Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - April 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37.95K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALWAYS CHARMING Feb21 Jan27 Jan09     (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 121 8.00    
AUCTION KINGDOM Apr07 Mar20 Feb27 Jan23   (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 116 6.00    
RIDICULOUS Apr07 Mar26 Feb21 Jan20   (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  ALL FOR LOVE Apr15 Apr02 Mar20 Feb20 Jan20 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.50    
FIVE STAR PHIL Apr22 Apr07 Mar06 Feb16   (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 117 5.00    
KOZY'S WILDCAT Jan01         (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 3.00 39% 1.60    
STEVETHEVANDRIVER Mar18 Jan02       (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 8.00    
 
LRL-2   04/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42.9K) 35 ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ULF         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 116 10.00    
LINDROS Mar07 Feb15 Jan14     (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 126 4.00 19% 4.20    
VOTETHEMALLOUT         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
RIXEY ROCKET         (morgan car)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 109 15.00    
SCR  BUSTER BRUNO         (crook-demasi ka)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 10.00 8% 11.50    
CLAUDEE BOY         (elamri hassan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 20.00    
DOC ROCK         (bennett dale)ACOSTA D 116 10.00    
SCR  BROTHER CONWAY         (cox m)ALVELO C 107 15.00    
FRIGHTLAND Apr10         (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 126 1.60 24% 3.20    
10  LUNAR DASH         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
LRL-3   04/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAVA'S DREAM Mar20 Mar04 Jan22     (woodit)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
MOON BIZ Apr10 Feb27 Feb06     (magee kieron)ALVELO C 117 3.50 43% 1.30    
BIRTHDAY WISH Mar26 Mar18 Feb21 Feb06 Jan20 (nazario pedr)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 15.00 7% 13.70    
GOLDEN ACCOUNT Apr16 Mar26 Mar04 Feb10 Jan02 (cash l)ACOSTA D 126 3.00 19% 4.20    
MARTHARITA Apr16 Mar15 Feb18     (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 116 4.00    
SCR  SPLENDID VIEW Apr14         (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 116 6.00    
BELLSWILLBERINGING Apr09 Mar06 Feb26 Feb13 Jan20 (contessa gary )ROSADO JOHAN 122 5.00    
WRITTENBYTHESTARS Mar20         (parram derr)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 8% 11.20    
 
LRL-4   04/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCALIBUR Mar31 Mar19 Mar02 Feb11 Jan28 (dove k)ENRIQUEZ JR 114 15.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  THREETHEHARDWAY Feb24 Feb06 Jan16     (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.00    
JAMMIN STILL Mar25 Feb11       (kee j)AVILES YAN 112 30.00 16% 5.40    
MAMAIGOTTHIS Mar09 Feb07 Jan19 Jan04   (gorham michae)ALVELO C 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
MUCHACHO MACHO Apr08 Mar20 Feb27 Feb11 Jan22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 3.50    
SCR  WHIRLIN CURLIN Apr14 Mar25 Mar13 Mar05 Feb19 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 114 6.00 19% 4.20    
AL BROWN Apr21 Mar19 Feb18     (salazar ma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 3.00    
 
LRL-5   04/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($52.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMODORE PERRY Apr01 Jan09 Jan01     (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
SCR  KRUG Apr01 Mar06 Jan23     (capuano dale)ALVELO C 108 4.00 17% 5.00    
ROYNE Jan15         (dickinson mich)BOYCE FOREST 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
PALACE SUPERNOVA Apr12 Mar16 Feb15 Jan04   (shuman mark)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
ELUSIVE KNIGHT Apr07         (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
NEOTROPIC         (toner j)ACOSTA D 123 8.00    
NORDIC RHYTHM         (mullin michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
AUDACIOUS QUALITY         (cortez e)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
NATHAN DETROIT Mar19 Feb26 Jan22     (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 15.00    
10  BARDOLINO Apr16 Mar18 Feb26 Feb10 Jan29 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 4.50    
11  SAINT MARCO         (alexander m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  UNDERCOVER KITTY Mar28 Feb08 Jan18     (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 113 5.00 11% 8.10    
 
LRL-6   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICTOR Mar16 Feb13 Jan26 Jan04   (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00    
EASTERN BAY Apr03 Mar04       (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 4.00 18% 4.40    
KARAN'S NOTION Apr08 Mar19 Feb21 Jan30   (heil nan)BUTTERFLY L 118 10.00    
HUNTER JOE Apr08 Mar13 Jan23     (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 126 10.00    
AMUNDSON Feb27         (de ho)CARRASCO R 123 3.50    
KADRI Mar31 Mar21 Feb28 Feb11 Jan08 (cash l)ACOSTA D 126 12.00 10% 8.60    
WHERESHETOLDMETOGO Mar19         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.40 48% 1.10    
 
LRL-7   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($57.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING TO THE LEAD Apr03 Mar13 Feb21 Jan23   (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00 14% 6.20    
NOTTOWAY         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
JOVIS Jan30         (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 8.00    
SCR  PENNSYLVANIA STEEL Apr04 Feb28       (sanchez-pin)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 20.00    
TOMMY SHELBY Mar19         (walters henry)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
D' RAPPER Apr02 Mar06       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 29% 2.40    
DARK OAK Mar09         (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 123 12.00    
 
LRL-8   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($52.8K) 3 F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAZINGA C Mar25 Feb18 Jan27     (kreiser timot)KARAMANOS A 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
SHE IS WISKY Apr09 Mar19 Feb19 Jan27   (corrales jose)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
CONTINENTALCONGRES Apr03 Feb24 Feb06 Jan13   (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00 11% 7.70    
CLICK TO CONFIRM Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 Feb26 Feb12 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
MISS CHAMITA Apr08 Mar16 Feb18 Jan22 Jan16 (cash l)ACOSTA D 121 10.00    
SCR  CALIFORNIA BELLA Mar25 Feb18       (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 116 12.00    
SCR  BEDTIMEBOURBON Apr08         (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 121 15.00    
 
LRL-9   04/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42.9K) 35 ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLAND DREAM Apr02 Feb20       (lawrence ja)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 112 15.00    
GERRYS GEM Apr03         (dilodovic)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 112 10.00 14% 6.30    
LUCKY HERB Apr02 Mar18       (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 111 30.00    
THE LAST SCIP Mar18 Jan20       (merryman michae)CENTENO E 116 2.50 48% 1.10    
A LOT LIKE XMAS         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 116 4.00    
GOLD GUY Apr22 Apr03       (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 105 6.00    
TUCKER ROAD Mar25 Feb26 Jan30     (sepulveda carlos)ACOSTA D 116 30.00    
RIP IT         (haughto)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00    
BELIEVEINROCKNROLL         (trombetta mic)BRACHO A 116 4.50 16% 5.10    
10  BOWIE TWO STEP Apr23 Apr03 Mar18 Feb13 Jan20 (cox m)ALVELO C 107 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.