Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Friday - May 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRINA'S HERO Apr02         (perez manny)ORTEGA O 124 20.00    
WITCHING         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  HARD LIKE HOLLY Apr30 Apr24 Apr09 Mar11 Feb23 (hughes ear)URDANETA J 118 4.00    
BELLS OF JOY Apr24 Apr02 Mar02 Feb16 Jan11 (meraz antonio)RIVERA BRYAN 114 4.50 30% 2.40    
GOSHEN GIRL         (lada liana)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 8.00    
VICTORIA'S DOLL         (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 5.00 8% 11.00    
AMARI S. Apr24 Apr10 Apr02 Mar19 Mar10 (hernandez javie)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.50    
 
HAW-2   05/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOODWINK Apr09 Feb10       (candelas blanc)RIVERA BRYAN 111 15.00    
UPSIDE DOWN May07 Apr23 Apr09 Mar02 Feb19 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 4.00    
GODSGIFT Apr23 Mar04 Feb11     (rose wayne)LOPEZ A 121 20.00    
PERFECT DIVA Apr23 Apr03 Feb11 Jan20 Jan03 (perez manny)MOJICA O 121 4.50 14% 5.90    
I LOVE TO RACE May07 Apr23 Apr03 Mar23 Feb25 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 5.00    
AH LEAH Apr30 Apr17       (hernandez arman)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00    
SCR  SHEZ RECKLESS May03 Apr03 Mar19 Feb23 Feb04 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 115 1.60 63% 0.60    
 
HAW-3   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OMAHA RED Apr03         (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 1.20 44% 1.30    
PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN         (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 118 15.00    
BOURBON TEDDY         (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 118 12.00    
NO MORE Z U Apr23         (young ter)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 10.00    
BOAT SONG Apr03 Mar17 Jan02     (robertson hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 1.80 26% 2.90    
MISSOURI GENT         (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 4.50 10% 8.70    
 
HAW-4   05/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL CONQUEST May07 Apr17 Apr02 Jan29   (cook brian)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 30.00    
MISSION BELLE Mar16 Jan29       (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 2.50    
GOLDEN GOPHER         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50 49% 1.00    
UNION PARK GAL (IRE)         (haran john)RIVERA BRYAN 111 10.00    
CERTAIN HEARTS Apr09 Jan16       (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
PINK CHANNEL Mar16 Feb21       (scherer gary)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00    
READY AT MIDNIGHT Mar25 Jan21       (young r)EMIGH A 121 6.00    
SCR  SAMARITA Apr23         (childers vance)BAIRD T 114 12.00    
 
HAW-5   05/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAY IN THE COUNTRY Apr24         (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
YALIKEANYTHING Apr23 Apr09       (hughes w)RIVERA BRYAN 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
MIND YOUR OWN BIZ Apr24 Apr09       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 49% 1.00    
SCR  UPBEAT MELODY May03         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 121 3.00 12% 7.70    
PO BOY Apr24 Apr17 Apr03 Mar24   (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 118 6.00 8% 11.10    
BEE HAPPY ATTACK May03         (bahena fernando)BAIRD T 121 10.00    
FINAL CALL Apr24         (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00    
CAUSEIMCHOCOLATE         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00    
 
HAW-6   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTI SKY Apr23         (cristel j)LOPEZ E 118 4.00 13% 6.50    
DASTARDLY DEEDS Apr23 Jan16       (candelas b)URDANETA J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KINGSBURRY ATTACK         (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00    
DASH TO THE CASH         (lindsay ri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  DIAMND CON SUERTE         (wilborn k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 15.00    
ROCKET MAN ATTACK Apr23         (childers vance)BAIRD T 118 4.50    
FLASHFIRE Mar27         (mitchell anthon)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00    
AHEADOFTHEGAME Apr23         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.60 49% 1.00    
 
HAW-7   05/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUDA SPEED Apr10         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.50 57% 0.80    
SERMONONTHEMOUNT Apr02 Feb25       (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00    
RICHIESGOTGAME         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
TOUGH TO TAME Mar13         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 114 10.00    
GITA'S LAD May01 Apr17 Feb18 Jan01   (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 121 8.00    
TWOKO BAY Apr17 Mar19       (scherer gary)FELIX E 121 6.00    
LAVENDER EARL Apr30 Apr16 Mar09 Feb16 Jan15 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.00    
 
HAW-8   05/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DARK NINJA Apr30 Apr19 Apr02 Mar09 Feb13 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 121 30.00    
SCR  IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT Apr09 Mar27 Mar06 Feb05 Jan21 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 121 15.00    
WILLING TO SPEED Feb16         (catalano m)MOJICA O 121 10.00    
CLEAR N CONVINCING         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 7% 14.10    
DUCHOSSOIS Mar19 Feb26       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 4.00 7% 13.70    
DOLLAR BLUE Apr30 Apr10       (martinez a)LOPEZ E 121 20.00    
TAP THE MOJO Apr17 Apr01 Mar17 Feb10 Jan22 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00 19% 4.30    
BORA BORA Apr24 Apr09       (cook brian)LOPEZ A 121 30.00    
SCR  RIVER FINN Apr01 Mar12 Feb20 Jan30   (haran john)URDANETA J 121 30.00    
10  HALF OF MANHATTAN         (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 10% 9.40    
11  CHRISTIAN C Apr17 Mar02       (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00 33% 2.10    
12  TALLESTOFTHETALL Mar02 Feb10 Jan29     (campbell joel)BOWEN ROCCO 121 15.00    
SCR  COWBOYS DREAM         (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.