Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSOLVED Apr16 Apr02 Mar05 Feb03 Jan20 (gonzalez isai )MCNEIL BRYAN 120 1.80 44% 1.20    
2  LEMONS IS GONE Apr16 Apr02 Feb17 Jan29   (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 119 15.00    
3  YAYASGOTMOREGAME Apr24 Mar26 Mar13     (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 2.50 ★    
4  MY BOY GUS Apr23 Apr09 Mar26 Mar12 Feb19 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 124 2.00 22% 3.70    
5  BOLD IMAGE Apr10 Mar13 Feb26     (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HALO JAX Apr10 Mar20 Feb25     (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 ★    
 
FON-2   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY WHO Apr09 Feb26       (davis frank)JUDE JOHN 124 1.80 32% 2.20    
2  PREACHER May01 Apr16 Mar26 Mar19 Mar05 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 3.00 ★    
3  BIG BIZ May01 Apr09 Mar19 Feb25   (black marissa)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00    
4  ITS A DEAL Apr23 Apr08 Mar11 Feb24   (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
5  GREY ROGUE May01 Apr08 Mar26 Mar13 Feb10 (hibdon n)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00 ★    
6  TIGER THE MAN Apr30 Mar26 Feb26     (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 6% 16.50    
 
FON-3   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSEIDON'S MAGIC Apr30 Apr16 Mar18 Mar12 Jan01 (gonzalez isai )LUARK T 124 6.00 14% 5.90    
2  CHIEFTESS Apr16 Apr08 Mar25 Mar18 Jan12 (bliss dean)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00    
3  TICKER Apr29 Apr15 Feb20     (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
4  ULTRA CORDIAL Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Mar05 Feb25 (anderson c)RAMOS B 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
5  POLLY WAR CRY Apr30 Apr16 Mar04     (bliss dean)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00    
6  AQUATICA Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 (compton shelby)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
7  D L'S GIRL Apr30 Apr10 Mar27 Mar11 Feb20 (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 1.80 ★    
 
FON-4   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP ATTACK Apr30 Mar19 Mar06 Jan08   (gonzalez isai )OLESIAK JAKE 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
2  PREFERRED PROSPECT Apr23 Apr01 Mar19 Feb26   (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
3  CREASY         (chavez juan)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00    
4  JIMMIE T Apr30 Apr16       (haar j)CHICKENESS S 124 20.00 6% 14.70    
5  BUD MINISTER Apr23 Apr10 Mar26 Mar20 Feb27 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
6  SIDE STREET DAVE Apr30 Apr10       (sanderson br)BETHKE A 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
7  MY TRUE REWARD Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Mar12 Feb26 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 ★    
 
FON-5   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($8.47K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDGE'S BRIBE Apr22 Mar27 Mar06     (black marissa)JUDE JOHN 124 1.60 60% 0.70    
2  INEWAGALLIKETHAT Apr22 Mar06 Feb20     (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 119 2.50 7% 14.10    
3  SING CHARMER SING Mar27 Mar11 Feb25     (compton shelby)CHICKENESS S 119 6.00    
4  B T'S BAD BOY Feb27         (hall l)BETHKE A 124 4.00 ★    
5  MR. BIG SHOT Mar27 Feb27       (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 6.00 ★    
6  PRINCE B Apr22 Mar26 Feb27     (rivera p)RAMOS B 124 12.00    
7  CHIEF TY HE Apr22 Mar27 Feb27     (hemmer terrell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00 ★    
 
FON-6   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCHARCH TALE Apr23 Apr09 Mar18     (compton shelby)OLESIAK JAKE 124 6.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR Apr23 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26   (hawley joe)GARNETT G 124 8.00 9% 10.70    
3  LIL SILVER FOX Feb26         (sorensen mike)LUARK T 124 15.00    
4  SUBSCRIPTION Apr30 Apr16 Mar26     (rivera p)RAMOS B 124 1.60 47% 1.10    
SCR  BREWSTER Apr16 Apr01 Mar18 Feb26 Jan12 (castillo jose )MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
6  UNCLE TAP Apr09 Mar26 Mar12 Feb19   (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 ★    
7  BOBBY BOOTS Apr23 Apr09 Mar19 Mar12 Jan12 (hibdon mark )BETHKE A 124 5.00 7% 13.50    
8  TOMBI Apr23 Mar19       (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00    
SCR  WAGER NO MO Apr09 Feb25       (gonzalez isai )CHICKENESS S 120 12.00    
 
FON-7   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3 C/G PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALEB ON THE GO Apr24 Apr03       (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  V. R. FRIENDLYGARY Apr24 Mar27 Mar20 Mar06 Feb20 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 118 3.00 ★    
3  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Apr24 Apr16 Apr03 Mar20   (lemburg mark)CHICKENESS S 122 20.00    
4  PAISANO JIM Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 Mar06   (anderson c)JUDE JOHN 116 10.00 ★    
5  FOR REEL Apr24 Apr16 Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 118 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  TOO MANY CAPTAINS Apr24 Apr03 Mar20     (black marissa)MCNEIL BRYAN 116 4.00 11% 8.10    
7  HUSKER LEGACY Apr03         (compton shelby)HAAR NATHAN 122 15.00    
 
FON-8   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HORSE FLY Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Feb25   (hoffman robert)GARNETT G 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  I'M LUCKY Apr29         (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 12.00    
3  LITTLE NO WAY Apr16 Apr03 Mar20     (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
4  AMACE Apr24 Apr10       (montano wilfri)CHICKENESS S 124 20.00    
5  CONVICT PIKE Apr22 Apr16 Feb23 Jan30 Jan07 (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00    
6  FREUDIAN SIP Apr30 Apr08 Mar18 Feb24 Jan26 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
7  DREAM BABY DREAM Apr30 Apr16 Apr09 Mar26 Mar20 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
8  SEELEY Apr16 Apr02 Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 9% 10.50    
9  FERRARI ROAD Apr09 Mar26 Mar12 Feb20   (muckey john)JUDE JOHN 124 3.00    
 
FON-9   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEGREATGENERATION May06         (womochil jeff)LUARK T 124 5.00    
2  GEE WHIZ WHO Apr22 Apr03       (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  THORNISH Apr15 Apr01 Mar19 Mar05 Feb26 (anderson c)RAMOS B 124 4.50 6% 14.80    
SCR  FAYETTE WARRIOR Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 Mar06   (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 6.00 ★    
5  BLUE TWISTED STEEL         (deisley gale)CHICKENESS S 124 10.00    
6  MOST AMUSING May06 Apr22 Apr03 Mar20 Mar12 (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 3.00 63% 0.60    
7  BREAKIN DAYLIGHT Apr30 Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 (black marissa)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 5% 17.90    
8  RANDOM AFFAIR Apr23 Mar20 Mar06     (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.