Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/30/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Apr10 Mar18 Jan28 Jan08   (granitz ant)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 4.00    
2  TIZ TRIUMPHANT Apr09 Mar04 Feb16 Jan16 Jan05 (bennett)DE CRUZ 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  MISTA DONZELLA Apr16 Mar19 Feb25 Feb11 Jan23 (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 8.00    
4  YOU'RE IN COREY Apr09 Mar04 Feb05 Jan23   (tsirigotis )SPANABEL SKYLER 125 15.00    
5  CUZ Apr15 Mar18 Feb25 Jan28   (guciardo ka)GARCIA A 125 8.00 18% 4.60    
6  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Apr10 Jan30 Jan09     (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
7  CASTLE KING Apr09 Mar23 Mar11 Feb25 Jan12 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 125 2.00    
 
TAM-2   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUTANNAAHY Feb05         (escobar alison)BISONO J 124 8.00    
2  EMPEROR'S SONG Feb19 Feb05 Jan07     (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 10.00    
3  SPARKLING PLENTY Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Feb16   (torres pabl)GARCIA A 124 6.00    
4  YEGUITA QUEEN Mar18 Feb19 Jan23     (barboza vict)BATISTA A 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
5  QUEEN'S BEST Apr10 Mar27 Feb13 Jan21 Jan12 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 13% 6.60    
6  JULIE'S GRACE Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 Jan22 (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LUSCIOUS Apr10 Mar23 Feb19 Jan07   (bennett)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
8  NY BETH GETSITDONE Apr16 Mar27 Feb26     (alvarado di)QUINONEZ ALONSO 126 6.00    
 
TAM-3   04/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAPACHE G Apr23 Apr09 Mar20 Feb25   (machado)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  ANGEL'S MAGIC Jan19         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 10.00    
SCR  TAX CODE Mar05         (harty eoin)GARCIA A 120 2.00    
4  EXACTING         (harty eoin)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
5  COMMANDER BIZ Apr09 Mar19 Feb06 Jan21   (palavecino no)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 5.00    
6  MOON SECRET Jan16         (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00    
7  JUPITER RAIN Apr20 Apr10 Apr03 Feb20 Feb09 (seyler dougla)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 20.00    
8  STRONG EAGLE Apr09 Mar20 Feb26 Feb06 Jan19 (escobar alison)BISONO J 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
9  MEAN JOE BRO Apr10 Mar25 Feb06 Jan14   (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
TAM-4   04/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE AGE (IRE) Apr16 Mar19 Feb10 Jan07   (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER null   20% 4.10    
2  SIDNEY'S BID Apr03 Feb16 Jan01     (duncan chr)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00    
3  LIL CROWN Feb13         (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  TWO STEP DANCE Feb25 Feb06 Jan15     (carrascojr victor)BISONO J 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  WANNA WOW YOU Mar20 Feb25       (lorito mario)WALES GARY 123 10.00    
6  LITTLE BUD Mar13         (miller rory )BATISTA A 123 15.00    
SCR  WICKED SUPRISE         (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 118 10.00    
8  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Apr20 Mar16 Feb27 Jan30   (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.50 ★    
9  BYRON'S GOLD Apr08 Jan07       (duncan christo)HENRY WESLEY 125 20.00    
10  GOT FLOFFY         (adorno l)SOSA LAUREANO 113 15.00 12% 7.00    
 
TAM-5   04/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTUNATA         (rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 127 15.00    
2  BEASTIE GIRL Apr15 Mar20       (rountree ca)GARCIA A 127 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAYHAP         (lerman roy)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 3.50    
4  BEACH BREEZE Apr13 Mar20 Feb12 Jan15   (brown dona)ALONSO LUIS 127 30.00    
5  PEACHTREE ROAD Mar20 Feb12       (delacou)DE CRUZ 127 0.80 57% 0.70    
6  THREE COINS Apr13         (galvan balta)BATISTA A 127 10.00    
7  LALOBA FEROZ Apr13 Mar11 Feb26 Jan15   (bordis robert )MENDEZ KEVIN 127 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  IVY WAY Apr23 Apr09       (rountree ca)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 30.00    
 
TAM-6   04/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ HERSELF Apr01 Feb27 Feb13 Jan29 Jan09 (rigattieri john)BISONO J 119 15.00    
2  BION MAGIC Apr01 Mar02 Feb09 Jan22 Jan01 (vinson john )BATISTA A 119 6.00    
3  TEXAS REWARD Apr16 Mar25       (galvan balt)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 4.00 9% 10.00    
4  MAGICGIRL Apr20 Mar30 Mar13 Feb27 Jan13 (raymond ro)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 4.50 17% 5.00    
5  TEE UP Apr01 Mar09 Feb23 Jan29   (dye ste)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ATLANTIC PRINCESS Mar18 Mar02 Feb09 Jan30 Jan07 (axmaker cody )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 8.00    
7  ORNERY ANGEL Apr01 Mar19 Mar09 Feb18 Jan07 (arnett jon )GARCIA A 123 6.00    
8  FREE TO FLY Apr15 Mar13 Feb16     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 1.80 49% 1.00    
 
TAM-7   04/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THREEOHTWOCASSIE Feb02 Jan12       (woodard walt)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 15.00    
SCR  FADE AWAY Apr08 Mar11 Feb12 Jan23 Jan08 (davis rich)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00    
3  STRIKE THE TOP Apr01 Mar09 Feb24 Jan29 Jan15 (davis chris)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
4  GLAD ROCK (GER)         (goberdhan cha)CHAVES ELIONE 120 8.00    
5  CLASSY OF COURSE Feb26 Feb02       (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 10.00    
SCR  ZERO GRAVITY         (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 120 4.50    
7  THRU THE VINE Apr09 Mar19 Feb25 Feb09 Jan15 (house gary)ALLEN M 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
8  I SAY I PLAY Apr09 Jan08       (carrascojr v)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 4.00    
 
TAM-8   04/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER TUNES Apr10 Mar02 Feb02 Jan14   (bagwandeen per)HENRY WESLEY 120 20.00    
2  LADY TEUFLESBERG Mar11 Mar02 Jan23     (azpurua edu)GARCIA A 120 20.00    
3  LADY NOY Apr06         (parra hernan)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00    
4  KITTY KITTY Apr10 Apr01 Mar06 Feb16 Jan28 (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 13% 6.70    
5  EAST WING Mar09 Jan28       (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 1.50 53% 0.90    
6  LITTLE RED BUTTON         (mazza josep)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GREGS POSSE Apr22 Mar17 Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 (harris nan)ALONSO LUIS 120 30.00    
8  BAHAMIAN MOON Mar25 Feb26 Jan19 Jan05   (clark a)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 2.00 12% 7.20    
9  LOVIELEE Apr16 Mar11 Feb02 Jan05   (duncan christ)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 20.00    
 
TAM-9   04/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  V K STAR Apr20 Mar09       (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 125 10.00    
2  SHES A THREAT Apr22 Apr13 Mar20     (fennessy john)WALES GARY 125 8.00    
3  PINCH MINE Mar16         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 125 30.00    
4  BRYCENS GOLD Apr13 Mar20 Feb06 Jan09   (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 125 8.00 ★    
5  CROSS THE MERSEY         (hemingway i)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  REYNA DE VERANO Apr24 Apr15 Mar20 Mar11 Jan09 (skinner ga)ALONSO LUIS 125 10.00    
7  WHISPERING WANDA Apr15 Mar20 Mar11     (galvan balta)BATISTA A 125 20.00    
8  MAJESTIC QUEEN Apr20 Apr09 Mar18 Mar02   (harris w)BISONO J 125 2.50 17% 4.80    
9  TOOLEGITTOQUIT Apr22 Apr03       (arnett jon )GARCIA A 125 3.00 44% 1.30    
10  ROYAL ROCKER Mar20 Feb11 Jan26     (casse m)DE CRUZ 118 3.50 16% 5.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.