Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - May 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   05/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DUQUE         (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 121 4.00    
2  RAYO COLORADO Mar18 Mar09 Feb16 Feb09 Jan14 (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 114 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  BOAT WAMPUM         (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 121 12.00 11% 8.20    
4  NO DRAMA Apr23 Apr03 Mar16 Feb26 Jan19 (rogers mic)AYALA J 121 1.40 ★    
5  SILVER TOKEN Apr20 Apr08 Mar25 Mar09 Feb18 (markgraf davi)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 ★    
6  BAHAMIAN PARK Mar19 Feb28 Feb16 Jan22   (roman d)FOX CHRIS 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
 
PID-2   05/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOONTIA         (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 27% 2.80    
2  DAHOG         (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 3.00 ★    
3  COUNTY COURT Apr22 Apr08 Mar16 Mar02 Jan09 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.00 ★    
4  PERFECTLY MAJESTIC May01         (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  C THE KING         (depasqua)GALLARDO A 124 6.00    
6  SHAKEDOWN         (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 124 15.00 ★    
 
PID-3   05/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY RUCKUS Apr26 Apr02       (maddox a)WALKER M 122 6.00    
2  WOODCHUCK         (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  DEL GRIFFITH         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
4  PUNX Apr29 Apr14 Mar03     (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 ★    
5  DECLARED         (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 8% 11.10    
6  HOMEMADE MOONSHINE         (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
 
PID-4   05/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A GIANT Mar12 Feb20 Jan22     (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 117 3.50 11% 8.40    
2  BOOK OF DELANCEY May04 Apr15 Mar30 Feb22 Feb08 (hillegas)GALLARDO A 124 6.00 ★    
3  JO JO HANS Apr24         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 117 4.00 ★    
4  PIZZA CHARLIE Apr08 Mar11       (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  TRAPPED N PARADISE Mar25         (connelly teres)ALLEN D 117 8.00    
6  DOLAN'S LAD         (pease harry)LEON A 124 12.00    
7  CREATIVE CHOICE Apr22 Apr01 Mar04 Feb16 Jan28 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
PID-5   05/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT ANIMAL         (caramori eduard)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 23% 3.40    
2  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT         (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 121 5.00    
3  SMOKY BLUES Apr14         (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
4  GINS AND TINS Apr17         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 ★    
5  CAPTAIN MAD JACK         (radosevich sh)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  SAMAY (PER) May02 Mar30 Mar02 Feb11 Jan23 (lecesse )GALLARDO A 121 8.00 ★    
 
PID-6   05/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISTHATYOURHARLEY Feb18 Jan27       (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 115 4.00 13% 6.40    
2  WINNING TOUGH         (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 121 10.00 6% 16.50    
3  STRAIGHT MADNESS         (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 121 5.00    
4  BROOKLYNS SURPRISE         (ruberto loui)AYALA J 121 3.50 14% 6.30    
5  CINCO DE MANDEE         (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
6  TUDOX ROADSTER Jan28         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 6.00    
7  ARTEMIS RISING Apr21 Mar08 Feb18     (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 121 8.00 ★    
8  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Apr29 Mar09       (schoenthal ph)MORALES PABLO 115 10.00    
 
PID-7   05/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON GAL Jan14         (allen lisa)ALLEN M 121 8.00    
2  TACTICAL PAJAMAS Apr16 Mar11       (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 4.00 ★    
3  PLATINUM GEM Apr16 Jan15       (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 115 15.00 ★    
4  PEPPER         (dickey keith)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00 ★    
5  DANA'S BEAUTY Apr09 Feb19       (russell )GALLARDO A 121 6.00    
SCR  CARAMEL MARTINI Apr28         (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 68% 0.50    
7  STATE CROWN         (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 10.00    
SCR  FORGOTTEN PEACE         (girten tim)SPIETH S 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  MARIPOSA D'ORO Apr24 Apr11 Mar18 Feb19 Jan15 (miller)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 15.00    
 
PID-8   05/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE OR STROLL         (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 121 8.00 16% 5.20    
2  ROLLING MO Apr20 Mar13 Feb23 Jan29 Jan09 (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 10.00    
3  DAVE'S TEXAS LADY         (radosevich s)ALENCAR WALBER 121 6.00 11% 8.10    
4  LAWN DART Mar25 Mar17 Feb11 Feb02   (brooks geral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 4.00    
5  D DAWG Apr02         (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
6  MERINO WOOL Mar16 Mar09 Feb08 Jan14 Jan04 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 121 20.00    
7  EMERALD CITADELLE         (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 121 5.00 9% 10.10    
8  LADY MARVEL         (skawinsk)MARTINEZ A 121 8.00    
9  DATA PRINCESS         (ruberto loui)AYALA J 121 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.