Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - April 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   04/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50.6K) 2 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAPPIN JOSIE         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  ROARINGLIKETHUNDER         (brooks m)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BEE QUEEN         (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 120 8.00    
COCKTAIL DREAMING         (robb j)OLMO J 120 4.00    
SHE'S SO FLY         (schoenthal phil)RUIZ JORGE 120 4.50    
ALEXIS'S STORM         (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 3.50 18% 4.60    
GALACTIC TIDE         (young courtney)ACOSTA D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-2   04/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD FOUGHT Mar19 Feb10 Jan20     (dilodovico damon)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
AIR ON FIRE         (dilodovico )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 1.80 29% 2.40    
VICTORY GIVEN Apr10 Apr02 Mar11 Feb20 Jan29 (kee j)ACOSTA D 123 12.00    
FAST CASH Jan27         (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
BULL SHARK Apr02 Jan16       (serey jr)AVILES YAN 112 4.00 24% 3.10    
BAPTIZE THE BOY         (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 3.00    
 
LRL-3   04/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42.9K) 35 M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLET JESSOP Mar18 Jan21 Jan02     (allen ferr)BARBOSA JEIRON 105 15.00    
BOURBON GYPSY Mar20 Feb10       (buckley rick)GREEN AUBRIE 122 30.00    
PETITE ROUGE         (boniface kevin)PEREZ XAVIER 116 12.00    
CUSH EFFECT Apr08 Mar18       (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 8.00    
LOOKS DON'T LIE Apr15         (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 126 10.00    
POUNDING MUSIC         (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 5.00 22% 3.60    
LIKE N' EAGLE         (abramson no)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 20.00    
HOLLYWOOD WALK Apr15         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 116 2.50 46% 1.20    
GLOWSITY Apr24 Feb26 Jan23     (meyers madi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 3.50 8% 11.00    
10  DOOMSCROLLER Feb24 Jan21       (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 116 5.00    
SCR  WET MY BEAK Apr01         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 109 6.00    
SCR  DANCING SOPHIA Mar11 Feb16       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 116 4.50    
SCR  FREEZE THE DAY Mar17 Mar05 Jan26     (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 6.00    
SCR  BELLA BETTINA Apr16         (boniface ke)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SULTRY SKY Mar09         (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 116 15.00    
SCR  FADE         (pecoraro antho)SUAREZ ANGEL 116 15.00    
 
LRL-4   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE MS SCARLET Apr15 Mar27 Mar18 Jan29   (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 2.00 27% 2.70    
LONG DISTANCE LOVE Jan02         (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
R AVERIE LYNN Mar30 Feb24 Feb03     (gorham michae)ALVELO C 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
MAUREENLOVESFRANK Apr08 Mar27 Feb24 Jan22   (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 4.50 8% 11.20    
FUDGE CAKE Apr01 Mar05 Feb25 Feb12 Jan28 (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 12.00    
DEVILISH AFFAIR Apr08 Mar27 Mar04 Feb03 Jan22 (cash l)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00    
AWESOME VIEW Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Feb06 Jan16 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00    
 
LRL-5   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34.65K) 35 ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBOY         (gamber e)ACOSTA D 116 20.00    
MOSE PERFECT         (trombetta mic)BRACHO A 116 10.00    
LUV YA BYE BYE         (peacock m)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 20.00    
JOHNNY SWISH Apr01 Feb20 Feb03 Jan16 Jan04 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00 10% 8.60    
BIG DADDY D R Apr03         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 116 4.50 27% 2.70    
FLAMING EAST         (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 116 12.00    
MOSLER SAFE Apr09 Mar19       (trombetta mich)ARAUJO DENIS 126 6.00    
BODE LYNX Apr02 Mar19       (barr donald)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 20.00    
MAILMAN'S A FLYER Mar20 Feb25 Jan28 Jan01   (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 0.80 35% 1.90    
 
LRL-6   04/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAT DARES GOLD Apr03 Mar20 Feb26 Jan01   (cox m)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 11% 8.50    
PARCHED GHOST Mar18 Feb13 Jan21 Jan01   (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
R TRUE SENSATION Mar26 Mar11 Feb19 Jan20   (downs le)BUTTERFLY L 114 12.00    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Apr07 Mar18 Feb27 Jan16   (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
TORCH CARRIER Apr02 Mar18 Feb19 Jan29 Jan16 (frock l)ACOSTA D 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
JOYFUL NOISE Apr14 Apr03 Mar20 Mar11 Feb24 (serey j)ALVELO C 114 5.00    
BLUE SKY VENEZUELA Apr14 Mar20 Feb26 Feb13 Jan22 (albert l)AVILES YAN 119 2.00    
ELOQUENT LADY Apr03 Feb13 Jan22     (pradenas sergio)MONTERREY R 119 20.00    
 
LRL-7   04/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42.9K) 35 ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET SOULMATE Apr14 Mar02 Jan30     (reynolds jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 15.00    
CONSULTANT         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 116 1.80 57% 0.70    
BOURBON ON THE BAY Mar19 Feb10 Jan16     (savoye)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 5.00    
PURSUING PACE         (bailes ro)CORUJO LEONARDO 116 10.00    
HINDENBURG Mar18         (milosevic milan)AVILES YAN 105 20.00    
ESPRESSO LUNGO Apr14 Feb27 Feb11 Jan22   (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00    
SOLOMON'S CHOICE Apr07 Feb25 Jan16 Jan01   (albert)ENRIQUEZ JR 121 4.50    
CURTEIS Apr14 Feb20       (dunham be)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 15.00    
BRIDGE TO SUCCESS Apr02         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 116 6.00    
SCR  PAN FOR GOLD         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 12.00    
SCR  SPRITZER Apr07 Mar19 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 (kee j)ACOSTA D 126 12.00    
SCR  DECEIVING Mar20 Feb10       (thompson stewar)MONTERREY R 126 10.00    
SCR  BUSHWICK BRUISER Feb13 Jan23       (deiter lynn)NO RIDER 112 20.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN QUINT Apr03 Feb27 Jan30     (hendriks mclan)BOYCE FOREST 116 8.00    
SCR  TWIST 'N TWIRL         (motion h )CARRASCO R 116 2.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  JARDANI Feb19         (cibelli jane)SUAREZ ANGEL 116 2.50 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-8   04/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($52.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRUG Apr01 Mar06 Jan23     (capuano dale)ALVELO C 116 4.50 21% 3.80    
UNCLE IRISH Apr09 Mar25 Feb27 Feb08 Jan18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 10% 9.00    
SHAMATEUR Mar25         (corrales jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 20.00    
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Apr09 Mar18 Feb24 Jan30   (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 121 6.00    
MAJESTIC FRONTIER Apr09 Mar19 Feb19 Feb10 Jan22 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
THE ADDISON POUR Mar25 Feb10 Jan23     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
ONE TEN Apr09 Mar27       (corrales j)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 10.00    
 
LRL-9   04/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34.65K) 3 F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGN AND SEAL Feb19 Jan28 Jan08     (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 12.00 25% 3.00    
CHEROKEE PARTY Apr09         (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
IF THEN Apr08 Mar13 Feb18     (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 119 6.00    
DATE NIGHT KISSES Apr16 Apr01 Feb26     (lockard don)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 3.50    
FASHIONISTA Apr21 Feb25 Feb10 Jan21   (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
ALITTLESLICEOF PIE Apr10 Apr01 Mar18 Feb25   (corrales)BUTTERFLY L 115 20.00    
SMART EULEE Apr15 Mar18 Feb18     (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 25% 2.90    
LADY MOSLER Apr15 Jan21       (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.