Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Saturday - April 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN MANDATE Mar12 Feb19       (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  YES HE CAN Mar27 Feb26 Jan27 Jan02   (scherer mariann)LANERIE J 118 6.00 ★    
3  RELENTLESS DANCER Mar10 Feb04       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  CHARGE THE LINE Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
5  SPYCRAFT         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 15% 5.50    
6  COPPER TOWN         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  SILENT MOVIES Mar04         (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
 
KEE-2   04/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREVISE Mar13         (antonacci p)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 ★    
2  SAY IT LOUD         (pugh pete)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00    
3  LASTTRAINTOBOSTON Mar17 Feb25       (royal madelyn)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00    
4  ATRAS Mar18         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
5  FLOYD G         (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00    
SCR  BENDETTIJOE         (cerin vlad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
7  RUM 'N TONIC         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★    
8  LAWMAKER         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
9  MUSTAZEED         (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 20.00    
10  UPTOWN HUSTLER         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
11  DOM GERVASIO         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
 
KEE-3   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Mar25 Feb04 Jan16     (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  WELLMAN Apr10 Jan23       (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 4.50 12% 7.20    
3  COFFEE WITH ALEX Mar24 Feb17       (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00    
4  DANZEL         (galindo-torr)ROMERO GREGORY 118 30.00    
5  ONCOMING TRAIN Feb11 Jan17       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
6  LIBERTY STAR Feb26 Jan28 Jan01     (gaudet lacey)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00 ★    
7  HATCH (GB) Feb11 Jan14       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00    
8  DARK TIMBER         (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
KEE-4   04/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY MISS Mar24 Feb28 Feb05 Jan22   (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 64% 0.60    
2  BAYOU WIND Feb11         (caramori ed)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 8.00 ★    
3  LANTERN'S CANDY Mar22 Mar05 Feb12     (glyshaw t)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
4  BABY BLUE EYES Mar12 Feb26       (sims a)LANERIE J 118 15.00 ★    
5  SALIT Feb10         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 7% 12.90    
6  EMERALD Mar10         (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
7  FROSTED DIAMOND Feb16         (sims a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
8  WHY LEA Mar17 Feb20       (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
9  OAXACA Mar23 Feb25 Jan09     (gutierrez f)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
10  FOREVER HOME Feb23 Jan27       (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  JEWELOFAKID         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
KEE-5   04/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFINITE POTENTIAL (IRE) Apr09         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 8% 11.20    
2  LUBNA (GB) Feb25 Jan01       (meah anna)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SEASONS (FR)         (carroll jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 18% 4.60    
4  RUNAWAY MOM Mar03 Feb18 Jan09     (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  NEVISIAN SUNRISE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 47% 1.10    
6  DESIGNER READY         (drury tho)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
7  COMMANDERS PALACE Feb25         (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
8  JOY OF PAINTING Jan29         (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
9  ENSEMBLE (IRE)         (walsh brendan )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
 
KEE-6   04/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASA DE GOAT         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  TOFFEE Mar13         (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
3  CATWINGS Mar09         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 113 3.00 48% 1.10    
4  PLEASE BE KIND Mar23         (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 120 8.00    
5  FAITH'S REWARD Feb11 Jan14       (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 6% 16.60    
6  LOVELY PRINCESS         (frazier matt)MCKEE J 120 12.00 ★    
7  SWEET BABY RAY         (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 113 15.00    
8  MUSIC STREET         (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 ★    
 
KEE-7   04/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I HEAR YOU Mar26 Feb19 Jan15     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
1A  KEEPER OF TIME (IRE) Mar05 Jan28       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
2  ZAMZAM Feb26         (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 15.00    
3  SWEET ENOUGH (GB)         (attfield roge)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
4  WHIMSICAL MUSE Mar10         (breen j)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
5  GAM'S MISSION Mar26         (devaux cheri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 19% 4.40    
6  TAKE CHARGE RO Mar12 Jan21       (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  FLIPPANT         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 ★    
8  MARKET RUMOR Mar20         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 14% 6.00    
9  SARANYA         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
10  NICENO Mar19 Jan29       (vaughan edw)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  MISTY VEIL Feb27 Jan29 Jan07     (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
KEE-8   04/23/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY DIPLOMACY Mar24 Jan15       (walsh bre)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of DRUMETTE by HENNY HUGHES)
2  MIGHTY HEART         (carroll josie)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 42% 1.40    
  (by DRAMEDY out of EMMA'S BULLSEYE by CITY PLACE)
3  PROXY Mar26 Feb25       (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 11% 7.80    
  (by TAPIT out of PANTY RAID by INCLUDE)
4  DYNAMIC ONE Mar12         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 12% 7.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of BEAT THE DRUMS by FOLLOW THE DRUM)
5  WARRANT Mar05 Jan22       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
6  TARTUFO Apr02 Feb12       (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of STIRLING BRIDGE by PRIZED)
7  SCALDING Mar12 Feb11 Jan05     (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of HOT WATER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  TITLE READY Apr02 Jan29       (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 7% 14.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TITLE SEEKER by MONARCHOS)
 
KEE-9   04/23/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEMMA'S BOY Mar12 Feb14       (maker micha)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ARCING by ARCH)
2  SOLE VOLANTE Apr10 Jan29       (biancone )LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE (JPN) out of LIGHT BLOW by KINGMAMBO)
3  TWO EMMYS Mar26 Feb19 Jan22     (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 ★    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MISS EMMY by BUDDHA)
SCR  PHANTOM CURRENCY Apr02         (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 9% 10.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of PHANTOM RISING by MR. GREELEY)
5  CHANNEL MAKER         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of IN RETURN by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
6  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Mar18 Feb12       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of THE WINGED VENUS by ROCK HARD TEN)
7  CULLUM ROAD Mar26         (danner doug)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of R CHARLIE'S ANGEL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  BAMA BREEZE Jan29         (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 12.00 ★    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STELLA BLUE (FR) by ANABAA)
9  ANOTHER MYSTERY Mar26 Jan30       (block chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
 
KEE-10   04/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MOMENTOUS Feb19         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) Apr02 Feb26       (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
2  CONDEMN Mar16         (drury thomas )VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
3  UNIKEE Mar12 Feb05       (pompay terri)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  TOUGH TO TAME Mar13         (davis chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00    
5  RED LABEL Feb11 Jan08       (demeritte lar)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
SCR  GIANT NOVA Mar17 Feb23 Jan16     (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
7  BRITAIN'S KITTEN         (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
8  SLIM SLOW SLIDER Apr02 Mar19 Feb23     (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  B SUDD Mar25         (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 18% 4.70    
10  LEGENDARY LORE Mar05 Feb11 Jan07     (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 15% 5.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.