Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Saturday - May 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   05/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD REGARD Mar30 Mar08 Feb02     (vazquez juan )MILAN GERARDO 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
CALLMETHEBREEZE Apr20 Apr13 Mar21 Feb22 Feb08 (guerrero c)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.50    
OUTWORKNFORAKISS Mar22 Mar01 Feb02     (milian carlos)OCASIO M 126 3.00 35% 1.90    
DATA DEAL Apr20 Apr05 Mar13 Jan09   (dandy j)RIVERA EDWIN 126 4.00    
DUCK DUCKY GOOSE Apr05 Feb23 Jan12     (allen randy)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 5.00    
IMPOSSEBULL Apr05         (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 126 20.00    
SCR  ORACABESSA Apr27 Apr20 Apr05 Mar21 Mar08 (whylie herold)RIVERA D 126 15.00    
 
PRX-2   05/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT-12:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEINTE Apr11         (hawthorne b)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 12.00 19% 4.40    
FLY FLY BIRD Apr25 Mar30 Mar09 Mar02 Feb15 (taylor jose)NUNEZ Y 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
DON'T TELL GRANDMA         (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.00 21% 3.80    
ARDEAN Apr25 Apr11 Mar30 Mar14   (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
CHARLY'S CHOO CHOO Apr25         (coletti edwa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 15.00    
FIFTYSHADESOFRUN Apr18 Mar30 Mar16 Feb02   (vazquez ca)BOWMAN ADAM 121 3.00    
RUBY DOOBY DOO Apr25 Apr04 Mar30 Mar09 Mar01 (ashton patri)BURKE JERMAINE 121 15.00    
 
PRX-3   05/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET SAMURAI Apr19 Mar22       (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  NURTURING Apr19 Mar28 Feb22 Jan05   (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 123 12.00    
SCR  A RING THING Mar18 Feb24 Feb04 Jan13   (soto c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 5.00    
SYSTEMIC RISK Apr27 Apr19 Mar21 Feb21 Feb07 (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 123 4.50    
VINO Y QUESO Feb21         (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 3.00 12% 7.70    
MEMPHIS MAFIA Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 Feb12 Jan25 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
SHETALKSTOMUCH Apr26 Apr11 Mar14 Feb08 Jan14 (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 6.00    
SEAMIALAUGH Apr27 Apr04 Mar21 Feb16 Feb01 (moore mi)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00 9% 9.70    
 
PRX-4   05/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALONZO MOSELY Apr27 Apr13 Mar22 Feb23 Feb07 (bouchard lesl)OCASIO M 123 6.00 7% 14.00    
AUSTIN WHYLIE Mar21 Feb23 Jan18     (whylie herold)RIVERA D 123 8.00    
KODAPENDENT Apr11 Mar01 Feb15 Jan18   (reid e)RIVERA EDWIN 123 3.00 62% 0.60    
LIBERTY RUNNER Apr26 Apr20       (leung carlos)BURKE JERMAINE 123 20.00    
WILL TAKE CONTROL Mar30 Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 4.00    
TWO PRINCES Apr13 Jan21       (padilla-pr)CABALLERO HECTOR 123 6.00    
INDOCTRINATE Apr13 Mar22 Mar08 Feb09 Jan27 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 5.00    
KITH         (taylor jos)GILARDO COURTNEY 116 3.50    
 
PRX-5   05/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Mar22 Feb22       (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 1.20 27% 2.70    
FREEDOM CHEER Apr06         (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 121 15.00    
SARATOGA DREAM         (pessanha ney)RIVERA D 121 15.00 25% 3.00    
ROLIN N CONTROLIN         (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 6.00    
SMARTY PANTS SANDY Apr12 Mar30 Mar16 Feb22 Feb01 (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 3.50    
PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN         (reid e)RIVERA EDWIN 121 4.50 26% 2.90    
HOLD ME CLOSER Apr18 Mar28 Mar14 Mar01 Feb07 (mosco robert)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 5.00    
 
PRX-6   05/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THORNY TALE Apr01 Mar15 Feb07 Jan19   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
SILENT MALICE Apr28 Apr01 Mar19 Mar06 Feb20 (sanchez-salomo)PENNINGTON F 123 5.00    
OUR MAN LUKE Apr19         (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 4.00 10% 9.30    
SOUPER FLY OVER Apr13 Mar23 Mar07 Jan26 Jan04 (collazo luis)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 4.50    
RUBY BLEU Apr19 Mar23 Feb10 Jan19   (pearce penny)ADORNO ABNER 126 2.00 24% 3.10    
SOCIAL GROUP Apr20 Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 Jan10 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 123 10.00    
 
PRX-7   05/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIZAAM Apr27 Mar29 Mar01 Jan25 Jan10 (bravo-estr)CABALLERO HECTOR 123 6.00    
BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Apr20 Mar23 Mar09 Feb02 Jan03 (solis jacin)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 5.00    
AMERICAN ROMA Apr04 Mar23 Mar02 Feb01 Jan04 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 12.00    
HOORAY FOR HARVEY Apr27 Apr04 Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 (gallimore tre)RIVERA D 123 6.00    
SON OF A SAINT Apr13 Mar16 Feb07     (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
BLUGRASCAT'S SMILE Apr04 Mar23 Mar09 Mar01 Feb16 (caban carlos )OCASIO M 123 12.00    
DUBROVSKY Apr20 Mar23 Mar14 Feb23   (bouchard le)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
FACTOR THIS IN Apr04 Mar09 Feb18 Feb07   (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
PRX-8   05/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 Allowance Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT TURBULENCE Feb16         (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 6.00    
PRESS MY BETS Apr26 Mar29 Feb16 Feb01   (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 123 4.50    
EMPIRE'S SCORE Mar23 Feb21 Jan26     (wilhelm jen)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 116 20.00    
HOLLYWOOD JET Apr06 Mar07 Feb07     (milian carlos)OCASIO M 123 1.20 56% 0.80    
ADMIRAL ABE         (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
THE SICARII Mar15 Feb15 Jan26 Jan04   (kirby t)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00    
PENNSYLVANIA STEEL Apr04 Feb28       (sanchez-pin)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 12.00    
 
PRX-9   05/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENANCE Apr05 Mar15 Mar07 Feb23 Feb15 (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 8.00    
MISS DILLINGHAM Apr12 Mar28 Mar09 Feb09   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 126 1.20 44% 1.30    
MISS LOYALTY Apr12 Mar28 Mar09 Feb09 Jan10 (lott woo)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 6.00    
OBSTINATE Apr12 Mar28 Feb22 Feb02 Jan05 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 123 4.50    
TORN JEANS Apr11 Feb10 Jan14     (flores-coba)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 116 15.00    
CHARITY STRIPE Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 Feb09   (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 5.00    
WONDER CITY Apr25 Apr13 Mar21 Mar02 Feb07 (perez ruper)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 12.00 6% 15.30    
TIZ A SHARPIE Mar28 Mar09 Feb15 Jan19   (pattershall ma)RIVERA EDWIN 123 10.00 20% 3.90    
 
PRX-10   05/07/2022 6600ft DIRT RC0 Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT OUT FLYING Apr11 Mar19 Feb07 Jan03   (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 126 3.50 22% 3.50    
LONG GRAY LINE Apr18 Mar29 Mar09 Feb23 Feb01 (ramirez silv)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 10.00    
TERRY'S CHARM Apr20 Mar23 Mar16 Mar02 Jan12 (abrams ronald)CASTILLO A 123 12.00    
SKIPIN ON ORCHARD Apr11 Mar23 Feb22 Feb15 Jan04 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 5.00    
ALEJANDRO'S TEAM Apr19 Apr07 Mar15 Mar01 Feb16 (riviezzo ralp)MILAN GERARDO 123 10.00    
ROUGH SEA Apr23 Apr03 Mar05 Feb11 Jan23 (tessore bruno)ARAUJO DENIS 126 4.00 29% 2.50    
WAGON BOSS Apr18 Mar29 Mar09 Mar02 Feb09 (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 123 12.00 7% 13.20    
JAMMINWITHBRANDON Apr19 Mar29 Mar09 Feb21 Jan31 (solis jacin)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 12.00    
ICY DUDE Apr18 Mar08 Feb23 Feb07 Jan19 (soto c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 6.00    
10  THE ROBERT Apr13 Mar21 Feb16 Feb01   (castillo miche)ADORNO ABNER 123 15.00    
11  EXIT RIGHT Apr15 Mar22 Mar09 Feb07 Jan17 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 126 3.00 9% 10.70    
12  GIGGING Apr22 Apr13 Apr01 Mar19 Feb26 (cash l)PENNINGTON F 123 4.50 8% 11.40    
13  GENGHIS Apr19 Mar23 Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 (flores-coba)NUNEZ Y 123 15.00    
14  KINGSVILLE Apr18 Mar22 Mar07 Feb18 Feb07 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 12.00    
15  JACOHARE Apr26 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb15 (milian carl)NUNEZ Y 123 15.00    
16  LOAD UP MOE Apr04 Mar09 Jan19 Jan04   (mercedes pe)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 15.00    
 
PRX-11   05/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARABLE Apr18 Apr06 Mar15 Feb23   (wyner harold)OCASIO M 123 12.00    
BOHEMIA BABE Apr19 Feb28 Feb16 Jan31   (mercedes pedro)BOWMAN ADAM 123 20.00    
YOURINDENIAL Apr05 Feb21 Feb07 Jan03   (nichols)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
MISS ALEX Apr19 Apr06 Mar15 Mar02 Jan14 (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00 6% 15.60    
LADY BERNADETTE Apr18 Apr06 Mar14 Mar01 Feb22 (perez ruperto)MILAN GERARDO 118 6.00    
BROAD JUMPER Apr19 Mar28 Mar15 Feb22 Jan31 (marquez ces)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 4.50 6% 16.40    
BALBOA'S SMILE Apr18 Mar28 Mar15 Mar02 Jan31 (padilla-pr)CABALLERO HECTOR 118 12.00    
RELENTLESS RUBY Apr06 Mar14 Feb16 Feb08 Jan10 (linder louis)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 5.00 50% 1.00    
MONSTER RISING Apr05 Mar23 Mar14 Mar02 Feb21 (guerrero mele)RIVERA D 123 15.00    
10  HIT A HOMER HONEY Apr26 Apr19 Apr06 Feb24 Feb12 (romero alex)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 111 4.00 17% 4.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.