Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - July 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHALE OF A TIME Jun16 May21 Apr15 Mar17 Feb03 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 3.50 20% 4.10    
CHANGE THE WORLD Jul02 Jun16 May21 Apr23   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.00 44% 1.30    
PEARLY GHOST         (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 4.50    
TIMETOGETUP Jun24 Jun16 May27 May13 Apr16 (casey a)LARROSA G 118 15.00    
ELIANAGRACE         (joy j)RAMGEET R 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
BAYS CASTLE Jun16 May25 May04 Apr08 Mar03 (casey joh)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 10.00    
 
CT-2   07/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY SAUL Jul01 Jun03 May14 Apr24 Mar16 (mancil)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 1.00    
NY BETH GETSITDONE Jun25 Jun03 May19 Apr30 Apr16 (joy j)RAMGEET R 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
BETTER BOAT Jun25 Jun02 May11 Apr23 Apr14 (downie lofflin)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
GRAM'S GAL Jun25 Jun03 May19 May07 Apr22 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FLING Jun03 May12 Apr16 Apr02 Mar09 (brown kei)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  CALIFORNIA SUZY Jun03 Mar05 Feb17     (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 6.00    
 
CT-3   07/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDOG Apr06 Mar11       (deiter)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
UNBRIDLED IRISH         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.50    
TALENTED CORINNA Jun18 Jun02 Apr20 Apr01 Mar09 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 3.50 6% 17.10    
BACARI Jun18         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 116 20.00    
MISS MIDNIGHT Jun18 Jun02       (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 116 4.00 21% 3.90    
KARATS AND GOLD Jun29 Jun16       (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
GOLDEN GLOW Jun24 May13 May06 Apr22 Apr09 (boykins)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 15.00    
CAN'T FIGURE Jun24 Jun18       (stahlin john)PELTROCHE F 116 20.00    
MIDNIGHT PASS Jun18 Jun02       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 4.50 30% 2.40    
 
CT-4   07/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIZARD OF ODDS Jun25 Jun17 Jun02 May05 Apr08 (aylor l)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
GRAND FIBER Jun25 May12 Apr21 Mar23 Mar03 (mangual man)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.00 28% 2.60    
CASH FOR THE SOUL Jun25 Mar31 Mar10 Feb18   (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
GATTOSING Feb04 Jan13       (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
MOSBY'S RANGER Mar23 Feb18 Jan15     (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.80 22% 3.50    
SILVER CASTLE Jul08 Jun17 May25 May06 Apr15 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 115 4.50    
 
CT-5   07/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SISTER JOANN Jun18 May11 Apr21 Apr09 Mar16 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 15.00    
MISS WAVE May25 May06 Apr16 Apr07 Mar30 (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.50    
DISTORTED SPLENDOR Jun03 May05 Apr27 Mar30 Mar10 (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 113 10.00    
CHEERFUL CHIMES Jun27 May23       (campbell larry)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
COACH RUBE Jun23 Jun03 Apr28 Apr07 Feb24 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 1.60 61% 0.60    
SCR  WINDSOR'S CHAMPION Jun11 May21 Apr27 Mar26 Mar11 (covello a)CECIL Y 120 12.00    
CHIEFS KINGDOM Jun23 Jun03 May05 Apr07 Mar18 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
NICE N' BROAD May20 Apr27 Apr07 Mar18 Feb17 (rideout a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 10% 8.80    
 
CT-6   07/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNEQUIVOCAL May06 Mar05 Feb18 Jan27   (aguirr)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
JAYJAYDEE Jun03 May11 Apr22 Apr14 Mar25 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.20 63% 0.60    
CHARITABLE SPENNY Jun04 May11 Apr08 Jan27   (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
JAMMIN JIMTOWN Jun04 May11 Apr21 Apr01 Mar09 (sanderson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 2.50    
RRACE DAY WARRIOR May18 Apr29 Apr13 Mar10 Mar02 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
TRINGALE Jun24 May06 Apr13 Feb26 Feb05 (joy j)RAMGEET R 120 6.00    
 
CT-7   07/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSH TO THE CASTLE Jun17         (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 10% 8.70    
AZURE FIRE Jun23 May27 May18 Jan26   (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
PISTOL P Jun02 May12 Mar25 Mar02 Jan15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 11% 8.50    
AUBURN MILL Jun25 Jun09 May04 Mar25 Mar02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
MISSIONSNINETYNINE Jun25 Jun02 May05 Jan28 Jan15 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
SCR  STRONG LIL KOKORO May27 May05 Apr20 Mar24 Feb26 (collins tim)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
DAN THE MAN CAN Jun17 May19 Apr28 Apr01 Mar10 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LIL MR MATT Jun13 May04 Apr20 Apr02 Mar10 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 8.00    
 
CT-8   07/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOCASHREFUNDS Jun09 May13       (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 8% 11.20    
THE ILLUSIONIST         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 11% 7.80    
JEFFERSON NATIVE Jun09 May14 Apr29 Apr06 Mar02 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  HOPPING HENRY Jun29 May26 Apr29 Apr16 Feb26 (sterling mich)SIMPSON JASON 120 6.00    
SO COURAGEOUS May13 May01 Mar02 Feb17   (figgins ollie )RIOS-CONDE A 120 8.00    
SCR  RYAN'S SWORD Jun09 May21       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
WARRIOR'S ESTATE Jun09 May13 Apr27 Feb26 Feb05 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
FOREVER TAKES TIME Jun09 May19 Apr13     (barber donal)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
SETTLEMENT DATE Jun18 May28 May21 May07 Mar17 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.