (harshman l)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   10% 9.20    
DUTCH MAMA Jun28 Jun21       (cantrell margie)WOOTEN W null      
SCR  HERE'S THE THING Jul04 Jun27 Jun11     (crystal du)PRECIADO A null   10% 9.20    
SCR  STARACROSSTHEWATER Jun11         (crystal dustie)GOODGAME R null      
 
PRV-6   07/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW5000C ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATTAWA N THAT Jul04 Jun28 Jun21     (boyle mary)WOOTEN W null      
DUSALUT Jun28 Jun20       (crystal du)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   12% 7.70    
CAPES HOT ROCKET Jul04 Jun28       (hurley denn)GUERRERO C null      
BOY HOWDY Jul03 Jun27 Jun20     (cantrell m)PRECIADO A null   20% 4.10    
STARBOARD LIST Jun20         (harshman loe)SMITH E null   37% 1.70    
 
PRV-8   07/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000NW2L ($4K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NADITA Jun28 Jun21       (hurley denn)GUERRERO C null      
COACH'S VALENTINE Jun27 Jun20       (stewart la)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   18% 4.60    
PHANTOMS BOOK Jul04 Jun20       (mcdevitt t)PRECIADO A null      
JAN'S BEST Jul04 Jun21       (hurley dennis)WOOTEN W null   44% 1.30    
SCR  LOEGANBERRY Jun21         (harshman loe)SMITH E null   16% 5.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.