Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - May 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY FLIRT Mar24 Mar10 Feb19     (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 120 20.00    
2  SHIRLEY'S TEMPLE May06 Mar24 Feb19 Jan30 Jan15 (willis )GONCALVES R 123 2.50 15% 5.50    
3  THREEWICKEDWISHES Feb26 Feb03       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
4  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Apr30 Mar23 Mar10 Feb19 Jan30 (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 123 5.00 ★    
5  DISCREET SMILE Mar26         (johnston johnny)DIEGO V 120 10.00    
SCR  UNBURNT May08 Mar24 Mar19 Feb04 Jan14 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 2.50    
7  SENORITA COMETA Apr30 Apr02 Mar09 Feb23   (c)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
8  DADDYMADEMEDOIT Apr30 Feb16 Jan13     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR May06 Apr09 Mar24 Feb25 Jan30 (govea cesar)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  QUINN ELLA Mar10 Feb23 Jan30 Jan15   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
LS-2   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARCELINE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 1.20 40% 1.50    
2  L G GIRL Apr07 Mar25 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 120 10.00 ★    
3  BIEN JOUE         (dodwell j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 12.00 10% 9.00    
4  SIGNE Apr30 Mar31 Mar11     (swift a)BENAVIDES D 123 20.00    
5  JACKIE FLASH         (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 120 10.00 9% 10.30    
6  ITSONLYMONEYHONEY         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
7  HOT TUB HOTTIE Mar12 Feb18 Jan15     (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 5.00    
 
LS-3   05/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COME TO THE PARTY         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  TEXAS ATTITUDE         (dodwell jimmy )MORA GERARDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STELLA G         (gustafson)STEINBERG GARRETT 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLDEN SLEW         (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00 ★    
5  PIVOSKY         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 3.50    
6  IT TAKES HEART         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  SATIN HEART         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 4.50    
 
LS-4   05/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICKSLINCOLNLAWYER Apr07 Mar05 Feb11 Jan15   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50 35% 1.80    
2  CLAIMJUMPER May08 Apr09 Mar16 Mar05 Feb11 (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
3  INFINITE MORO May01 Apr07 Mar16 Feb26 Feb05 (k)DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
4  FIRST BUMP RIDGE May08 Apr07 Mar18 Mar03 Feb12 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
5  IMPERIAL FLYER May01         (bust)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00 9% 10.10    
6  TAPPIN' THE BLING May01 Apr08 Mar23 Mar11 Jan15 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 8.00    
7  PAPA MOLLY May08 Mar03 Feb18     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 3.50 ★    
 
LS-5   05/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKEY HARBOR May01 Mar18 Feb25 Jan29 Jan08 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 121 12.00    
2  JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) Mar12 Feb18 Jan27 Jan21   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
3  EVIE'S PRINCE Mar10 Feb25 Jan22     (dodwell jimm)ALVAREZ L 121 15.00    
4  CONVICTION TRADE May01 Apr09 Mar11 Jan30 Jan21 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 12.00 7% 14.10    
5  FRED'STWIRLINCANDY Apr30 Mar12 Feb18 Jan27   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  SARCASTIC TONE Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Jan30 Jan12 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 12.00    
7  MISHKO Apr30 Mar19 Feb12 Jan27   (silva m)GONCALVES R 121 5.00    
8  MIDAS CAT May01 Apr09 Feb18 Feb05 Jan20 (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 8.00    
9  HALF OURS TO KEEP May01 Apr07 Feb17 Jan30 Jan20 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00 7% 13.40    
10  METROPOL Mar12 Feb24 Jan27 Jan08   (castellanos jaim)MONTALVO C 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
LS-6   05/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANI SURPRISE Apr28 Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 Feb05 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 2.00 17% 4.70    
2  OH SNAP Apr01 Mar17 Feb11     (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 14% 5.90    
3  CRESSON (GB)         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
4  MORO MERICA May01 Mar17 Feb25 Feb17 Jan30 (c)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
5  TEXAN BOY May08 Apr28 Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 ★    
6  MUCHO BLING May01 Apr01 Mar17 Feb11 Jan21 (villafranco marti)DIEGO V 122 10.00    
7  TENACIOUS LION Apr01 Feb25 Feb11     (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 122 5.00    
8  ON THE HONOR ROLL May01 Mar09 Feb25 Jan30   (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 12.00 ★    
 
LS-7   05/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE BLAST Apr07 Feb20 Jan22     (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 121 15.00    
2  IZEONDEC Mar19 Feb26 Feb09 Jan15   (k)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 ★    
3  GOLDEN QUALITY Apr28         (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.00 39% 1.50    
4  BIG SKIPPER Mar27 Mar05 Jan30     (ashford)GONCALVES R 121 20.00    
5  HEMPSTEAD Apr29 Apr09 Mar16     (hurley re)QUINONEZ S 121 30.00    
6  WILDWOOD Z Apr30 Apr07 Feb21     (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 8% 10.90    
7  LIE AND DENY Apr08 Mar16 Feb24     (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 121 10.00    
8  AFTERNOON ANEJO May01 Jan22       (smith p)SORENSON D 121 2.00    
9  GOLD N SILVER Apr08 Mar16 Feb24 Jan13   (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 121 3.50 18% 4.40    
10  MAGAZINE STREET Apr09 Mar19 Jan15     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00 6% 15.10    
 
LS-8   05/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRLS GOT GAME Apr08 Mar04 Feb10     (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 12.00 10% 9.30    
2  HOURGLASS FIGURE Apr30 Feb23       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 5.00 25% 3.00    
3  DIAL TEN FOR G Mar24 Mar05 Feb14 Jan20   (west patricia)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 4.50    
4  CASHMERE DANCER Apr08 Mar04 Feb10     (willis mindy)QUINONEZ S 120 20.00    
5  RVALENTINA Apr28 Feb06 Jan20     (k)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 ★    
6  LENNI BE LUCKY         (dodwell da)MONTALVO C 123 12.00    
7  SO FULLY SUE Apr28 Apr08 Mar05     (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 120 20.00    
8  LADY GOT MOVES Apr28 Mar26 Feb26     (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
9  MOTHERS DAY JEWEL Apr28 Feb27       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 30.00    
10  AUTOSTRADA (CHI) May08 Apr09 Mar06 Jan28   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.