Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - May 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-1   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTORIOUS NICK Apr01 Mar04       (arnett jon )GARCIA A 119 3.50 ★    
2  TRUE SAINT Mar12 Feb19 Jan14     (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 119 5.00    
3  ONOMATOPOEIA May03 Apr11 Mar29     (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 8.00 ★    
4  GALACTICA         (tibbitts dave)TOHILL S 119 12.00 9% 10.20    
5  THREE EYED RAVEN Apr09 Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 Jan27 (caldw)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  FLY FIRST CLASS Apr22 Mar06 Feb25     (arceo salvador)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00    
7  FEARLESS WILL May02 Mar05 Feb20     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
PRM-2   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST SOPHIA Apr24 Mar27 Feb25 Jan30 Jan09 (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 119 10.00 14% 6.10    
2  MAZIE G Apr24 Mar31 Mar17 Feb21 Jan14 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 8.00 ★    
3  SENTIMENTAL CROSS Apr29 Mar25 Mar06     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Apr08 Apr02 Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 (lemburg mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 2.50    
5  EPWORTH Apr24 Mar17 Feb11 Jan28   (morse l)BIRZER E 124 4.50 ★    
6  LIL DITTY'S KITTY Mar30 Mar12 Mar02     (gustafson austi)ROMAN KEVIN 114 2.00 25% 3.10    
 
PRM-3   05/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAKE SOLUTION Mar26         (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
2  GHOST STRATEGY Apr22 Apr15 Feb27 Jan22   (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 124 3.00 ★    
3  BILLY YANK Apr22 Mar11 Feb03 Jan06   (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 1.60 49% 1.00    
4  MACHINEGUNPREACHER Apr20 Apr10 Feb26 Feb06 Jan21 (arnett jon )GARCIA A 119 2.00 ★    
5  D VON TAE Apr21 Apr12 Jan20     (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 116 5.00 ★    
 
PRM-4   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLIRTATIOUS SMILE May06 Apr24 Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 (martin timot)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.00 ★    
2  FIFTH RISK Apr23 Apr08 Mar25 Jan23   (broberg karl)CANCHARI ALEX 119 1.60 26% 2.80    
3  TROPINKA Apr29 Apr09 Mar12 Feb13   (anderson l)TOHILL S 114 5.00 ★    
4  PRINCESS NAYYY NAY Mar19         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  SLUSHY May01 Apr01 Mar12     (anderson )DE CRUZ 116 6.00    
6  LEGENDARY GIFT Apr08 Mar25 Feb27 Feb20 Jan14 (martin e)BIRZER E 119 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
PRM-5   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAGGY GEORGE Apr15 Jan29 Jan08     (arnett jon )GARCIA A 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  RIDE RICHIE RIDE Apr07 Mar25 Mar16 Feb09 Jan16 (broberg karl)CANCHARI ALEX 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
3  BIG THORN Apr15 Mar24 Feb27 Jan16   (martin e)BIRZER E 119 1.60 ★    
4  J'S LITTLE MAN Apr22 Apr10 Mar24 Feb26 Feb12 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
5  ROCK CITY ROCKET May01 Apr09       (martin timot)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 6.00 ★    
6  FLYTA         (murphy swan)NOLL S 114 12.00    
 
PRM-6   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($47.174K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO DARLING         (martin wi)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
2  TOPLESS         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 119 4.00 7% 12.70    
3  SNAPY GAL         (murphy swan)NOLL S 119 3.00 ★    
4  KELA'S TURN Jan07         (guillory j)BIRZER E 119 1.60 56% 0.80    
5  BOSSY MOMENT         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.50 7% 14.00    
6  OLIVE OYL         (wellington tom)CORBETT W 119 6.00    
7  DAMASCUS GATE         (fett brandi)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-7   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOKED ON DREAMS         (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 ★    
2  ROCKYMOUNTAIN BREW         (von kelly)CORBETT W 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  SWAMPDRAINER         (pearson pau)GARCIA A 124 20.00    
4  ALL OVER OLIVER Apr23 Mar27       (tracy tanner)CANCHARI ALEX 124 10.00    
5  TWIRLING CHIEF         (guillory j)TOHILL S 124 12.00 ★    
6  JUSTICE ONCE Apr23 Mar23       (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
7  LURCH         (anderson )DE CRUZ 119 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.