Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - June 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   06/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LT'S CHOICE         (desormeaux j )CURATOLO RYAN 118 8.00    
HALF NELSON May21         (brinkerh)ELLINGWOOD A 111 5.00 12% 7.20    
SMOKIN CHEENA May21         (solis walther)FREY KYLE 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
SHE'S SO FANCY         (wallace jer)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 3.00    
VEGAS MAGIC         (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
CAHUILLA         (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
SA-2   06/11/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMYSSMOKEDCARROT May14 Mar19 Feb21 Jan09   (capestro paul)CURATOLO RYAN 126 6.00    
WITH THIS VOW May14 May01 Mar13 Feb27 Jan22 (ellis rona)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.80 54% 0.80    
MIA AT MIDNIGHT May15 Mar02 Jan26     (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 126 2.50    
SKY ON ICE May14 Mar19 Feb21     (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 126 4.00    
KEEP DANCING (IRE) May27         (mulhall krist)VALDIVIA JR 126 2.50 15% 5.50    
 
SA-3   06/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUZIE QZZ BROTHER May15 Apr17 Mar07 Jan30 Jan15 (glatt mark)CURATOLO RYAN 126 4.00    
CONUNDRUM May27 May06 Apr08 Mar18 Feb25 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 126 1.60 35% 1.80    
SCR  DO NOT SWIPE LEFT         (herrick joe)VALDIVIA JR 126 15.00    
RIVER TIBER (IRE) Apr02 Mar05       (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J null      
SCR  SUPERMAN SHAQ May27         (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 5.00    
PRIANO Jan28         (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
SA-4   06/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RESPECTFULLY May14 Apr16 Mar05 Jan29   (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 126 4.00    
DANCING CRANE May30         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 44% 1.30    
MISS CAROUSEL Jan29         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 4.00 16% 5.10    
READY JET GO May27 Apr10       (cunningham br)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 12.00    
SCR  ISLAND LIFE Mar12 Feb20       (deleon rafa)RAMIREZ RICARDO 121 30.00    
STORMING LADY May14 Mar05 Jan29     (mullins jeff)PYFER JESSICA 126 6.00    
LA V. Apr10         (powell leonard)MALDONADO E 126 8.00    
ANGELCENTS         (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 126 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
SA-5   06/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STIR THE POT May15 Apr17 Mar26 Feb18   (knapp stev)VAN DRAYDEN 126 8.00    
GOLD RUSH CANDY         (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.00    
GERLACH'S Apr17 Apr01 Feb21 Jan30 Jan16 (hess b)BRAVO J 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
BIG HAND May15 Apr08       (yakteen ti)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00    
ROOKIE MISTAKE May13 Feb06 Jan15     (glatt mark)CURATOLO RYAN 126 4.00 7% 12.50    
GOOD VIBES ONLY Apr30 Mar25       (sadler w)BAZE C 126 5.00 12% 7.40    
SQUALOTORO May15 Apr17 Feb19     (moger jr)FREY KYLE 126 12.00 7% 13.70    
 
SA-6   06/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE DAWSON Jan15         (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 8% 12.10    
CONNIE SWINGLE May07 Apr09       (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
BLUSHING (FR)         (gallagher patric)ESPINOZA V 122 4.00    
LEXINGTON HUMOR May14         (wong jonath)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
HALF PAST TWELVE May07 Feb12 Jan16     (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 122 20.00 8% 12.30    
UNBRIDLED MARY May22 Apr15 Feb25     (sadler w)BRAVO J 122 4.00    
TAPIT DOUX May27 Apr03 Mar12 Feb13   (ruiz lorenzo)VALDIVIA JR 120 15.00    
 
SA-7   06/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPPER May07 Feb25       (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of IRRIDESCENCE (SAF) by CAESOUR)
DOPPELGANGER May07 Apr02 Mar05 Jan29   (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TWICE THE LADY by NORTH PROSPECT)
HIGH CONNECTION May08 Mar26       (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CONNECT out of FOREST LEGEND by WOODMAN)
SCR  FAST DRAW MUNNINGS May08 Feb19 Jan15     (mullins jeff)BAZE C 124 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ZUZU'S PETALS by CARR DE NASKRA)
SCR  NEWGRANGE Feb26 Jan29 Jan01     (yakteen tim)MALDONADO E 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BELLA CHIANTI by EMPIRE MAKER)
PIONEERING PAPA May21 May07 Mar26 Mar05   (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 12.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CONQUEST ARCHANGEL by BLAME)
 
SA-8   06/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILKEN PRINCE May15 May01       (powell leonar)VALDIVIA JR 124 12.00 7% 12.60    
FENESTRA May07 Mar26 Mar11 Jan13   (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 11% 7.80    
BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) May07 Mar12 Mar06 Jan22 Jan08 (papaprodromou)CURATOLO RYAN 124 4.00    
INCH May21 Feb27 Jan23     (mullins jeff)BAZE C 124 8.00    
YES HE CAN Apr23 Mar27 Feb26 Jan27 Jan02 (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
MIDNIGHT SPECIAL May07 Mar12 Feb19 Feb05   (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00    
NILES CHANNEL May15 Apr16 Mar19 Mar06 Feb05 (barocio librado)BRAVO J 122 6.00    
SCR  IMA SAINT TOO May28 May13 Apr30 Mar15 Feb19 (lucas j)HARVEY B 124 50.00 5% 19.00    
CALIFORNIA STREET May15 Mar26 Feb05     (yakteen tim)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00 10% 8.60    
10  FOREVER MO May06 Mar19 Feb26 Jan30 Jan13 (desormeaux)VAN DRAYDEN 122 12.00    
 
SA-9   06/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA HOPE Apr10         (mandella e)BAZE C 126 5.00    
ARKAAN May15 Apr09       (cerin vladi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 4.00    
PARNELLI Apr17 Mar19       (shirreffs john)CEDILLO ABEL 126 3.00    
AFFABLE Apr10 Mar19       (glatt mark)HERRERA A 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
BOLD ENDEAVOR May08         (glatt mark)CURATOLO RYAN 126 5.00 27% 2.70    
HUDSON RIDGE May14 Apr09 Mar11     (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 126 8.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  DEAN MARTINI Apr30 Mar25       (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-10   06/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIALING SCOTTY May22 Apr17       (gaines carla)CURATOLO RYAN 118 15.00    
I'LL TAKE THE SOUP         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 12.00    
MAGIC GAME May22 Apr17       (kruljac eric)BRAVO J 118 4.00 8% 11.60    
IT'S GREEK TO ME May22 Apr17       (solis walther)BAZE C 118 20.00    
TRUE PATRIOT May22         (gaines carla)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
BUSKER ALLIE May22 Apr17 Mar20 Feb25 Feb04 (d'amato phili)PYFER JESSICA 118 3.50 52% 0.90    
TRULY A MESS May22         (o'neill dou)HERRERA A 118 12.00    
GRAZEN TOUCH         (aguirre paul)MALDONADO E 118 12.00    
GALARINA May22 Apr17       (dunham d)ELLINGWOOD A 126 20.00    
10  AIRKITA         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 10.00    
11  ROUBAIX Apr17 Mar19 Feb19 Feb04 Jan02 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 118 5.00    
12  KOKO'S MOM May28 May08 Apr15 Mar20 Feb26 (franko daniel)FREY KYLE 126 15.00    
SCR  SUMMER LAKE May22 Apr17       (gaines carla)FREY KYLE 118 4.00    
SCR  SAPADILLA Apr15 Mar18       (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.