Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Saturday - April 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DASTARDLY DEEDS Jan16         (candelas b)URDANETA J 124 8.00 15% 5.60    
B G ATTACK Apr02         (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
J J'S SOLUTION Apr02 Jan15       (rednour jr)MOJICA O 124 10.00    
DUST DANCER (GB) Apr03         (bentler do)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 1.40 37% 1.70    
ROCKET MAN ATTACK         (childers vance)BAIRD T 118 4.00    
ASTI SKY         (cristel j)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
HAW-2   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXIMUS IMAGE         (zawitz joel)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00    
TRY TRY AGAIN Apr10 Apr03 Feb26 Feb10 Jan16 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 3.50 27% 2.60    
OUR THOMAS         (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 8.00 9% 9.90    
HIGH HERO Apr16 Apr02       (perez mann)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 1.80    
KREWE CHIEF Apr09 Mar26       (reid david)URDANETA J 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
RENEGADE BOB Apr09 Apr02       (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 121 12.00    
 
HAW-3   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BLINDNESS Mar03 Jan07       (scherer gary)FELIX E 121 1.60    
FIRST SQUADRON Apr02 Mar11 Jan14     (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 6.00 25% 3.10    
THAT LUVIN FEELING         (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
RARE ACTION ATTACK Apr09         (childers vance)MOJICA O 121 2.50 15% 5.50    
GRAND PRIZE Jan13         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
HAW-4   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOM CAETANO (ARG) Feb10 Jan12       (matthews dou)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 12.00    
AWESOME FAMILY Mar10 Feb20 Feb10 Jan22   (brooks ger)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60 53% 0.90    
DRAMATIC KITTEN Apr09 Mar18 Feb24 Feb17 Jan25 (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00 12% 7.10    
TWO COOKIE RULE Apr10         (poulos dee)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00    
YALIKEANYTHING Apr09         (hughes ear)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 20.00 8% 12.00    
COCO BRAVADO Apr10         (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 111 3.50    
COMISKEY PARK         (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 121 4.50    
 
HAW-5   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR CLINE         (reavis mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.00    
PATH TO SUCCESS Apr03 Mar03 Feb14     (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 118 2.00 56% 0.80    
NO MORE Z U         (young r)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00    
ALL OVER OLIVER Mar27         (tracy tanner)FELIX E 124 8.00 8% 11.40    
JUSTICE ONCE Mar23         (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 5.00    
COYOTE ROAD         (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 118 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
HAW-6   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEE BURNS Apr03 Mar19 Feb17 Jan16   (scherer gary)FELIX E 115 2.50 34% 1.90    
CAPTAIN CARNEGIE         (ryan chris)URDANETA J 121 15.00    
TOM'S LAST GENERAL Apr10 Apr02 Feb12 Jan16   (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00 7% 13.00    
MARQUEE RIDE Mar19 Feb28 Feb03 Jan17   (scherer gary)EMIGH A 115 5.00    
TALKTOEACHOTHER         (candelas blanca)LOPEZ E 121 6.00    
KEEP ATTACKING         (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 10% 9.10    
FROOME (IRE) Apr02 Mar19 Feb17     (perez manny)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00    
OVERSEAS LETTER Jan27         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 115 10.00    
ROCKET HOTSHOT         (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 111 8.00 24% 3.20    
 
HAW-7   04/23/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT DAME Apr10 Mar31 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 (hernandez )URDANETA J 121 20.00    
GOOD MONGOLIA Apr10 Feb20 Jan30 Jan09   (rodriguez hugo)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50    
SEAWARD Apr10 Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 Jan15 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.00    
KIMBERLY FRANCES Apr10 Apr02       (sanchez os)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 12% 7.20    
SAMARITA         (childers vance)BAIRD T 114 10.00    
WAVE OF GOODNESS Apr10 Apr02 Feb11 Jan07   (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
MAYSTART         (slager m)LOPEZ A 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
WILDWOOD MAGGIE Feb23 Jan14       (campbell joel)MOJICA O 121 8.00 10% 9.30    
 
HAW-8   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOOSIER GOLD CASE Apr03         (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
SHEZA SAVAGE Mar18 Jan07       (reavis mi)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
ELSIE'S KID         (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 121 3.50    
SCR  RONAN         (mcewen j)EMIGH A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHEZ RECKLESS Apr03 Mar19 Feb23 Feb04 Jan26 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
PERFECT DIVA Apr03 Feb11 Jan20 Jan03   (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 121 12.00 15% 5.80    
UPSIDE DOWN Apr09 Mar02 Feb19     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00    
I LOVE TO RACE Apr03 Mar23 Feb25     (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 121 12.00    
GODSGIFT Mar04 Feb11       (rose wayne)LOPEZ A 121 30.00    
10  KITTEN ROCKS Mar09 Feb24 Jan29 Jan08   (cook bria)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.