Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENAI COOL Apr03 Mar13 Feb23 Feb09 Jan09 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
LEA ME ALONE Apr03 Feb26 Feb09 Jan12   (arnett jon )GARCIA A 122 1.60 24% 3.20    
TALE OF V K Apr03 Mar19 Mar13 Feb26 Feb18 (roque elis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
SUNDRENCHED Mar23 Mar06 Feb09 Jan07   (poole jeff)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 15.00    
ROLLING MO Mar13 Feb23 Jan29 Jan09   (russell rand)BATISTA A 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
SENSIBLE MYTH Mar30 Feb20 Feb05 Jan05   (ali alnaz)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 3.00    
 
TAM-2   04/20/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN WONDER Mar12 Feb23 Feb09     (dobber w)WALES GARY 120 30.00    
SCR  TAKEMYSHOT Mar30 Mar18 Feb12 Jan27 Jan12 (acker scott )BATISTA A 120 8.00    
SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Mar16 Feb27 Jan30     (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.00 10% 9.50    
EL POLICIA Apr03         (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 120 3.00    
BROADWAY RUCKUS Mar20 Mar02 Jan29 Jan14   (dye steven)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 12.00    
CEDAR BEACH Mar25 Mar02 Feb09 Jan16   (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 4.00 13% 6.80    
BENNY'S FIDDLE Apr02 Mar16 Feb26     (nunn do)DE CRUZ 120 1.50 55% 0.80    
 
TAM-3   04/20/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELANCHOLY BLUES Mar26 Mar05 Feb19 Feb06 Jan19 (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
D FLAT WHITE Mar25 Mar06 Feb20 Jan09   (dobber w)WALES GARY 118 30.00    
MAGICGIRL Mar30 Mar13 Feb27 Jan13   (raymond ro)ROWLAND MADELINE 111 8.00    
MIZZEN AIR Mar18 Feb27 Feb20 Jan12   (arnett jon )GARCIA A 118 5.00 9% 10.80    
HUSH Y'ALL Mar18 Feb27 Jan12     (vinson john)MARIN A 118 6.00 6% 15.90    
DR. ANN Mar25 Feb09 Jan22 Jan12   (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
INEDATEQUILA Mar25 Feb20 Jan23     (carra)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 0.80 50% 1.00    
 
TAM-4   04/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHOCHOH Mar18 Jan20       (richard)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Mar11 Feb09       (poole jeffr)GARCIA A 120 20.00    
FIG JELLY Mar30 Mar05 Feb18 Jan08   (bowersock mar)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 9% 10.00    
EXPENSIVE STYLE Mar16 Feb11 Jan08     (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 123 1.00 37% 1.70    
UNRIDEABULL         (woodard w)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
BABY BOOMER Mar16 Mar05 Jan23     (bennett ger)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
TAM-5   04/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHINEGUNPREACHER Apr10 Feb26 Feb06 Jan21   (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 14% 6.10    
SUMMER BOSS Apr03 Jan07       (dini mike)BATISTA A 120 4.00    
QUICK HIT Feb09 Jan28       (nunn dougl)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 20.00    
JUPITER RAIN Apr10 Apr03 Feb20 Feb09 Jan19 (seyler dougla)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 20.00    
TONY'S GOLD         (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 7% 13.30    
PROCURADOR Apr10 Mar06 Jan05     (cruz jesus)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
LAGERFELDT Apr10 Mar25 Feb04 Jan07   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00    
JAQUE MATE COCO Apr06 Mar12       (dye steven)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 30.00    
HE'SSOSUBTLE Apr02 Mar18       (wasiluk pet)GARCIA A 120 12.00    
10  ECCENTRICO Apr03 Jan22 Jan01     (acker d)CHAVES ELIONE 120 10.00    
 
TAM-6   04/20/2022 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ASHIHAM Mar11         (escobar alison)BISONO J 121 8.00    
SHALDAG Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 Feb06 Jan28 (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 123 8.00    
BRIDGEKEEPER Apr10 Mar19 Feb13 Feb06 Jan19 (russo victor)FERRER C 121 20.00    
TENEBRIS Mar18         (hemingway michelle)SPIETH S 121 6.00    
HARD LIGHTING Mar06         (barboza vict)BATISTA A 121 4.00    
BOLD PAYNTER Feb11         (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
TAPSASIONAL Mar27 Mar06 Feb11     (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.00 59% 0.70    
 
TAM-7   04/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARQUET MALICE Mar06         (machado)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
ESCAPED REALITY         (arriagada )ROWLAND MADELINE 113 15.00    
CONSIDER ME Mar25         (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  OUTSTANDING ISLAND Mar12         (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
BENCH WALK Apr03 Mar06 Feb09 Jan16   (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
DIAL HIM UP         (harty eoin)GARCIA A 120 8.00    
RUM NOT BOURBON Apr01         (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
HAD RIGHT Jan05         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
GREAT JUNIOR Mar25 Mar06 Jan28 Jan19 Jan05 (roque elis)FERRER C 120 3.00    
10  SPEEDY DAREDEVIL         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 30.00    
 
TAM-8   04/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK OF VALOR         (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00    
EMPIRE BUILDER         (seale christop)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
KENRIC Mar27         (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 10.00    
EXXEL Mar12 Feb12 Jan14     (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
DOUBLE WARRIOR Mar19 Mar05 Jan02     (exposito adolfo )FERRER C 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
INCREDIBLE BILL Mar05         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.50    
HE IS READY Mar19         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Apr06         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 5.00    
FINALIZE         (rhone berne)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 12.00    
 
TAM-9   04/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIONDA SUPRISE Mar26 Mar06 Feb23 Feb04 Jan23 (yanez m)DE CRUZ 127 4.50    
SCR  CROSS THE MERSEY         (hemingway i)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 12.00    
TAMI'S ORCHID Mar26 Mar09 Feb04 Jan26   (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 127 4.50 10% 9.00    
MAJESTIC QUEEN Apr09 Mar18 Mar02     (harris w)BISONO J 125 8.00 10% 8.90    
MAY BEAU Apr10 Mar25 Feb18 Jan30 Jan14 (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 127 12.00    
V K STAR Mar09         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 127 20.00    
FARCICAL Apr09 Mar02 Feb04     (aguayo ramon)HENRY WESLEY 127 3.50 22% 3.50    
MISS GHISLAINE Mar09 Feb04       (richards r)MITCHELL RICHARD 127 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  JEFF'S ANGEL Apr08 Feb18 Jan08     (exposito j)LOPEZ E 120 4.00    
10  TWISTED TREASURE         (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 127 15.00    
SCR  SASSY CAT Apr10 Mar02 Jan07     (axmaker cody )MORALES PABLO 125 3.00    
SCR  TOOLEGITTOQUIT Apr03         (arnett jon )GARCIA A 127 10.00    
SCR  SHES A THREAT Apr13 Mar20       (fennessy john)VALDES ALEXIS 125 8.00    
SCR  SHERRY ORIENTAL         (nunn douglas)BATISTA A 127 5.00 10% 9.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.