Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - May 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   05/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN CARDO Apr16 Mar06 Feb11 Jan20   (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 126 5.00 36% 1.80    
VINNY Apr03 Mar18 Feb26 Feb10 Jan30 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
PIT STOP MAN Apr23 Mar25 Feb24 Feb11 Jan13 (frock l)AVILES YAN 110 12.00    
TRIPLE TITOS Apr01 Mar20 Feb21 Feb04 Jan27 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 121 5.00    
SCR  I AM THE CASH MAN Apr03 Feb20 Feb03     (progno christop)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 2.50    
WAR NOVEL Apr20 Apr08 Mar25 Mar09 Feb25 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 126 4.00    
 
LRL-2   05/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEA'S THEME Jan29         (ramirez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 123 12.00    
SCR  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE)         (demari)ENRIQUEZ JR 114 3.00    
RAN CHAR Mar26 Mar18 Feb06 Jan22   (frock l)AVILES YAN 112 10.00    
SHACKABOOM Apr29 Mar18 Feb24 Feb03   (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 118 1.60 44% 1.30    
SCR  EIFS         (mcmahon i)ROSADO JOHAN 123 1.80 22% 3.60    
SUZZETTE STAR Mar04 Feb21 Jan28     (parram derr)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  R TRUE SENSATION Apr30 Mar26 Mar11 Feb19 Jan20 (downs le)BUTTERFLY L 114 15.00    
SCR  LA DAME Mar08 Feb18 Feb03 Jan01   (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 20.00    
SCR  SILENT FLUIDITY Apr28 Apr08 Mar26 Mar11   (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 5.00 11% 8.40    
10  SING ALONG SUZY Mar06 Feb26 Feb09     (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 119 6.00    
11  SUNSHINEANRAINBOWS Apr09 Mar18 Feb12 Feb02   (capuano da)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 4.50    
 
LRL-3   05/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRIKE MAGIC Apr24 Mar05 Feb12     (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 114 4.50    
GHOST MAIDEN Apr24 Mar25 Mar04 Jan16   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
SIX O'CLOCK SARAH Apr27 Apr05 Feb21     (ness jamie)AVILES YAN 107 5.00    
HONOR YOUR MOTHER Apr09 Mar19 Feb12     (smith d)ALVELO C 118 3.50    
SCR  CENTRE COURT CHAMP Apr12 Mar21 Mar01     (mosco robert)OCASIO M 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
BETCHA BY GOLLY Apr24 Mar18 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 (andreadaki)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 112 15.00    
SAX Mar25 Feb21 Jan22     (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 110 15.00    
 
LRL-4   05/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37.95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEANOW Apr21 Apr03 Mar13 Mar05 Feb12 (cash norm)CARRASCO R 123 12.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  CHAUFFEUR Apr23 Apr08 Mar25 Feb20 Feb03 (salzman e)ARAUJO DENIS 126 30.00    
STROLL SMOKIN Mar05 Feb10 Jan14 Jan02   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.80 20% 4.10    
GLORY SONG         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
JOVIS Apr29 Jan30       (capuano a)AVILES YAN 116 10.00    
SCR  ALGEBRAIC Mar19 Feb12 Jan21     (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 117 4.00 17% 5.00    
BEAR FORCE WON Apr16 Mar11 Feb21 Jan16 Jan02 (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 1.60 26% 2.90    
 
LRL-5   05/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TORRE BRANCA Apr10         (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 20.00    
SCR  BEDTIMEBOURBON Apr08         (morgan ca)CARRASCO R 114 15.00    
LITTLE BIT OF THAT         (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 114 3.50 20% 3.90    
HITCH A RIDE         (capuano a)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 2.50 24% 3.10    
GUSTAV'S GIRL Apr08         (saville niall)TREJOS JOSEPH 114 15.00    
MOONSAFE Mar20 Feb11 Jan14     (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 126 6.00 14% 6.30    
MAGICAL LUNA Apr09 Mar20 Feb11 Jan02   (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 118 6.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  SUMMER ODDS Apr22 Apr08 Mar18 Feb12 Jan27 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
PEACE OUT Apr09 Mar20 Feb10 Jan27   (meister s)DELGADO A 123 15.00    
 
LRL-6   05/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEFY EXPECTATIONS         (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 5.00 10% 9.10    
LIKELY CHOICE Apr24         (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
STARTWITHABANG Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 Jan28   (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 126 15.00    
FLIRTATIOUS LASS         (capuano gary )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  A GIRL NAMED JAC Mar19         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  BECKON         (merryman michae)CENTENO E 123 6.00 10% 9.00    
HOUSE WRECKER Mar23 Mar05 Jan15     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 10.00    
BOURBON WILDCAT Jan30 Jan20       (magana jo)CARRASCO R 123 15.00 8% 11.80    
THIEF OF HEARTS Mar06 Jan28 Jan06     (rubley kelly)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
SCR  AWESOME JAZZ         (merryman w)ACOSTA D 123 4.50    
 
LRL-7   05/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY AND YOU Apr08 Mar19 Mar04 Feb11 Jan21 (peacock roy)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00    
MONEY RIDE Apr21 Mar26 Mar13 Feb20 Jan30 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
INDIAN LAKE         (ness jamie)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 5.00 37% 1.70    
CROUCHELLI Apr21 Mar26 Jan21     (vukelic ro)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 20.00    
PLOT THE DOTS Apr23 Mar26 Feb20 Jan21   (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 2.50 11% 7.80    
YOU MUST CHILL Apr22 Mar29 Feb01 Jan05   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.40    
 
LRL-8   05/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY UNION Apr22 Apr02 Mar18 Feb25   (gonzalez clau)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
ULF         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 124 8.00    
MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Apr24 Apr03 Mar13 Feb11 Jan16 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50 11% 8.40    
THE THINKER Apr15 Mar19       (allen ferri)ALVELO C 119 15.00    
OUR FREEDOM Apr22 Apr07 Mar19     (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 124 20.00    
SCINTILLIO Apr15 Mar11 Feb11     (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
SWALLOW BEACH         (meister s)DELGADO A 124 20.00    
STREET LAMP Apr01 Mar18 Mar12 Feb18 Feb04 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 124 4.00 44% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.