Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Sunday - June 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   06/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT GENTLEMAN Jun07         (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 ★    
2  STERLING ICE May31         (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
3  EASY ACCESS         (newland george)HEIN NICOLE 110 6.00 13% 6.70    
4  STRONG ATTITUDE May31         (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 ★    
5  THY KINGDOM Jun07         (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
 
FE-2   06/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMPULSIVELY Jun12 May27       (dixon patrick)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00    
SCR  MISS GOODIE GOODIE         (williams noel)JOHNSON DEVON 118 10.00 ★    
3  KECAMEIFYOUCAN         (rabstein claudi)HEIN NICOLE 115 6.00 ★    
4  HARDROADTOGLORY May31         (robillard jos)GOBAY WILBERT 120 2.50 18% 4.40    
5  LAST ONE LAUGHING May06         (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 11% 8.50    
6  READY TO RUMBLE May31 May15 May06 Apr24 Jan26 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
FE-3   06/19/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAN DRIVEN May31         (loescher pa)WENC C 122 6.00 ★    
2  AM PREPARED May31         (cathcart stev)DAVID MICHAEL 117 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  FEDERAL LAW Jun13 May31       (warner k)SINGH S 120 12.00 17% 4.80    
4  BOLD ANIMAUX May31         (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 19% 4.20    
5  NIGHT WATCHMAN         (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00    
6  SAMUEL H         (tharrenos willia)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 ★    
 
FE-4   06/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE HARDER Jun10 May04 Apr22 Mar20 Mar05 (mcmahon william)HEIN NICOLE 113 5.00 ★    
2  DOODLE DANDY         (hoad lindsey)PINTO MELANIE 115 8.00    
3  ANTE UP ALEX May26         (fairlie h)SINGH S 120 2.50 ★    
4  BOCELLI (IRE) May22         (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
5  M V SPEED May31 Apr29 Feb18 Jan21   (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 27% 2.60    
6  SUN FORESTER Jun13 May26 Apr24     (wills daniel)CRAWFORD J 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
FE-5   06/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  APPOINTED May12 Apr24 Mar25 Jan22   (newland georg)PINTO MELANIE 115 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  HASN'T HIT ME YET May31 May08       (maynard desmo)JOHNSON DEVON 115 10.00    
3  CORRELATE Jun07 May05 Mar24 Mar02   (loescher pa)WENC C 120 6.00    
4  FADE AWAY May31 Apr08 Mar11 Feb12 Jan23 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 ★    
5  HIATUS May07         (voyce je)BUCHANAN Z 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
6  DOCTOR UPTOWN         (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00    
SCR  ACE DESTROYER May31 Feb23 Jan29     (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  GIANT MINE         (hoad lindsey)DAVID MICHAEL 115 12.00    
SCR  CALL ME WALLY         (newland george)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   06/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAZARION         (steer tom)MAILHOT P 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
2  CULATELLO Jun13 May26       (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00    
3  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ May31 Mar16 Mar02 Feb09   (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.50    
SCR  PENNIESFROMABOVE         (steer tom)HEIN NICOLE 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DANCE TO THE BEACH         (fairlie h)SINGH S 120 6.00 ★    
6  POLAR APPEAL May26 May12 Apr23     (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
7  ERRATIQUE May31         (mileni n)BUCHANAN Z 118 5.00 9% 9.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.