Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - May 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   05/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.86K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCORNED LOVER Apr06 Mar21       (gladd kassie)CRUZ ROMAN 118 12.00 8% 11.20    
STAR ISLAND KITTY Mar30 Mar11       (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 1.40 20% 4.00    
PIPPA'S PROSPECT         (nolen ken)TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
SAYAAD AIN'T SO Apr13 Mar30 Mar21     (swan patrick)RICHARD RONALD 118 1.00 41% 1.40    
RAINING Apr18 Apr06 Mar21     (rodriguez)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
 
WRD-2   05/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUNCH IT DARLIN         (green gerald)CRUZ ROMAN 124 20.00    
SCR  BLITZED         (leapley duan)RICHARD RONALD 124 20.00    
ALWAYS VALENTINA         (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 118 15.00    
DOWNONDIXIEBEACH         (engel f)KIMES C 118 3.00    
TAKING CHARGE DESI         (oberlande)TRIANA JR 118 5.00 19% 4.30    
PERTY THING         (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 15.00    
SINNIN N GRINNIN Apr13         (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 118 0.60 59% 0.70    
 
WRD-3   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROWDY RASCAL Apr13         (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.60 41% 1.50    
BRODY'S STREAK Apr05 Mar04 Jan16     (hartman alex)JORDAN R 113 1.40 17% 4.80    
RACE DAY REBAL Apr13         (williams alan)COLLIER T 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
EVAN'S ENVY Apr26 Apr13       (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00    
BECKETT'S LUCKYDAY Apr26 Apr05 Mar29 Jan06   (swan patric)WETHEY JR 118 5.00    
 
WRD-4   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRING IT ON BABY Mar30         (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 115 2.50 32% 2.10    
PEARLY Apr12         (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
MAGIC MINDY Apr18 Apr05       (morales arnol)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50    
BILLIE G Apr05 Mar22       (swango ra)TRIANA JR 124 4.00 13% 6.40    
PLENTY OF VISION Apr04         (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
THE ONE FOR FUN Apr26 Apr05 Mar29     (gladd kassie)KIMES C 124 6.00    
 
WRD-5   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL ABLAZE Apr26         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 5.00    
OPLIN Apr20 Apr06 Mar05 Feb17 Jan20 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.00    
SCR  TYLER'S ADMIRAL Apr11 Mar22 Mar02     (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
DUDE DROP KID Apr20 Apr10 Mar12 Feb19 Feb05 (dixon tim)MORA GERARDO 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
VIVO Apr11         (bravo franci)JORDAN R 119 2.00    
 
WRD-6   05/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLIMB AND MAINTAIN Apr13 Mar30       (biehler mic)WETHEY JR 118 3.00 16% 5.40    
REMEMBER ME TONY Apr20 Mar31 Mar16 Feb17 Jan21 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 0.60 31% 2.30    
MAGIC CARPET Apr19 Apr04 Mar12     (martin steve)JORDAN R 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
KAT'S HITMAN Apr20 Mar21 Mar11 Feb20 Jan28 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 12.00    
CANDY BARON Apr19 Mar30       (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00    
THE UNION FOREVER         (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00    
 
WRD-7   05/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAME PLATA Apr12 Mar22       (bravo francis)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.50 14% 5.90    
SHANNON C Apr12         (young s)GONCALVES R 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
BEST OF GREELEY Apr13 Apr02 Mar03 Jan01   (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 2.50    
BOX SEAT Apr12 Mar22       (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 118 10.00    
HAYDENS HAVOC Mar26 Mar12 Feb26     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
WRD-8   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASTCALLFORALCOHOL Apr18 Apr06       (camillo j)CRUZ ROMAN 121 3.00    
CANEY'S GHOST Apr19 Apr06 Mar29     (luneack theres)MORA GERARDO 121 2.00 32% 2.20    
EL VALE Apr19 Apr04       (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
CLIFTON PARK Apr18 Feb26 Feb16 Feb04   (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 20.00    
MUNNYCANTBUYMELOVE Apr01 Mar11 Feb26 Feb04   (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 8.00    
TOTALLY TIGER Apr19 Mar28       (buehrer m)MEDINA ANGEL 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
WRD-9   05/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($20.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGA BOND Apr11         (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 10.00 5% 17.30    
SHADOWLESS Apr11         (oberlande)MEDINA ANGEL 118 6.00    
HOT TICKET Apr11 Mar21       (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
MY FORTUNATE SON Apr04 Mar21 Feb16 Feb03 Jan22 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00    
SCR  GOD HELP US Apr18 Apr04 Mar21     (dunlap shon)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 20.00    
ONOMATOPOEIA Apr11 Mar29       (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00    
SCR  LIVINGONTULSATIME Apr20 Apr05 Mar21 Feb23 Jan16 (engel roger )JORDAN R 113 4.00 31% 2.30    
JOLLY JUMPER Apr12         (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 3.50 11% 8.10    
TOMMYHAWK Apr12 Mar21       (swango ra)TRIANA JR 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
WRD-10   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSCLE UP Apr11         (bravo franci)JORDAN R 113 4.00 7% 13.90    
BULL RING Apr13 Mar16 Feb12 Jan22   (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 3.00    
SOME DUDE Apr04 Mar29       (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 52% 0.90    
GREAT REALIZATION Feb25 Jan27 Jan15     (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 118 2.50 15% 5.60    
WILD RUMBLE Apr27 Apr19 Apr12 Apr04   (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00    
IDENTIFY (IRE) Apr13 Mar22 Feb24     (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00    
SINNER REJOICE Apr18 Apr04       (pogue bob)KIMES C 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.