Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - May 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   05/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOOTING STICK Apr09 Jan08       (west henry)ATEMPA LIANDRO 123 8.00    
KAITLYN'S COURT Feb17 Feb02 Jan12     (constantine car)MCMAHON J 123 3.00    
GERRIE LOU Apr09 Mar25 Mar11 Feb11   (hargrave kennet)BOURQUE J 123 20.00    
CUSTOM MADE Apr09 Feb24 Jan21     (landry ray)STOKES J 123 2.50 7% 13.00    
MY AVANI Apr09 Mar11 Jan21     (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
JUST A WIN Feb17 Feb02 Jan14     (landry ray)FUSILIER C 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
EVD-2   05/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT TRIP Apr21 Mar20 Feb14 Jan27 Jan07 (cordero an)MARQUEZ L 120 5.00    
GRACESSPECIALTOUCH Apr16 Feb09       (landry ray)STOKES J 120 8.00 12% 7.70    
VELVET NIGHT Apr09 Mar17 Feb18 Jan28 Jan08 (dandridge c)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50    
JENNIFER'S ARCH Apr13 Mar05 Feb18 Jan27   (larrosa juan )SMITH J 120 10.00    
GOODNIGHT GRACIE Apr09 Mar17 Feb16 Jan27 Jan08 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 123 2.50 13% 6.70    
ZYDECO MUSIC Apr13 Feb18 Jan19 Jan08   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
EVD-3   05/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEMI CHARMED LIFE Apr20 Apr07 Mar17 Feb25 Feb05 (besancon danny)STOKES J 123 4.00    
FLASHBURN Feb23 Feb03 Jan12     (breaux samuel)BOURQUE J 123 6.00 23% 3.40    
HOT LE ROY Apr20 Apr06 Mar11 Feb24 Feb12 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
THE THREE KS Apr20 Apr07 Mar18 Mar05 Feb18 (williams kevi)SMITH J 123 4.50 15% 5.70    
ONE PROUD BOY Apr20 Jan12       (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 123 2.00    
MY LITTLE FLACO Apr20 Feb25 Jan07     (cordero ang)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 20.00    
 
EVD-4   05/05/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENUINE KITTEN         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 123 3.50 47% 1.10    
ORPHAN CREEK Apr20 Mar19 Feb16 Feb05 Jan14 (moran clyde)MCMAHON J 115 5.00 6% 16.50    
T G'S NELSON Apr20 Mar13 Feb14 Feb03 Jan02 (alonzo)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00    
CHARLIE'S STAR         (thomas lee)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
MARLIESRAJUNCAJUN Feb09 Jan05       (meche shane)MELANCON G 120 15.00    
GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Apr20 Mar13 Feb25     (savoie sher)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 10.00    
I'M A FLASHY KID Apr14 Mar13       (besancon danny)STOKES A 123 12.00    
BLAZE OF GRAY Feb11 Jan17       (brinkman brett)BARNES JOSE 115 12.00    
MORO PHAROAH Mar05 Feb10 Jan22 Jan07   (charles jonathan)STOKES J 123 2.50 10% 9.00    
10  MARVINS GOLD         (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
EVD-5   05/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAR TAP Apr06 Mar04 Jan13     (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 3.00 26% 2.90    
ORB'S SOUL Apr06 Mar02 Feb04 Jan21   (vance james)SMITH J 118 8.00 9% 9.60    
MEMORY MAGIC Apr06 Feb19 Feb10 Jan21 Jan01 (white dale)FUSILIER C 115 4.50    
MALARTACH Apr15 Jan15       (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 118 10.00    
FIRST EMPRESS Apr14 Mar19 Mar02 Feb11 Jan28 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
VARSITY FLYGIRL Apr14 Mar13 Jan30     (faucheux ro)MORALES ROBERTO 123 2.00    
 
EVD-6   05/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEZA WAY MAKER         (ladner j)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
SCR  SUN STRIKER Apr22 Mar13 Feb20     (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00    
DANCIN WITH ANGELS Apr16 Feb10 Jan15     (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 4.00    
SCRAPPY ARTIE Apr20 Feb09       (landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
SPANKHURST Apr22 Mar13 Mar04 Feb09 Jan21 (pomier d)BARNES JOSE 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
GRUNT Feb10         (brinkman bre)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00    
SCR  HAIL SOUTHERN Apr16 Feb16 Jan27 Jan08   (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 12.00    
 
EVD-7   05/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA SALTY GAL Apr16         (averett ronnie)STOKES J 120 2.00 38% 1.70    
MY LITTLE MIA Apr16 Mar04       (perron gerard)STOKES A 120 5.00    
A P HUMOR Feb19         (latour nichol)SMITH J 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
K V SQUARED Apr16         (huval brian)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00    
JUST ANOTHER WIN         (woodley j)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
STELLAR FANTASY         (harrison cortla)BARNES JOSE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
UMATILLA Apr16         (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 3.00    
 
EVD-8   05/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRAMATIC AND QUEEN         (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 118 6.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  LULLABY BANDIT Apr22 Jan15       (shamsie randy)BOURQUE J 120 10.00 11% 8.30    
BIG TIME BANDIT Apr06         (moran clyde)MORALES ROBERTO 115 20.00    
BULLETSREVENGE Apr08         (robbin)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 4.50    
AHIMAAZ Mar27 Feb25 Jan28     (breaux sam)MARQUEZ L 123 2.00 22% 3.60    
JOHNNY BOOTLEGGS Apr22 Mar23 Mar09 Feb20 Feb04 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 8.00    
CHEATIN CHARLIE Mar27 Mar06 Feb20     (richards co)LEDET THEODRICK 115 15.00    
SPRY CHARLIE         (thomas lee)STOKES J 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
VALIANT CHARGE Apr22 Jan28       (marlin i)MCMAHON J 118 12.00 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.