Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAWAY TOM Mar26 Mar12 Jan16     (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
2  NEGLIGENCE Mar27 Feb19       (acker d)CHAVES ELIONE 120 3.00 ★    
3  TURNPIKE MIKE         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 4.50 ★    
4  THEJIGISUP Apr16 Feb18 Jan29 Jan16   (torres pabl)GARCIA A 120 5.00 ★    
5  BUSTER BURNS Apr15 Feb20 Jan22     (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00    
6  TAPINTOYOURBEER Apr03 Feb23 Feb09 Jan22   (ubide max)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 10% 9.40    
 
TAM-2   04/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TINKER'S PAL Apr10 Mar12 Feb25 Jan23   (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  NANTUCKETER Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb13 Jan22 (raymond)DE CRUZ 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
3  MIAMI CHROME Apr10 Mar27 Mar12 Feb13 Jan22 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 4.50 ★    
4  RIP IT RYAN Mar27 Mar11 Feb16 Jan29   (tsirigotis )SPANABEL SKYLER 124 12.00    
5  STAYIN OR STRAYIN Apr08 Mar19 Mar05 Feb02 Jan09 (poole jeffr)GARCIA A 124 10.00 ★    
6  ZIGGY Mar30 Feb03 Jan06     (delgado jo)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 1.20 13% 6.60    
 
TAM-3   04/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZACHAN Apr10 Mar27       (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00 ★    
2  ZOOMED IN         (delacou)DE CRUZ 120 4.50 9% 9.80    
3  IVY WAY Apr09         (rountree c)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
4  BELLA CASCATA Feb16 Jan09       (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 6% 15.90    
5  LUNA'S TREASURE Apr01 Feb19       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
6  HIDDEN SPRINGS         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 8.00 ★    
7  NO MO DANCING         (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 12.00    
8  LADY CREATIVE Apr01 Mar12       (axmaker cod)GARCIA A 120 5.00    
 
TAM-4   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  U KNOW I B LION Apr06 Mar19 Mar09 Feb09 Jan09 (gatis chris)MORALES PABLO 117 6.00 ★    
2  FLASH TOWN         (einhorn ski)GARCIA A 119 4.50    
3  NOTHINS FREE Feb20 Feb09 Jan12     (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 8.00    
4  CELESTIAL ORB Mar02 Jan30       (march willi)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 12.00 6% 15.40    
SCR  J'S INDIAN CHARM         (bennett)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 15% 5.70    
6  LYRICAL Apr01 Mar13 Feb19 Feb05 Jan12 (raymond rob)MARIN A 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  SMOOTH AS GLASS Mar09 Feb09 Jan09     (nobles reynald)HENRY WESLEY 121 3.00 15% 5.70    
 
TAM-5   04/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTRAGEOUS BET Mar30 Feb18       (raymond)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 ★    
2  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Mar26 Feb26 Feb13 Jan22 Jan01 (dini mike)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.50 9% 10.70    
3  LORD BARNA Mar04 Feb05 Jan08     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00    
4  OBIWAN Mar30 Mar04 Feb04     (feliciano benn)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
5  FLY FLY AWAY Mar30 Feb12 Jan22 Jan01   (cahill stev)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  DREAM LINER (BRZ) Apr09 Mar04 Feb12     (wilson tony)GARCIA A 120 4.50 15% 5.60    
7  SANDY LANE KITTEN Mar30 Mar04 Jan22 Jan01   (arriagada )ROWLAND MADELINE 116 2.50 26% 2.90    
8  TREASURE RUN Apr16 Mar19       (ra)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 120 30.00    
 
TAM-6   04/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURUMBI Apr08 Feb11 Jan26     (bennett)DE CRUZ 118 5.00 46% 1.20    
2  LADY IN HEELS Mar23 Mar02 Feb02     (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.00    
3  BRASS BAND Apr08 Mar09 Feb23 Feb06 Jan16 (dye steven)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 4.00 13% 6.70    
4  SASSY LIKE JULIA Apr15 Mar23 Feb25 Jan29   (russo victor)FERRER C 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
5  LINDSEY LUCK Mar20 Mar06       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00 ★    
6  FALL CAMPAIGN Mar18 Feb25 Jan29 Jan02   (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00    
7  SPEEDY ENOUGH Mar02 Jan02       (padilla tim)SPIETH S 120 3.50 ★    
 
TAM-7   04/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON HUNTER         (hemingway michelle)SPIETH S 120 12.00    
2  REMUDA Mar27         (harty eoin)GARCIA A 120 4.00 ★    
3  ROCK THE STARS Mar20 Feb25 Jan21     (rodrigu)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  DELTA RIDGE Apr09 Mar19 Feb11     (hayford jennifer)DIAZ S 120 4.00 ★    
5  MAPACHE G Apr09 Mar20 Feb25     (machado anton)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00 20% 3.90    
6  WINTER'S GHOST Mar20 Jan21       (ali alnaz)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 8.00    
7  TAP THE CANDY Mar20 Feb16       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
8  BANDERO         (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 12.00    
9  DEVIL'S MYTH         (dobber w)WALES GARY 120 20.00    
 
TAM-8   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING MANDATE Apr08 Mar27 Jan22     (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  ADRIANA ES BONITA Mar13 Feb18 Feb05 Jan22 Jan02 (ubide m)DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
3  FLOR DE PLATA Apr08 Mar27 Mar06 Feb05 Jan08 (nunn dougl)ROWLAND MADELINE 109 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  ANAHIYA'S DREAM Feb23 Jan22 Jan12     (carra)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 ★    
5  SENA THE DUCHESS Apr02 Mar16 Feb26 Jan28 Jan09 (bordis robe)GARCIA A 125 8.00    
6  BEAUTIFUL ROSALIA Apr13 Apr03 Jan12 Jan02   (negrete javier)FERRER C 118 20.00    
7  SPANISH EXCHANGE Apr16 Feb24       (negrete ja)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 30.00 ★    
8  SOUPSTER Apr10 Mar16 Feb17 Feb04 Jan09 (sanchez amador)CAMACHO SAMY 125 4.00 ★    
9  BACKSPARK         (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 8.00    
 
TAM-9   04/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUWANNEE CHICK Apr02 Mar11 Feb19 Feb02   (hemingway ian)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
2  SABELLE Mar20 Mar09 Feb27 Jan22   (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 10.00    
3  RIPLEY EFFECT Mar25 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12   (o'conne)DE CRUZ 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  BASHFUL MARIE Apr06         (schuh tim)BISONO J 120 20.00    
5  CLASSIC REWIND Apr03         (rodriguez d)GARCIA A 120 8.00    
6  MAGIC MIKAELA Apr06 Mar05 Feb18 Feb02   (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 3.00 22% 3.60    
7  JUDGE JUDITH Apr06 Mar11 Feb18 Feb02 Jan16 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
8  GIGI'S DIAMOND         (ubide max)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
SCR  TEA'S DREAM Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 Jan22   (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 8.00    
10  MALIBU SKY Mar11 Feb18       (dye steven)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 30.00    
11  LIBERTALIA Apr06 Mar05 Feb18 Feb02   (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  REAL GOOD VYBZ Apr15 Mar17 Mar05 Feb02   (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OVERTHEBLUESKY Apr08 Mar09 Feb13 Jan08   (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.