Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - April 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMPUS Apr02 Feb17 Jan29     (govea cesar)MORA GERARDO 121 6.00    
2  STILL OF THE NIGHT Feb19 Jan21 Jan07     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  DOC'S DENITA Mar26 Mar16 Jan29 Jan07   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 15.00    
SCR  GRAY ZONE Feb17 Jan29       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 12.00    
5  STALEMATE Apr02 Feb17 Jan29 Jan07   (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  MY BABYS GONE Mar11 Mar02 Feb17 Jan21   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  LACEY BOSS Mar10 Feb10 Jan14     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 6% 14.80    
8  BODIE'SLITTLEGIRL Feb20 Jan30       (ashford)GONCALVES R 123 5.00 12% 7.60    
9  FADED MEMORIES Apr02 Mar02 Feb09 Jan21 Jan07 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
10  KITTY'S QUEEN Mar10 Feb25       (clary jaylan)DIEGO V 121 6.00    
 
LS-2   04/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Apr01 Mar23 Feb26     (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.50    
SCR  BORN TO BE BRAVE         (tuley rhonda)MONTALVO C 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  KNIGHTED Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb16   (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
4  AUTO BE THE MAN         (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOLD EXCAPER Apr01 Mar09 Feb16     (johnston johnn)MORA GERARDO 121 8.00 ★    
6  MAN IN THE MIDDLE Apr09         (castellanos )PIVARAL GERBER 121 20.00    
7  DEMURO Apr10 Mar04       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 0.50 57% 0.70    
 
LS-3   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS WHIRLWIND Mar31 Mar17 Feb24 Feb11 Jan07 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 2.50 12% 7.30    
2  ABIGAIL ALDEN Mar18 Feb25 Jan20     (lucarelli fran)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
3  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Mar26         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  BLING ON THE LIGHT Apr08 Mar24 Feb25 Jan29   (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00    
5  WOO HOO Apr08 Mar16 Mar04 Feb10 Jan29 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  WHITE WOMAN CREEK         (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 121 6.00    
7  HEAD OVER BOOTS Mar31 Mar17 Mar04 Jan20   (echeverria hector)DIEGO V 121 12.00 8% 10.90    
8  TUDELA Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 Jan28   (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 5.00 ★    
 
LS-4   04/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADDYMADEMEDOIT Feb16 Jan13       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 ★    
2  BRANDONS BABE Mar10 Jan30       (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  TAHITIAN BREEZE Mar26 Mar05 Feb19 Jan13   (hurley tin)ERAMIA E 119 4.50    
4  HAILEY'S MELODY Mar23 Feb25 Jan13     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00    
SCR  UNBURNT Mar24 Mar19 Feb04 Jan14   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 2.50 ★    
SCR  SIMPLE PLEASURE Mar24 Feb25       (hebert matt)LUZZI J 119 5.00 14% 6.00    
7  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Mar23 Mar10 Feb19 Jan30 Jan13 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 121 20.00    
8  CHIKARA Mar09 Feb24 Feb10     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 10.00 9% 9.60    
9  RED HOT MOON Apr02 Mar03 Feb09     (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
10  SENORITA COMETA Apr02 Mar09 Feb23     (c)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
11  MIDYEAR Apr02 Feb19       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00    
 
LS-5   04/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COCO LOCO MAMA Mar31 Mar03 Feb18 Feb12 Jan22 (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 20.00    
2  KALLINIKI Jan15 Jan09       (broberg karl)ALVAREZ L 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
3  MAD TABBY Apr08 Mar18 Mar03 Feb12 Jan27 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00 ★    
4  FLOWER HOUSE Mar30 Mar11 Feb16 Jan22   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  MAYAPRETTY Apr08 Mar20 Jan29 Jan07   (uball)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 10.00 14% 6.10    
6  BOLD LEGEND Apr08 Mar23 Mar11 Feb12 Jan27 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 4.50    
7  SHE IS A BLING Mar23 Mar11 Feb12 Feb05 Jan07 (dupuy allen)LUZZI J 119 20.00 10% 9.10    
8  NOCTURNAL MISSION Mar23 Mar11 Mar03     (pearson m)MORA GERARDO 123 5.00    
 
LS-6   04/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITESTER Mar31 Feb17 Jan29     (pish danny)SORENSON D 120 8.00 ★    
2  MS. RED ROCKETTE Mar31 Mar02 Feb12     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00    
3  SHIASGOLD LADY Mar24 Mar11 Feb12     (garcia j)MONTALVO C 121 12.00    
4  SHER'S TEXAS BLING Apr08 Mar02 Feb04 Jan20   (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 5.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  SWIFT RED BIRD         (busta)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 2.00 ★    
6  PUT A BLING ON IT Apr07 Feb24 Jan13     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 118 6.00 ★    
7  ZOE'S GOLDLADY Mar31 Mar16 Feb24 Feb12 Jan20 (garc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 30.00    
8  A SONG FOR MICKEY Feb24 Feb12       (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 121 20.00 16% 5.20    
9  SHEZA HUNK Apr08 Mar31 Mar17 Mar02 Feb12 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.50    
 
LS-7   04/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPULAR KID Mar19 Feb12       (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 6.00 ★    
2  SONNEMAN Apr02 Mar13 Jan28     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 15.00    
3  TIN BADGE Apr07 Mar17 Feb18     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  TUT'S REVENGE Mar11 Jan30       (stua)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
5  PERFECT STAR Mar11 Feb18 Jan27     (duhon paul)DIEGO V 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
6  CARLEA'S DREAM Mar11         (jacks k)GONCALVES R 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
7  MISHKO Mar19 Feb12 Jan27     (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 120 15.00    
8  FRED'STWIRLINCANDY Mar12 Feb18 Jan27     (cravens ronnie)LUZZI J 122 10.00    
 
LS-8   04/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLGA'S GOLD DANCER Mar25 Mar02 Feb04 Jan06   (garcia j)MONTALVO C 120 20.00    
2  EURORICHGIRL Apr02 Feb16 Jan29 Jan14   (castellanos jai)BENAVIDES D 123 2.50 14% 6.00    
3  SI QUERE Apr09 Mar12 Feb18     (caste)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 4.50 25% 2.90    
4  EXPECT CANDY Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 Feb17 Feb09 (echeverria )HAMILTON WESTON 120 15.00    
5  SHOW ME GRACE         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  SHES NAKED Mar11 Feb17       (triana al)TRIANA JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  PHARME'S PHINALE Mar19 Mar02 Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 (j)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
8  JIMENA Mar19 Mar02       (cruz eduardo)ALVAREZ L 123 12.00    
9  SHERRYS BABY Mar31 Mar19 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
10  SINGLE SATURDAY Jan20         (eoff terry)HUGHES CARLY 115 30.00    
11  BESSIE'S SONG Mar19 Feb24 Feb04 Jan20   (davidson )STEINBERG GARRETT 120 30.00    
12  LUNAR LASS         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00 5% 18.00    
 
LS-9   04/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REQUISITION Apr01 Mar10 Jan16 Jan01   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 10.00    
SCR  R DOC Mar19 Feb03 Jan16     (keithan ra)ERAMIA E 118 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Mar10 Feb18 Jan15     (gustafson austin)SORENSON D 118 12.00 5% 17.90    
4  TATANKA Apr09 Mar16 Feb24 Jan13   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 8.00 9% 9.70    
5  BIG BERNIE Mar25 Mar05 Feb11 Jan15   (willis )GONCALVES R 121 1.60 35% 1.90    
6  CASEYS MEMORY Jan30         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 20.00    
7  SILENT POWER Mar26 Feb26 Jan27     (gelner jayde )EIKLEBERRY RY 118 5.00    
8  DUDE PERFECTA Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Jan06   (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 12.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  THUNDER ROAD Mar25 Feb18 Feb09     (dodson cliffor)MORA GERARDO 121 30.00    
 
LS-10   04/30/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAGANAKI Apr08 Mar04 Feb10     (cravens ronnie)LUZZI J 120 15.00 6% 16.80    
2  NO COMMENT         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 15.00    
SCR  L G GIRL Apr07 Mar25 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 (castellanos )PIVARAL GERBER 120 30.00    
4  SIGNE Mar31 Mar11       (swift a)BENAVIDES D 123 50.00    
5  DECADE OF DREAMS Mar05 Jan23       (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 3.50 6% 14.70    
SCR  DIAL TEN FOR G Mar24 Mar05 Feb14 Jan20   (west patri)ERAMIA E 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
7  PRINCESS PAULINE Mar18 Jan29 Jan14     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00 19% 4.40    
8  HOURGLASS FIGURE Feb23         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 4.00    
9  SATIN ROSE Apr08 Feb23 Jan21     (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00 6% 17.10    
10  GLORY O Mar24         (w)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
11  MS. MORENA Mar31 Mar19 Mar11 Feb23 Feb09 (chaca)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 50.00    
SCR  JERSEY HOTTIE Apr08 Mar18 Feb26     (dodson cliffor)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.