Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - April 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   04/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IT'S SAUL RIGHT         (miyadi steven)VAZQUEZ A 118 5.00    
SCR  ONE SMOKIN MOON         (solis walth)HERRERA A 113 2.50    
SMOKIN AMELIA         (periban jorge)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 17.70    
PAYTRICIA         (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 111 6.00 5% 17.70    
TOM'S REGRET         (periban jorge)BAZE C 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
THE REIGN SONG         (solis walt)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50    
 
SA-2   04/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAVEL SMART Mar12 Jan30       (alvarado r)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
VIRULENTE (FR) Mar06 Jan16       (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 1.80    
BIG ROSIE         (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 5.00    
PRECIOUS INSIGHT Mar26 Feb11 Jan15     (solis walther)FREY KYLE 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
TIZZY TWISTER Mar19 Feb18 Jan15     (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00    
 
SA-3   04/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORAH'S PRINCESS         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
THREE POINT OH         (freeman edward )MALDONADO E 118 8.00    
SMILING MOLLY         (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 111 8.00    
ANNA'S MUSIC Mar18         (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 118 3.50 9% 10.50    
SQUARE NOT Mar27         (glatt mark)HERRERA A 121 2.50 38% 1.70    
SAPADILLA Mar18         (cecil d)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.00    
LADY MARYANN         (gutierrez jorge)BAZE C 118 15.00    
TRACY DI VICENZO Feb27         (mendez luis)VALDIVIA JR 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
SA-4   04/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BICAMERAL Jan23         (baltas richard)VAZQUEZ A 118 5.00 14% 6.40    
CHLOE'S GIRL Mar11         (mccarthy mi)HERRERA A 113 2.00    
ANGEL OF FREEDOM Feb06         (shirreffs )GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 3.50    
ANGEL NADESHIKO Feb20         (gallagher patrick)SMITH E 118 6.00    
MIDNIGHT SILENCE Mar07 Jan29       (d'amato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00    
BROCADE Mar11 Feb26       (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 54% 0.80    
 
SA-5   04/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLORAL ESSENCE Feb18 Jan17       (mullins jeff)BAZE C 126 2.50 33% 2.10    
FLAT OUT JOY Mar06 Jan30 Jan07     (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.00    
LA PULCINELA Feb25 Jan30 Jan09     (ortiz sr)VAZQUEZ A 126 2.00 19% 4.20    
ZAHRA Feb27 Jan21       (knapp steve)HERRERA A 121 4.00 14% 6.00    
MORNING ADDICTION Jan23         (howey quinn)FREY KYLE 124 5.00    
STARSHIP DEFIANT Feb27 Jan07       (ruiz lorenzo)CURATOLO RYAN 124 8.00    
 
SA-6   04/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOTROD RIDE Mar25         (mccarthy s)VAN DRAYDEN 118 6.00    
ARTHUR SPOONER Apr09 Mar13 Feb20 Jan15 Jan01 (hanson ryan)BAZE C 118 2.00    
FORGOTTEN VOWS Mar13 Feb05       (drysdale n)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
BIG WILD WEST Feb21         (bonde jeff)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
SIPPIN N KISSIN Mar25 Mar07 Jan15     (solis walther)MALDONADO E 118 5.00    
VANISKY Feb06 Jan15       (bonde jeff)HERRERA A 113 3.00    
PAULAS CAUSE Feb25 Feb05       (aguayo vernon)ESPINOZA JUAN 111 30.00 15% 5.80    
 
SA-7   04/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 3 F PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADIHA Mar26 Mar11 Feb04 Jan15 Jan02 (solis walther)BAZE C 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  EXACTLY WENDY Mar26 Feb25 Feb04 Jan02   (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
ROSE MADDOX Apr01 Mar11 Feb13     (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
FUNNY FELINE Mar19 Feb19 Jan28     (koriner brian)SMITH E 120 3.50    
GIANNA'S WILD CAT Feb13         (dollase craig)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
GIRL RANGER Mar12 Jan08       (mccarthy mi)HERRERA A 115 5.00    
EMERALD LAKE Mar26 Feb11 Jan08     (alvarado r)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 11% 7.70    
 
SA-8   04/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAR CHUM (AUS) Mar25 Feb20 Feb06     (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  OCTOPUS         (eurton peter)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.50 13% 6.50    
SHARP WARNING Jan09 Jan02       (monascal)ELLINGWOOD A 113 30.00    
HEARTFULLOFSTARS Mar26 Feb20 Jan28     (alvarez g)BAZE C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN TREASURE         (alvarado d)BLANC B 122 5.00 5% 17.20    
STARSHIP CHEWBACCA Feb26 Feb12 Jan17     (fales matt)HERRERA A 117 5.00    
QUICK FINISH Mar11 Feb21 Jan07     (blacker da)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 13% 6.90    
VERY IRISH Mar25 Feb27 Feb11     (dealba cesa)RAMIREZ RICARDO 117 20.00    
CHARGE CASH Mar26 Feb20 Feb05 Jan09   (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 12.00    
10  SLAM DUNK SERMON Mar26 Feb27       (marquez p)FREY KYLE 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.

 

 
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