Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - May 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKA BARRY         (coyle d)OUZTS W 125 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  SEA LANE Mar25 Mar09 Feb23 Feb12   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 1.80 26% 2.90    
3  AIR FORCE WARS Mar17 Feb25 Feb17     (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00 ★    
4  HIDDEN HOOK         (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 8.00 ★    
5  TRATO Mar09 Feb25       (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-2   05/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAMPTON SPRING Apr01 Feb24 Feb10     (hernandez re)ROMERO GREGORY 125 4.50 22% 3.50    
2  NESSUM DORMA Mar09 Feb01 Jan19     (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.50 14% 6.20    
3  TEMPESTUOUS AMY Mar12         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 125 1.60 ★    
4  CHECK SIX Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 Feb12 Jan04 (murillo rodr)HALDAR J 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  HERO OF THE BEST Apr01 Mar12 Feb12     (krummen m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 6.00 ★    
 
BTP-3   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL WEST Apr19 Mar31 Mar09 Feb11 Jan23 (nocero carmino)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 ★    
2  ANYTIMEALLTHETIME Mar09 Feb21       (reed r)LEON SONNY 121 2.50 54% 0.80    
3  ORB OF THE BORO Mar02 Feb18 Jan23     (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.00 ★    
4  SAY IT AIN'T SO         (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 116 1.80 17% 5.00    
5  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Mar31 Feb23 Jan31     (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 4.50 ★    
 
BTP-4   05/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANIBEL Apr11 Mar23 Mar14 Jan15   (murillo rodr)HALDAR J 123 4.50 ★    
2  TREASURE WILBURNYA Apr11 Mar23 Mar02 Jan31   (haehn r)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.00 ★    
3  DE BOLT LIGHT Apr11 Mar18 Mar02 Jan15 Jan02 (cline c)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  AFLAXENDREAM Apr11 Mar01       (laugherty joe)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00 ★    
5  MY BEST SIDE         (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 1.60 26% 2.90    
 
BTP-5   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EKATI PEACE         (ackerman )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 1.60 ★    
1A  PERFECT LIMIT         (ackerman kelly)OUZTS W 123 1.60 51% 0.90    
2  BOURBON BUNS         (jackson jeffr)CANUTO THIAGO 112 5.00 ★    
3  BOUDOIR BURLESQUE Apr15 Apr02 Mar14 Feb16 Jan21 (decker anna)MCKEE J 123 3.00 9% 9.60    
4  FIRST ROYAL Mar31 Mar12 Feb18 Jan07   (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 117 4.00 16% 5.20    
5  KAIYAS SONG Apr10 Jan08       (fairclo)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 117 4.50 ★    
 
BTP-6   05/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN TO THE GOLD Feb26 Feb10 Jan22 Jan14   (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 121 12.00 ★    
2  POLE SETTER Mar10 Feb19 Feb12     (andrade)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 1.80 69% 0.50    
3  SUBDUED Apr01 Mar02 Feb10     (bahena ismae)HALDAR J 121 5.00 ★    
4  JOYFUL HEART Apr09 Mar25 Mar03 Feb18 Jan23 (bush george)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 6.00 ★    
5  FIRST HOMESTEAD Apr25 Mar24 Feb21 Jan22   (meyers shane)LEON SONNY 121 3.50    
6  MARKITOFF Apr24 Mar05 Feb10 Jan29   (ennis john)AYALA ISAIAS 121 3.00 ★    
 
BTP-7   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILWAUKEE CAT         (feebeck t)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 10.00    
SCR  DIAMONDS N DEW Apr12 Mar26 Mar10 Jan05   (meyers shane)LEON SONNY 121 2.50 13% 7.00    
3  SARAH JANE Mar18 Feb28 Jan21     (bates l)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
4  LOVE YOU GOODBYE         (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 ★    
5  DEVIL'S ADVOCATE Feb26 Jan25       (danner doug)ROSARIO L 121 6.00    
6  GAIL'S DANCER Apr02 Mar15       (smith larry)OUZTS W 115 5.00 46% 1.20    
7  PACIFIC COAST Mar26         (hamm timothy)REYES R 115 4.50 18% 4.50    
8  ABIGAIL LEE Apr12 Jan05       (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 121 8.00 ★    
 
BTP-8   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME BID Apr19         (chapman james)CANUTO THIAGO 118 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  JOE BRRRR Mar20         (chapman james )REYES R 123 4.50    
2  TAKIN RISKS Jan02         (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 15.00    
3  ALWAYS GET REVENGE         (reed r)LEON SONNY 123 8.00 8% 11.60    
4  TOMMY POINT         (hamm timothy)REYES R 123 8.00    
5  UNCLE DICK Feb25 Feb17       (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 8.00    
6  SERPENTINE Mar02 Feb11 Jan09     (goodman c)MOJICA JR 123 3.00    
7  MOON AS MY WITNESS         (anderson cori)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00 10% 8.70    
8  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE Apr04 Mar17 Feb23     (garcia am)BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 20.00    
9  NASHCHETTA Jan02         (bush george)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 12.00    
10  EL PEJE         (hernandez re)ROMERO GREGORY 123 15.00 10% 8.70    
11  KEEN MIND         (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00    
12  FROSTY DREAMS Mar31 Mar12 Feb26     (spicer )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 123 12.00 9% 9.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.