Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - May 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   05/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOT RUB LOVE         (jansen kenny)ORM CORY 121 2.00 22% 3.60    
NICE AND TRUE Apr16 Apr02       (candelas blanca)FELIX E 124 1.40 34% 2.00    
SILVERA Apr10 Feb24 Feb12     (candelas blanca)EMIGH A 121 6.00    
CHECOTAH Apr02 Mar23 Mar07 Feb16 Feb09 (brooks geral)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.50    
SINGING ALLI Apr16 Apr10       (dizeo dino)LOPEZ A 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
HAW-2   05/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TSALI         (perez manny)RIVERA BRYAN 111 15.00 6% 14.40    
MINISTRY OF ART Apr17 Apr03       (candelas bla)TAVARES JAVIER 121 2.50    
IRISH TUFF         (perez mann)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 1.80 39% 1.50    
POWERFUL MAN         (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 8.00    
FAMA Y DINERO Apr17 Apr03 Mar17 Feb25 Feb17 (rodriguez eduar)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00    
RECKLESSNESS Apr01 Mar12 Feb11     (mason ingrid)FELIX E 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
HAW-3   05/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARCH FLYER Apr16 Apr02 Mar03 Feb10 Jan16 (martinez ralph )BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00 15% 5.80    
GO STORMIN GIRL Apr10 Apr02 Mar11     (cook brian)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
HEY HEY Apr16 Apr10 Jan14     (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 5.00    
HELEN MAE'S SONG Apr16 Mar25 Jan14     (watkins m)BAIRD T 121 3.50 14% 5.90    
SHOWIT         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 1.60 29% 2.40    
SCR  LADY ATLANTIC Apr16         (ryan a)RIVERA BRYAN 111 10.00    
FLYING BUSINESS Apr10         (candelas bla)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00    
 
HAW-4   05/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROMANTIC ATTACK Apr19         (childers vance)BAIRD T 121 20.00    
KIMBERLY FRANCES Apr23 Apr10 Apr02     (sanchez oscar)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00    
LAUNCH AWAY         (quinonez max)FELIX E 121 3.50 11% 8.10    
STACK SHACK Jan08         (cook brian)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 8.00 10% 9.00    
RANK AND FILE Apr24 Apr03 Feb20 Jan30 Jan14 (lopez elias)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.00    
GRAND PRIZE Apr23 Jan13       (brooks ger)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 26% 2.90    
ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Apr02 Mar04       (reavis mi)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 2.50    
SCR  NORTHERN ALLIANCE Mar13 Feb03 Jan14     (rodriguez hu)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00    
KITTEN ROCKS Apr23 Mar09 Feb24 Jan29 Jan08 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
HAW-5   05/01/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO COOKIE RULE Apr23 Apr10       (poulos dee)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
DRAMATIC KITTEN Apr23 Apr09 Mar18 Feb24 Feb17 (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00 9% 10.20    
EL MAS LOCO Apr16         (cook brian)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00    
SCR  MAXIMILIANO (BRZ) Apr09 Feb24 Jan21     (childers vance)BAIRD T 121 4.50    
SCR  COCKALORUM         (mitchell anthony)LOPEZ E 121 4.00 32% 2.10    
MANGO TREE Apr24 Apr09       (perez mann)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 8.00    
MISTER CHARMING Apr16         (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 111 3.50 11% 8.20    
 
HAW-6   05/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND DAVE         (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00    
HONEST TO GOODNESS         (slager leona)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00    
SCR  WAR CHEST Feb24 Jan30 Jan09     (rodriguez hugo)LOPEZ E 121 8.00    
PERFECTLY MAJESTIC         (brooks geral)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
MOMENT Apr03 Mar17 Feb23 Jan22   (lopez elia)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
SCR  FLY NIGHTLY Mar19 Feb26 Feb13 Jan16   (vanden britt)FELIX E 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
JOLTING JOE Apr10 Mar03 Feb10 Jan29   (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 4.50 8% 12.30    
ON A SPREE Mar19 Feb26       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 3.00    
GITA'S LAD Apr17 Feb18 Jan01     (reavis mi)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50    
 
HAW-7   05/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS ASHER         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 119 1.60 32% 2.10    
SCR  MAJESTIC ATTACK Apr23         (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 119 8.00    
LOVE THE NEST         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 1.80 41% 1.40    
COUSVINNYSACANUCK         (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 119 6.00    
TRIGGER HAPPY Apr16 Jan07       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
LUCKY SHOT Apr09 Jan08       (poulos dee)MOJICA O 119 10.00    
 
HAW-8   05/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPRISE CAT         (young r)LOPEZ E 121 12.00    
DEORA STORE         (kirby j)EMIGH A 121 6.00    
COMING UP ACES         (miller r)BAIRD T 121 10.00    
EMPTY HOLSTER Apr16 Feb04 Jan08     (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
TUFF ATTACK Apr16         (childers vance)MOJICA O 121 4.50 7% 12.90    
CRANKSHAFT Apr09 Jan07       (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00 18% 4.70    
DEVIL'S RULE Apr16 Apr02 Feb11 Jan23   (cook brian)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00    
PADDY'S HOUSE         (dobbsjr robert)SANJUR SANTO 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
CINDY'S G MAN Apr02 Jan22       (watkins m)FELIX E 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.