Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - May 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TONALTALITARIAN Mar17 Jan16       (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50    
ROMPED Mar18         (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
GEMO RAIN Mar25 Jan30 Jan03     (claire al)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.00    
RANDELLO Mar26 Mar04 Feb18 Jan16   (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
PRINCE OF MAYHEM         (leonard george )POMPELL L 122 12.00    
HARD NIGHT Mar18 Feb26 Jan22 Jan01   (fosdick steve)PARKER L 122 5.00 10% 9.20    
 
IND-2   05/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MURGATROYD Feb12         (macias ado)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 8.00    
SCR  PROMISES TO DANCE Mar26 Feb10       (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)         (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.00 15% 5.60    
CHANDANA         (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
SEA LEVEL         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.50    
CAT ATTACK         (boyce michele)SANJUR SANTO 122 4.00    
 
IND-3   05/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPPED UP Mar25 Jan23       (greenhill jeff)PARKER L 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
CLOSE THE CASE         (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00    
SCR  DOUBLE ADVANTAGE Apr19         (klopp ra)RODRIGUEZ C 115 3.00 13% 6.50    
TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER         (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 122 10.00    
WILDCARD PRADO         (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 122 10.00    
MUSIC TO MY EARS         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 2.00 13% 6.70    
SEMINOLE JUSTICE         (west m)RIQUELME J 122 4.50    
 
IND-4   05/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCREDIBLE JUSTICE         (paquette )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00    
LIL EVIE         (hammond kim)POMPELL L 113 4.00 15% 5.60    
D D SEVEN THIRTY         (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.50 8% 11.70    
SCR  MISS SUGARBAKER         (west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
FOUND MY MAN         (lauer mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 20.00    
ELUSIVE JUSTICE         (davis d)PRESCOTT R 119 5.00    
SUMMER HOME Apr20         (silva h)ACHARD ALEX 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
SMOOTH JUSTICE         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 12.00    
POETIC VERSE Apr20         (gorham m)PEREZ E 118 4.50 34% 1.90    
10  FLIRTY DANCER         (davis joseph)MORALES JOSHUA 113 20.00    
 
IND-5   05/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GORMLEYS GOT GAME         (swingley duw)RAMOS D 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
PRESSURE Apr08 Mar25 Feb11 Jan15   (asmussen )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 1.80    
ALEBRIJE Apr10 Mar12 Feb28 Jan02   (lopez elia)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00    
BIG NICK Apr19 Feb20 Jan08     (garcia genaro)RIQUELME J 122 5.00    
TORONTOTORO Mar04 Jan15       (mcentee paul)PARKER L 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  BAYTOWN WARRIOR Apr28         (mcentee paul)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 12.00    
COURTHOUSE COVE Apr19 Apr03 Mar05 Feb17 Jan20 (leonard g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
IND-6   05/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMOKIN RICHIE Feb26 Jan09       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
TOSS OF FATE Feb26         (greenhill)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
NOBODY LISTENS         (johnson marv)RAMOS D 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
UNBRIDLED BEAST         (hammond kim)PARKER L 119 30.00    
ROCK N JUNE BUG         (douglass devarus)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK Apr16 Mar25 Feb20 Jan23 Jan02 (lauer michael)COURT K 122 1.20 36% 1.80    
STOP HAMMERTIME Apr19         (richardville tia)PRESCOTT R 119 12.00    
MATERS N TATERS         (cunni)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 12.00    
FLOWERPECKER         (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00    
 
IND-7   05/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SKYS IMAGE         (duran antonio)SANJUR SANTO 118 12.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  BLU VIXEN         (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00    
WEST COAST JUSTICE         (gonzalez lilia)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
MYERS TIGER Apr26         (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 8% 11.10    
EVERYTHING'S ROSY         (gorham m)PEREZ E 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
AMERICA RULES         (haran john)RIVERA BRYAN 112 15.00    
NO TRUST         (lauer michael)COURT K 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
SCR  REAL MISS PRADO         (richardville)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
LEXI SUN Apr20         (johnson m)BERMUDEZ E 118 5.00    
 
IND-8   05/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA'S PRAYER Apr19         (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 120 3.00    
MY BUCKAROO         (paquette )BERMUDEZ E 124 12.00    
DOSSIER         (johnson marv)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
KILLER HOTROD         (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 4.00    
LITTLE JOHN COLONY         (cluley dennis)HOLMES GAGE 114 20.00    
BRIGHT BRIAN         (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 120 6.00    
SCR  BENNY BOO BOO         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 4.00 65% 0.50    
THUNDERBOLT ZEUS         (mullins )RODRIGUEZ C 117 20.00    
GO EARLY STAY LATE         (wisner j)PARKER L 124 8.00    
10  SHINEONBRAD Apr19         (duran antonio)MOJICA O 120 10.00 9% 10.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.