Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUNNY PRINCESS Apr02 Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 Feb11 (adorno jea)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 6.00    
LYLA'S MARK Mar06 Feb16 Jan30 Jan05   (paramo martin)SOSA LAUREANO 115 20.00    
GRAND DIANA Mar06         (barboz)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 2.50 38% 1.70    
THAWED Apr10 Mar13 Jan22 Jan05   (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 125 3.00 6% 15.10    
TIPHARAH Apr10 Apr02 Mar06 Feb13 Jan22 (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
SCR  MYRA FLEENER Apr09 Mar25 Jan22 Jan09   (escobar alison)BORACO DAVID 125 1.60 26% 2.80    
MISSPOKEN Apr08 Mar23 Mar05 Feb18 Feb02 (arboritanza j)ALVARADO JR 118 10.00    
 
TAM-2   04/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.45K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY PRINCESS Apr06 Mar18       (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
SO MOXIE Mar26 Mar06 Feb18 Jan30   (dominguez luis)HENRY WESLEY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
IDEAL BREEZE Mar30 Feb11 Jan22     (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 3.50    
GRAND MAMOO Apr06 Mar06 Jan14     (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
SWEET PENELOPE Apr10 Jan28       (alvarado dian)ALVARADO JR 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  SPANISH DELIGHT Apr10 Mar20 Mar05 Feb11 Jan09 (lorito mari)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 3.00    
 
TAM-3   04/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MA COCO Apr13 Mar19 Feb26 Jan30 Jan08 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 124 20.00    
DOUBLE DOT Apr13 Mar26 Mar11 Feb23 Feb03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 4.50    
TOURING EGYPT Apr03 Mar13       (philipp)DE CRUZ 127 6.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  IMAHONKYTONKGIRL Apr13 Mar11       (cook devin)GARCIA A 124 30.00    
REYNA DE VERANO Apr15 Mar20 Mar11 Jan09   (skinner ga)ALONSO LUIS 124 12.00    
ASTERS D'ORO Apr09 Mar09 Feb09 Jan16 Jan02 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Apr09 Mar20 Mar02 Jan16   (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.50 12% 7.40    
FIRST GOLD (FR) Apr09 Mar19 Feb05 Jan05   (alvarado dian)ALVARADO JR 124 10.00    
 
TAM-4   04/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASPROPODIA Apr16 Apr03 Mar13 Feb27 Feb11 (roque elis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 6.00    
PLAY THAT TONE Mar06 Jan01       (paramo martin)SOSA LAUREANO 110 30.00 7% 13.10    
PLATINUMCENTS Apr16 Mar23 Mar06 Jan30   (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
JUST LIKE INDY Apr09 Mar06 Feb23 Jan23 Jan09 (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 8.00    
KISSMELIPS Mar26 Feb16 Jan30     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
AUBURN Apr16 Mar13 Feb27 Feb13 Jan23 (bagwandeen per)HENRY WESLEY 120 6.00 10% 9.00    
TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Mar26 Feb06 Jan14     (richards r)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 2.00    
 
TAM-5   04/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTICE WARRIOR Apr15 Mar30       (rarick lynn)CAMACHO SAMY 126 15.00 6% 16.00    
GHOST OF KHOZAN Apr09         (hayford jennifer)DIAZ S 118 6.00    
THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Mar27 Mar19 Mar02 Feb06 Jan23 (seyler dougla)JIMENEZ MANNY 126 2.50 15% 5.80    
COASTAL WATERS Jan29         (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 126 3.00 40% 1.50    
SHIPWRECK Apr10 Mar25 Mar04 Jan23   (knoll d)WALES GARY 126 4.50 13% 6.90    
STAMKOS         (mcgaughey r)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50    
AMBUSHED Mar19         (guciardo ka)GARCIA A 118 12.00    
JO JO HANS         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 8.00    
 
TAM-6   04/24/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSALISTIC Mar11 Jan15       (alvarado dian)ALVARADO JR 119 8.00 12% 7.10    
END ALL GET ALL Apr13 Apr06 Mar16 Feb20 Jan23 (arnett jon )GARCIA A 123 4.50 16% 5.20    
INDIAN BUZZ Apr06 Mar16 Feb20 Jan23   (nobles reynald)HENRY WESLEY 119 4.00    
SMART N INTUITIVE Feb09         (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 10.00    
CURLIN'S THRILL Mar27 Jan26 Jan08 Jan01   (rodri)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00    
CANDY COVE Apr08         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
EL SAMURO Mar30 Mar20 Feb27 Jan26 Jan08 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
TAM-7   04/24/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRACKER JACKER Feb23         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 8.00 9% 10.10    
OVERTHEBLUESKY Apr08 Mar09 Feb13 Jan08   (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
TEA'S DREAM Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 Jan22   (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 4.50 11% 7.90    
AMAZING MSKITTY Apr13 Feb19 Jan16 Jan06   (gulic)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
COUNTESSOFLOVELACE Apr17 Feb17 Jan26     (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
LOVINGTIZ Apr15         (machado an)ORDONEZ R 120 15.00    
REAL GOOD VYBZ Apr15 Mar17 Mar05 Feb02   (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
CANDIA         (stewart)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
STARSHIP MACYS Mar23 Mar05 Feb23 Feb02 Jan21 (ferraro a)GARCIA A 120 6.00    
 
TAM-8   04/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEALLIGATORHUNTER         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50    
SCR  SHADIZAAR         (gulyas peter)USKE S 119 30.00    
R MERCEDES BOY Apr08 Mar05 Feb12 Feb05 Jan08 (raven k)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
MYSTIC LINK Apr06 Mar11 Feb26 Feb05 Jan01 (rigattieri)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 6.00    
SELF TAUGHT Mar12 Jan30       (hess b)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
BREWMEISTER Mar12         (lewis l)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00    
WINFROMWITHIN Mar11 Jan15       (delga)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
GRAN RUNNER Feb05         (barboz)BERRIOS ISAAC 119 10.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  BEAR CREEK Feb05 Jan08       (ward dennis)GARCIA A 119 12.00    
 
TAM-9   04/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR SAFFER Apr10 Mar20 Feb26 Feb06 Jan21 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 12.00    
SHIMMERING LEROID Mar18 Feb20 Feb04 Jan08   (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 30.00    
BARBERINI Mar18 Feb20 Jan26     (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
ARTIE'S ANGEL Apr10         (nunn dougla)GARCIA A 119 20.00    
FAST PAYDAY Mar27 Feb23 Feb06     (manning denni)CHAVES ELIONE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
GREAT BRITAIN Apr10 Mar18 Feb18 Jan30   (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 39% 1.60    
AZURE SKY Mar19 Feb25 Feb12 Jan08   (raymond rober)ALVARADO JR 121 8.00    
ONE LUCKY DAY Apr03 Mar04 Jan30     (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 15.00    
ORIGO Apr03 Feb18 Jan21     (nunn do)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
10  PANORAMA TRUCK Mar16 Feb05 Jan07     (d'angelo fr)FERRER C 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
11  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Apr10 Mar18 Jan26     (barboz)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 2.50 13% 7.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.