Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Saturday - May 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   05/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC SOLUTION Apr17 Mar24 Feb19     (meraz anto)URDANETA J 124 2.50    
SPECIAL CONQUEST Apr17 Apr02 Jan29     (cook brian)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 6.00 9% 10.20    
I LOVE TO RACE Apr23 Apr03 Mar23 Feb25   (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 5.00    
UPSIDE DOWN Apr23 Apr09 Mar02 Feb19   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 3.00 34% 1.90    
NOFANSINTHESTANDS Apr03 Mar20 Mar04 Feb11 Jan10 (claire alexis)FELIX E 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
HOOSIER GOLD CASE Apr23 Apr03       (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 4.50    
 
HAW-2   05/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KINGSBURRY ATTACK         (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 124 5.00 8% 11.10    
DREAM ATTACK Apr02         (childers vance)BAIRD T 124 15.00    
BIG MERRILL Apr17 Mar27 Mar17 Mar03   (scherer gary)FELIX E 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
SWEET TONIC Apr24 Apr17       (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 124 30.00    
K C'S FIRST B M W Mar23         (tracy tanner)EMIGH A 124 12.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  ART HEIST Apr20 Mar17 Feb19 Jan22   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 0.80 52% 0.90    
CALICO JOE Apr17 Mar05 Jan26 Jan13   (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 6.00    
 
HAW-3   05/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STACY ATTACK Apr24 Apr03 Mar02     (watkins m)FELIX E 121 3.00 15% 5.70    
NIFF Apr24 Jan23       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 115 2.00 12% 7.10    
SHEZA HOOT Apr30 Apr09       (zawitz joel)LOPEZ E 115 8.00    
MUD HUT         (kirby frank )CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00    
MIND YOUR OWN Apr26         (delong ben)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50    
PHILLY WINS Mar16 Feb06 Jan14     (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
HAW-4   05/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J J'S SOLUTION Apr23 Apr02 Jan15     (rednour jo)URDANETA J 124 20.00    
PATH TO SUCCESS Apr23 Apr03 Mar03 Feb14   (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 117 3.50    
SCR  BEACH HOLIDAY Apr14 Mar31 Mar05 Feb10   (holsapple)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 12.00 5% 18.30    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE Apr17 Apr03       (rodriguez eduar)BOWEN ROCCO 117 6.00    
JIM AND JIM Apr07 Feb20       (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 15.00    
BROTHER HAROLD Mar23 Feb26       (block chris)SANCHEZ DIEGO 117 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  YO DAWG         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 5.00 8% 11.70    
DRIVEN ONE Mar17 Mar05 Jan29     (mason ingrid)EMIGH A 117 4.50 7% 14.10    
 
HAW-5   05/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT THINGS Apr24         (bahena fer)URDANETA J 121 8.00 13% 6.60    
BRAVO BRAVO Apr16 Mar19 Mar04 Feb18   (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00    
SCR  WILD FOX Apr17 Apr03       (dizeo dino)LOPEZ A 121 10.00 17% 4.90    
TWO WORLDS         (wainwright john)FELIX E 121 8.00    
CHOCOLATE BUNNY         (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 121 20.00    
HAPPY CAMPER Apr16 Apr01 Mar18 Jan07   (manley steve)BAIRD T 121 1.80    
REGULAR GUY Apr16 Mar24 Feb19     (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00    
QUANTUM LEAP         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50 44% 1.30    
 
HAW-6   05/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET HAMMERED Apr09         (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 20.00    
SCR  RICHIESGOTGAME         (rivelli l)ULLOA JOAN 121 4.00 9% 10.70    
LIKE A SALTSHAKER Apr17         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
IWILLPERSEVERE Apr17 Mar10 Feb12     (slager mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 10.00    
BULL HOLLOW Mar20 Jan29 Jan07     (mason ingrid)EMIGH A 121 8.00    
EL ASESINO         (quinonez max)FELIX E 121 4.50 8% 11.10    
D' YANK Apr09 Mar05       (martinez a)LOPEZ E 124 5.00    
AGGRESSIVITY Apr17 Jan01       (poulos dee)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
HAW-7   05/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACETOTHEFINISH         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 2.50 42% 1.40    
STOPSHOPPINGAMY Apr26 Apr09 Feb10     (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 116 6.00    
GET NONE Mar27 Feb24 Jan14     (rodriguez hugo)BOWEN ROCCO 116 4.50 25% 3.00    
IGGY BIGS Mar03 Feb10       (kendall elis)CENTENO ALEXIS 110 15.00    
SISTER RULER Mar25 Jan14       (boyce mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 116 3.50    
DANCIN AT MIDNIGHT Apr26         (manley steve)BAIRD T 116 3.00 9% 10.70    
WAR COLORS         (wainwright john)FELIX E 116 10.00    
 
HAW-8   05/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRAMATIC KITTEN May01 Apr23 Apr09 Mar18 Feb24 (cook brian)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
DOM CAETANO (ARG) Apr24 Feb10 Jan12     (matthews )ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
SCR  TAP THE MOJO Apr17 Apr01 Mar17 Feb10 Jan22 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 1.60 35% 1.80    
SPLASH FOR GOLD Mar05 Jan23       (mason ingrid)FELIX E 121 4.50 6% 16.30    
PACKED HOUSE         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 24% 3.10    
MAXIMUS IMAGE Apr23         (zawitz joel)LOPEZ E 121 15.00    
MR. LUV MAKER Apr24         (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 15.00    
IRISH MAJOR Apr24 Apr09 Apr03     (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
THE LAST OPTION Apr24 Apr03 Mar09 Feb11 Jan23 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.