Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.45K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAGGY GEORGE Jan29 Jan08       (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
RILEYS DUDE         (arriagada )ROWLAND MADELINE 113 2.50    
FIRSTCADETE Apr01 Mar18 Feb11 Jan21   (machado)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
CUZ Mar18 Feb25 Jan28     (gucia)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
BLAKENSTEIN Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Jan05   (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
SEAZAN Mar18 Feb25 Jan23     (arnett jon )GARCIA A 120 8.00    
URBAN WARRIOR Mar26 Mar09       (roque elis)FERRER C 120 5.00    
 
TAM-2   04/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN DOLLAR Apr06 Feb18       (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 0.60 34% 1.90    
SWIFT DANCER Mar26 Mar19 Feb27 Feb18 Jan07 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 31% 2.20    
LOVER RODOLFO         (del j)HENRY WESLEY 123 20.00    
JUSTICE WARRIOR Mar30         (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 125 15.00    
EDMUND FITZGERALD Mar19         (hayford jennifer)DIAZ S 125 8.00    
MAGIC CASTLE         (rhone berne)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 6.00 11% 8.40    
CATCHTHISWINNER         (skinner ga)ALONSO LUIS 125 10.00    
AS DE ORO COCO Mar26 Mar12       (morales gu)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
 
TAM-3   04/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIO HATO Apr06 Mar24       (minguet ramo)BATISTA A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
GIOVANE'S PROMISE Mar30 Mar23 Mar06 Feb25 Feb18 (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 125 1.50    
KAPHAVATA Mar30 Mar20 Mar04 Feb23 Jan07 (me)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 125 6.00    
BUSTER BURNS Feb20 Jan22       (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
POSEIDONS MYTH Mar30 Mar11 Feb25 Feb02 Jan12 (ubide max)CAMACHO SAMY 125 1.80 65% 0.50    
ZIPPER ZAPPER Mar18         (boland sharon)BUSH V 118 10.00    
BUSTER Feb19 Jan16       (harney hea)ORDONEZ R 125 20.00    
EL FANTASMA Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Feb04   (boland sharon)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 5.00 7% 14.10    
 
TAM-4   04/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIALING VALENTINE Feb11 Jan26       (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00    
SCR  LUNA CLOCK         (hemingway mi)BATISTA A 118 8.00    
STARSHIP BELMONT Mar09 Feb12 Jan15     (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 119 3.00    
ANY PORT Mar11 Feb12       (lerman roy )SPANABEL SKYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  BABY LUCK Feb19 Jan08       (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 118 8.00    
LULI'S DANCER Feb12         (gonzalez e)BISONO J 118 15.00    
BEASTIE GIRL Mar20         (rountree c)MITCHELL RICHARD 126 3.50 28% 2.60    
WINDY REIGN Mar19         (manchan bertr)ALVARADO JR 124 30.00    
REAL GOOD VYBZ Mar17 Mar05 Feb02     (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 10.00    
10  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Mar09 Feb19       (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
11  LOVINGTIZ         (machado an)ORDONEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  PINCH MINE Mar16         (fennessy john)VALDES ALEXIS 124 20.00    
 
TAM-5   04/15/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON WISDOM Apr06 Mar11 Feb27 Jan21 Jan02 (roque elis)FERRER C 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
WHISTLE ME HOME Mar30 Mar16 Jan28 Jan16   (richards rena)SOSA LAUREANO 113 6.00    
SHAKEM N BREAKEM Mar16 Feb25 Jan28 Jan09   (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 20.00    
CHILL HAZE Feb18 Feb05 Jan29     (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 30.00    
SCR  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Mar30 Mar09 Feb13 Jan09   (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 3.50 9% 10.00    
IT'S FATE Mar30 Mar16 Feb04 Jan01   (dye steven)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00 9% 10.30    
FUN PADDY Mar18 Feb20 Jan07     (axmaker cody)BATISTA A 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHINOMADITO Mar25 Mar16 Feb02 Jan16   (adorno jean )GARCIA GEOVANY 123 3.50    
 
TAM-6   04/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALABAMA SLAMMER Jan19         (cordero ant)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 8.00    
AZIZA         (hemingway michelle)SPIETH S 118 8.00    
AFRICAN HERITAGE Feb04         (mejia maria )SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 20.00    
SILENCE         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 116 20.00    
ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) Feb27 Jan14       (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 1.20 40% 1.50    
VIVA VICTORY Mar13 Feb19 Jan26 Jan08   (dobber w)WALES GARY 116 15.00    
THATZA ALPHA Mar25 Mar06 Feb09 Jan28   (viands gregory)DIAZ S 116 30.00    
SCR  GRUMLEY Mar12 Jan08       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 116 8.00    
GATE CREW Feb27 Feb05 Jan09     (boyce m)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 33% 2.10    
10  RECORDER Mar25 Feb27 Jan29     (arnett jon )GARCIA A 123 15.00    
11  MUNQAD Mar27 Mar11       (escobar alison)BISONO J 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PIRATE PARADE Mar19 Feb27 Feb05 Jan14   (pimental i)CENTENO E 123 8.00    
SCR  AZURE SKY Mar19 Feb25 Feb12 Jan08   (raymond robe)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
SCR  SHALDAG Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 Feb06 Jan28 (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 123 8.00    
 
TAM-7   04/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY LIKE JULIA Mar23 Feb25 Jan29     (russo victo)GARCIA A 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
BARBARA Apr03 Feb20 Jan13     (guciard)DE CRUZ 123 2.50    
BELLA ROMANCE         (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 119 15.00    
MORE MUCHO Mar30 Feb23 Feb02 Jan21   (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 8.00 22% 3.50    
VIOLENT ZAP Jan02         (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
ACACIAHELPME Mar23 Mar02 Feb04     (o'connor rober)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 6% 14.50    
ROSY APPLE Mar25 Mar02 Feb06 Jan05   (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
STYLE Mar30 Mar09 Feb11     (arriagada )ROWLAND MADELINE 112 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-8   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIFIED RIDE         (dini mike)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
MIKES MAJESTY         (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 111 15.00    
NINE CROWNS         (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 118 12.00    
NONNA PATRIZIA Mar16         (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00    
GIRL PRO         (mazza w)WALES GARY 118 15.00    
R FUNNY BIZNESS Mar25 Mar06       (bennett)DE CRUZ 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
SLOT QUEEN Mar27         (proctor thoma)MORALES PABLO 118 2.00 20% 4.00    
ASENA         (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 6.00 14% 6.00    
TALKIN TIPSY         (gulick jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 10.00    
 
TAM-9   04/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20.95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILY'S LEAD Jan01         (barbazoniii le)CAMACHO SAMY 117 12.00 6% 15.90    
WHISPERING WANDA Mar20 Mar11       (dimmett james)BISONO J 124 30.00    
SCR  TOURING EGYPT Apr03 Mar13       (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 10.00    
MYSTIC DREAMS Apr09 Mar09 Mar02 Jan23   (mazza j)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
REYNA DE VERANO Mar20 Mar11 Jan09     (sk)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 124 30.00    
COOL FRONT Mar17 Feb23       (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 124 5.00    
BLUE NEITH Mar23 Mar11 Feb23     (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 117 8.00    
TEXAS MAGIC Mar31 Feb26 Feb04     (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 124 6.00    
FOXGLOVE Mar18         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
10  ELLE M'A SOURI (FR)         (kintz matthew)FERRER C 124 3.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  ENGLISH CHARMER Mar17 Feb16 Jan21     (raymond robe)BATISTA A 124 4.00 8% 11.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.