Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - April 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   04/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOGOLLON RIM         (yakteen tim)BAZE C 118 6.00    
2  FORE FLAG Mar25 Feb06 Jan15     (mccarthy mi)HERRERA A 113 4.00 26% 2.80    
3  JUST ABOUT ENOUGH Mar25 Mar07 Jan16     (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 126 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  DARK MARCUS Mar07 Feb06 Jan01     (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.00 ★    
5  COOL ACCLAIM Mar07 Jan29       (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  BLUE STAR Mar25         (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00 ★    
7  ATTENZIONE Mar25         (kruljac j )VAN DRAYDEN 126 12.00    
 
SA-2   04/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELECTOR Feb26         (sadler joh)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 1.60    
2  MCLAREN VALE Jan29         (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 ★    
3  BRUTTO Mar12         (mccarthy sean)SMITH E 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  ROOKIE MISTAKE Feb06 Jan15       (glatt mark)HERRERA A 121 8.00 ★    
5  ZIMBA WARRIOR Mar19 Jan28       (hess b)CURATOLO RYAN 126 12.00 24% 3.10    
6  RIFEY Mar06 Feb04 Jan15 Jan01   (stute gary)BAZE C 126 8.00 16% 5.30    
 
SA-3   04/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONG OF FIRE Mar25 Feb18       (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  LOOKIN SO LUCKY Apr03 Feb25 Jan23     (barba alexis)BAZE C 126 2.50    
3  A THOUSAND DREAMS Mar11         (cerin vladimir)CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.00 21% 3.80    
4  HERE COMES RALPHIE Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 Jan14   (stute gary)RAMIREZ RICARDO 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
5  ST HELENA Apr10 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21   (wallace jerry)FREY KYLE 126 4.00 ★    
6  WILD ARCH Mar13 Feb13 Jan17     (saavedra a)VAN DRAYDEN 126 20.00 9% 10.00    
7  STARSHIP SKY         (hess b)CURATOLO RYAN 126 6.00    
 
SA-4   04/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIM MOMENT         (d'amato ph)VAN DRAYDEN 124 3.00 18% 4.70    
2  BELMONT BILL Mar27         (hofmans david)FREY KYLE 126 10.00    
3  TAHOE SECRETS         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 113 8.00 ★    
4  HOUNDSTOOTH Feb26 Jan22       (mandella richa)CEDILLO ABEL 126 1.80 ★    
5  VETOED Jan21         (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 33% 2.10    
6  HAPPY RUNNER Mar19 Feb25 Jan22     (mccarthy michae)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
SA-5   04/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($69K) 3 ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOITFORANDREW (GB) Mar18 Feb19       (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
2  SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Mar18 Feb26 Jan30 Jan09   (d'amato ph)VAN DRAYDEN 122 4.00 ★    
3  BARSABAS Feb19 Jan23 Jan02     (hanson ryan)BAZE C 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  BALADI Mar12 Jan15       (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
5  ECHOSMITH (IRE) Mar18 Feb19 Jan30     (wong jonath)HERRERA A 117 15.00    
6  ARRABIATA Mar13 Jan23       (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00    
7  ST ANTHONY Mar11 Feb25 Jan30     (drysdale neil)CURATOLO RYAN 122 8.00 8% 12.20    
8  WAR AT SEA Mar05 Feb13 Jan09     (ellis w)SMITH E 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
 
SA-6   04/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILA TIGRE         (koriner brian)BRAVO J 118 6.00 6% 15.70    
2  BOSSY PEGASUS Apr01         (bernard lisa)PYFER JESSICA 118 50.00    
3  SWEET CALIFORNIA Mar19 Feb18 Jan28     (callaghan simon)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
4  WARREN'S QUEEN BEE Mar19 Feb18 Jan30     (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
5  GOOD BOO JOO         (papaprodro)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 8.00    
6  PALEO'S PRINCESS         (alvarado ruben)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00 6% 15.70    
7  STEEL NERVES         (mccarthy)ELLINGWOOD A 111 15.00    
8  DREAMER GIRL         (palma o)BAZE C 118 8.00    
9  SHEILA'S CHARLIE Mar19         (b)ROJAS EDUARD 126 50.00    
10  ALEX'S GIRL         (hofmans dav)HERRERA A 113 6.00 6% 15.70    
11  LYINATTHEBAR         (solis walther)FREY KYLE 118 15.00    
 
SA-7   04/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY THE SKY Mar19 Feb13 Jan30 Jan08   (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 ★    
2  IRISH HEATWAVE Mar19 Feb13 Jan16     (puype mike)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  DUBBY DUBBIE Feb26 Feb04 Jan07     (hess b)SMITH E 122 6.00    
4  NILES CHANNEL Mar19 Mar06 Feb05 Jan16   (barocio )ELLINGWOOD A 115 4.00 24% 3.10    
5  BIG BUZZ Feb13 Jan17 Jan07     (kitchingman a)PYFER JESSICA 124 8.00    
6  LIBERAL (IRE) Mar19 Feb13 Jan16     (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 3.50 11% 7.70    
7  HOOP DREAM Feb27         (bernstein david)MALDONADO E 122 20.00    
8  FRONTIER MARKET Mar19 Feb11       (sadler w)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 6% 14.90    
 
SA-8   04/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S SIMPLE         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  INCREASE STAKES Mar11 Feb19 Jan28 Jan02   (freeman edward )MALDONADO E 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
3  DANNYBOB         (gonzale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 119 5.00    
4  RESPECTFULLY Mar05 Jan29       (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 121 10.00    
5  LI'L GRAZEN Mar12 Feb11 Jan16     (alvarado r)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00    
6  RIGHTEOUSLY Feb06 Jan02       (ruiz lorenzo)FREY KYLE 126 20.00 ★    
7  LIBERALISM         (koriner brian)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 10.00 6% 17.10    
8  SMILIN EVIE Mar26 Jan08       (baltas richard)BRAVO J 118 6.00    
9  KEEP YOUR COIL Apr01 Mar07 Feb13 Jan21 Jan02 (pineda milton)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 15.00    
10  SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH Mar13 Feb20 Jan22 Jan16   (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 126 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
SA-9   04/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENLEY'S JOY Mar12         (baltas richard)BRAVO J 124 8.00 9% 10.00    
2  IRIDEO (ARG)         (polanco marcelo)SMITH E 124 12.00    
3  CASH EQUITY (FR)         (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
4  HONG KONG HARRY (IRE) Mar06         (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  MOODY JIM (IRE) Feb04 Jan07       (mullins jeff)BAZE C 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  FLASHIEST Feb04         (powell leonard)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00    
7  COMRADERY (IRE) Mar11 Jan22       (sadler w)FREY KYLE 122 10.00 ★    
 
SA-10   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE GIANTS CANDY Mar20         (mcanally rona)VALDIVIA JR 126 20.00 ★    
2  TROUBADOUR Mar06         (mandella r)VAN DRAYDEN 126 6.00    
3  SPECIAL RIDE Mar27         (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 126 3.00 17% 4.90    
4  TENTH STREET DON Mar05         (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 118 20.00    
5  PALAGIO         (shirreffs john)BAZE C 118 15.00    
6  PRACTICAL IMPACT         (gallagher p)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00    
7  SWINDLER         (drysdale neil)CURATOLO RYAN 118 12.00    
8  FAMOUS STAR (GB) Mar20         (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
9  BLETCHLEY PARK Mar27 Jan22       (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
10  HERO STATUS         (glatt mark)SMITH E 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
11  BREAKFAST RIDE         (sadler w)BRAVO J 118 8.00 6% 14.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.