Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.76K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRONG TURN         (coats freddi)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 30.00    
OKLAHOMA HEAT Mar30 Feb17 Jan28     (offolter s)KIMES C 124 1.80 25% 2.90    
BACKSTAGE BUD Apr04 Mar21       (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
KWONTRO Mar29 Mar22 Jan07     (swan patrick)JORDAN R 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
WILD RUMBLE Apr12 Apr04       (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 124 10.00    
TAG ME Mar30 Jan26       (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00    
 
WRD-2   04/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAYDAR'S DREAM Apr07 Mar24 Feb04     (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00    
SCR  GRUFFANDTOUGH Mar22         (escamilla-g)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 20.00    
CAJUNS GOLDEN POND Apr04 Mar21       (dixon tim)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
MAGIC CARPET Apr04 Mar12       (martin steve)JORDAN R 119 3.50 14% 6.20    
EL VALE Apr04         (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SYNTHETIC JOE         (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 8.00    
CANDY BARON Mar30         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00    
SOONER SKUTA Apr06 Mar21       (engel rog)TRIANA JR 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
 
WRD-3   04/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GOLDEN PRIZE         (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 15.00    
PREF RIGHT Mar19 Feb25 Jan27     (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 4.00    
TWICE AS GOOD Apr06         (oberlande)MEDINA ANGEL 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
ON A SHOESTRING Mar31 Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 Jan23 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
HOLLYSROYALDEFENSE Apr06 Mar17 Mar04     (calloway )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 6.00 10% 9.00    
ONE CLASSY CHICK Apr06         (davis d)GOFF L 124 30.00 9% 10.20    
NORMALENORA Mar29         (ashford ra)JORDAN R 113 3.00    
 
WRD-4   04/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($20.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIELAND CANDY Mar22         (young e)KIMES C 124 12.00 5% 18.90    
SHE'S FIRE AND ICE Mar22         (engel roger )JORDAN R 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
DO YOU BILEVE Apr04         (swan patr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
SEEING DOUBLE Apr04 Mar19 Mar12 Jan13   (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00    
CANADA CANDY Apr04         (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
CADI DEVILLE Mar22         (luneack t)TRIANA JR 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
JESSIE'S VALENTINE Apr05         (engel roger )RICHARD RONALD 124 6.00    
 
WRD-5   04/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 3 F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A PLAYER Apr05         (luneack t)TRIANA JR 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
OH NIKI Apr06 Mar28       (swan patrick)JORDAN R 117 4.00    
KACHINA         (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
HOME OF THE WIND         (oberlande)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.00    
SCR  MOUNTAIN HEART Apr05 Feb23 Feb09 Jan19   (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 20.00    
FEELIN MY OATS         (mitchell )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 10.00    
SHEZONEZESTREET         (bravo francis)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
WRD-6   04/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL SPARTAGUS         (williams f)CRUZ ROMAN 118 15.00 10% 8.90    
DON'T BUG ME         (hunt s)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 20.00 10% 8.90    
DREAMS AFFIRMED Apr05 Mar21       (nichols anth)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 30.00    
LA' HOPPER Apr13 Mar30 Feb17 Jan22   (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 3.50 10% 8.90    
GRANITO DE ORO Apr13 Mar28       (moreno carlos)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 10.00    
SOLDIER'S FIGHT Mar23 Feb16       (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 12.00 9% 10.10    
KEETOOWAH THUNDER Mar30         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00    
TIZ STRONG Apr05 Mar23 Mar12 Feb26 Feb10 (martin st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 1.40 34% 1.90    
JAMBI Apr05 Mar21       (hale jame)TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
 
WRD-7   04/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HATTIES JEWEL Apr06 Mar28 Feb23 Feb11 Jan22 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 8.00    
TOTALLY TIGER Mar28         (buehrer m)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
DICTATOR Mar10 Jan30 Jan07     (tracy greg)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  HAVE A PLAN Apr01 Mar12 Feb09 Jan21   (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
UNITED PATRIOT Mar31 Mar17 Feb25     (biehler m)TRIANA JR 124 5.00    
COMMON KNOWLEDGE Mar28 Feb10 Jan13     (tracy greg)JORDAN R 116 4.50    
 
WRD-8   04/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL KNOWS Mar29 Feb26 Feb06 Jan15   (tracy greg)SANCHEZ OBED 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEAN CANNON Apr09 Mar12 Mar02 Feb14 Feb04 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
HE'S MUNNIE Mar29 Mar04 Jan14     (hartman alex)KIMES C 121 5.00 26% 2.80    
CABOT TRAIL Mar21 Jan26 Jan15     (tracy greg)JORDAN R 119 3.00    
CATALE STORM Mar29         (mitchell )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 15.00    
MAN U Mar29 Mar10       (biehler mic)WETHEY JR 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
CANEY'S GHOST Apr06 Mar29       (luneack theres)MORA GERARDO 121 10.00    
CALCULATING KING Mar28         (engel rog)TRIANA JR 124 1.60 26% 2.80    
 
WRD-9   04/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.08K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHIP Mar29         (hale victo)CRUZ ROMAN 124 8.00    
CANONIZE (IRE)         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 3.00    
SELLING SHORT Apr02 Mar17 Feb16 Jan27   (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
I'M CRENSHAW Feb18 Jan30       (bravo francis)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00    
AVENGING WARRIOR Apr05 Feb18       (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 118 6.00 12% 7.70    
BRICKTOWN BROWN Mar22         (trett g)KIMES C 124 6.00    
TRISTANS JOURNEY         (gunter mi)TRIANA JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SALT CREEK KID Mar29         (hunt s)WETHEY JR 124 1.60 56% 0.80    
 
WRD-10   04/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IS VAIN Mar30         (pogue bob)CRUZ ROMAN 124 8.00 12% 7.20    
BEAR DEN Apr04         (biehler mic)WETHEY JR 124 6.00    
IM THE MAN NOW Mar22         (rodriguez)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00 8% 12.10    
CRAFTY HEAT Mar22 Feb04       (ashford ray)KIMES C 124 8.00    
CHARLIE MO Mar29         (ashford ra)JORDAN R 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
TRUE GLORY (IRE) Apr04         (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 3.50    
UNBRIDLED GUY Apr05 Mar30       (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00 9% 9.60    
CHARING CROSS Apr04 Mar22       (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00 6% 16.70    
SMOOTH OPERATOR Apr04 Mar22       (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
10  CALICHE RIDGE         (gomez j)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.