Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Sunday - May 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-1   05/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.511K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATCHLOCK         (clark r)CORBETT W 124 2.00    
KING DEUCE May13 Apr09 Mar19 Feb26   (lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
ITSALLABOUTYOU         (hemba brad)JORDAN R 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
LARCH         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
NOT ROCKET SCIENCE         (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 1.60    
 
PRM-2   05/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.918K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLD AS YOU May13 Apr11 Mar29     (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 1.40    
SCR  HOLIDAY ROMANCE         (fett brandi)CERVANTES URIEL 119 8.00    
CATALE         (clark r)CORBETT W 114 2.00 41% 1.40    
YOU JUST WATCHME         (gustafson austi)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.00 13% 6.60    
SHY RUNNER         (hume james)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
PRM-3   05/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAVE A PLAN Apr01 Mar12 Feb09 Jan21   (young sco)TRIANA JR 119 2.50 16% 5.20    
KILLEEN Mar26 Jan19 Jan01     (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
LODE OF BLARNEY Apr24 Mar27 Feb24 Jan22   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00    
LITTLE TOE Apr08 Mar19 Mar06 Feb19   (gonzalez v)CORBETT W 119 3.50    
PARLAY PETE Mar19 Mar04 Feb25 Jan15   (gonzalez v)BIRZER E 119 4.00    
MONYDONTSPENITSELF Apr09         (guillory j)TOHILL S 119 10.00 14% 6.00    
 
PRM-4   05/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARDSCRABBLE Apr30 Mar31       (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
JOAN'S JUNIOR May07         (von don)CANCHARI ALEX 119 3.50    
CHARLIE'S NO SAINT Apr03 Mar02 Feb23 Feb09 Jan22 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.50 11% 7.80    
BLACKHEATH Apr18         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 5.00    
MEET GEORGE JETSON         (hemba brad)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.50 12% 7.30    
MR FROST Apr23 Mar26 Mar04 Feb12 Jan16 (martin timot)JORDAN R 114 6.00    
 
PRM-5   05/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODE CLEAR Apr23 Mar25 Mar04 Feb23 Jan01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 4.00    
DREAMER'S DELIGHT Apr23 Apr07 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 10.00    
NUGGET OF GRACE Apr22 Apr10 Mar25 Mar04 Jan14 (smith kenny )JORDAN R 119 2.50    
SUEZ May01 Apr09 Mar17 Feb21   (young sco)TRIANA JR 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
YOUNG O' DAINE May07 Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 119 8.00 13% 6.80    
HUMERO D'ORO May07 Feb11       (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
PRM-6   05/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($44.554K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK SILENCE         (martin timot)JORDAN R 114 5.00    
TAPTHATLUCK May13         (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 119 8.00    
SABRIA         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 119 1.60 24% 3.10    
BAYLEYWICK         (mamakos christin)TOHILL S 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
ZOFIA         (mamakos christi)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.50 14% 5.90    
REBEL RISING May13         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 10.00    
 
PRM-7   05/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($44.554K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHACHA REAL SMOOTH         (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 114 4.00    
YOU TALKIN TO ME         (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00    
SMART N INTUITIVE Apr24 Feb09       (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00    
JAYSKER         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 10.00    
MAHOMES         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 119 12.00 7% 13.50    
JOHN R         (hemba bra)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
MR. LOVEJOY May15 Apr30 Mar12     (schnell don)TOHILL S 119 2.00 67% 0.50    
SHIP BOSS         (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.