Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Friday - April 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   04/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERBIAN SAILOR Mar24 Mar12 Feb27 Jan30 Jan14 (ashauer norman)HIRALDO JOHN 125 4.50    
GHOST STRATEGY Feb27 Jan22       (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 125 3.00 16% 5.30    
MORE THAN HAMAZING Apr03         (jackson d)COURT K 125 15.00    
JACKS SPRING BREAK Apr01 Mar12 Jan30 Jan16   (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.50 51% 0.90    
OTHER TIMES Apr01 Mar24 Mar13     (rhea sherry)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 12.00    
ACCEL JOE Feb27 Feb13 Jan22     (williams bl)COURT J 120 20.00    
TRAFFIC CONTROL Apr03 Feb27 Feb12 Jan22   (can)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 3.00 7% 14.20    
POINT BLANK Mar31 Mar13 Feb19 Jan29 Jan16 (fires william )QUINONEZ S 118 5.00    
 
OP-2   04/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAHMS IS WHO Mar27 Jan08       (tranquilino santi)BOREL H 119 30.00    
MILLIGANMIKEANDME Mar18 Feb25 Jan23     (riecken bruce)WALES T 117 10.00 15% 5.70    
FLIRTATIOUS SMILE Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Jan14 Jan02 (martin timot)JORDAN R 115 6.00 13% 6.60    
PURE SILK Mar18 Feb25 Jan09     (green aid)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 10.00 18% 4.60    
HIGHTAILING Feb25         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
BACKGATE BELLE Feb21         (prather john )PEREIRA TIAGO 117 12.00    
SCR  FORTUNA ADIUVAT Apr03 Mar18 Mar06 Feb11   (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 4.00    
TONE IT UP Feb27 Jan22 Jan07     (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 114 1.80    
 
OP-3   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLOTTES WAY Mar24 Mar12 Feb13     (villafranco )MEDELLIN ERICK 114 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  CANDY ANNE Mar31 Feb04 Jan14 Jan03   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 125 4.50 8% 11.70    
ADELE'S BLING Mar24         (durham danele)WALES T 125 30.00    
CYCOLOGIST Mar24         (ortiz a)JORDAN R 120 8.00    
MY DADDY'S TRAINER Feb25 Jan09       (zito nicholas)CANCHARI ALEX 121 30.00    
MANDONA Mar24 Feb27 Jan30     (morse l)COURT K 125 5.00    
MAGGIE'S WILL Mar27 Feb27 Feb13     (borel renay)BOREL H 121 20.00    
PONTIFFANY Mar13 Jan17 Jan03     (barrett roddi)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 15.00    
SENSING GOLD Mar27         (cangemi daniel)CULP BRIANNE 114 30.00    
10  TRUEBLUEGIRL Mar27 Mar06 Feb13     (prather h)QUINONEZ S 121 6.00 6% 16.60    
11  CANDY'S STORY Mar27 Feb27       (hartman chris)HIRALDO JOHN 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
OP-4   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALADO Mar05 Feb11 Jan01     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
BIG BOSS BEN Feb27 Feb11 Jan15     (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 18.90    
AMONGST FRIENDS Mar18 Feb13 Jan07     (matthews ran)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 12.00    
HANKS Mar24 Feb12 Jan07     (hawley wesley)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50 6% 14.80    
VODKA N WATER Apr07 Feb26 Feb11 Jan14   (moy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00    
OTTOMAN EMPIRE Mar06 Feb11       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
RIDGEPOINTE         (von donn)QUINONEZ S 118 12.00    
MOUNT ATHOS         (brisset )SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
SCR  WINDCRACKER Mar24 Feb20 Jan15 Jan01   (compton greg)COURT K 122 6.00    
 
OP-5   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETNESS TO Mar25 Mar06 Feb25 Feb11 Jan02 (westermann ronald)BOREL H 125 12.00    
HOUSTON MIRACLE         (hornsby tammy)WALES T 121 12.00 10% 9.00    
CHAI TEA Mar31 Mar17 Feb25 Jan23 Jan14 (martin timot)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00    
BOOTLEGGING GIRL         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00    
STORMY SERMON Jan28         (gonzalez jai)JORDAN R 120 20.00    
HALF SCOUT Mar31 Mar17 Feb18 Jan23 Jan14 (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 4.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  TWENTYTWENTYREDO Mar19 Feb11 Jan29 Jan07   (creighton brett)COURT K 121 6.00    
MO STYLISH Mar25         (wilson melton)CANCHARI ALEX 125 15.00    
EARLY DISMISSAL         (witt ii)HIRALDO JOHN 125 6.00 15% 5.90    
10  MY LITTLE TETON         (rhea sherry)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 20.00 11% 7.80    
11  DERONDA Feb25         (moquett ronal)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.00 18% 4.40    
 
OP-6   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FABLES LOVE AFFAIR Apr01 Mar24 Feb18 Jan14   (riecken b)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
GIRLS A BULLET Mar18 Feb13 Jan15     (rosin w)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
BOATHOUSE VIEW Jan28         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00 19% 4.30    
LIL MISS HOT MESS Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 Jan28 Jan14 (murphy shane)BAILEY CHEL-C 111 4.00    
ROSE MARIE B Mar13 Feb21 Jan23     (wilson melton)CANCHARI ALEX 113 30.00    
CHAKRA Apr01 Mar04 Jan07     (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 2.50    
SHACKLEFORD COUNTY Mar18 Feb18       (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00 15% 5.90    
PROUD VICTORIA Mar11 Feb20 Jan23     (milligan allen)HIRALDO JOHN 113 8.00    
FIVE QUEENS         (mcbride burl)MEDELLIN ERICK 111 20.00    
10  TIGER BAIT Mar11 Feb20 Jan23     (williams mat)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 10.00 19% 4.30    
 
OP-7   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNSANDCONDITIONS Mar11 Feb27 Feb05 Jan13   (vance r)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 12.00    
NAME REJECTED Mar20 Mar05 Feb20 Jan01   (villafranco f)GARCIA MARTIN 125 8.00    
VULCAN Mar20 Jan23 Jan02     (rosin w)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 4.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  FULL IMPACT Jan02         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
OUR BLUE JAY Mar18 Mar01 Feb12     (antwine michae)HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00    
BIG THORN Mar24 Feb27 Jan16     (martin timot)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 8.00    
HAPPYMAC Apr02 Mar12 Jan23     (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
SITTIN ON GO Mar20 Jan08       (amescua rene)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
WILD FOR WYCLIFF Mar06 Feb11       (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
OP-8   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($107K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOLTO VIVACE Mar20 Jan16 Jan02     (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 125 4.50    
COUNTY FINAL Feb20 Jan30       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.50 33% 2.10    
TOP GUNNER Mar25 Feb19 Jan30     (ortiz al)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
COLONEL BOWMAN Feb27         (dio)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 6.00    
FLAP JACK Mar12 Feb17       (villafranco f)GARCIA MARTIN 125 8.00    
LYKAN Mar25 Mar05 Jan14     (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 4.00    
ONE FAST CAT Mar12 Feb20 Jan23 Jan01   (hiles ri)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
 
OP-9   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXINE'S CANDY         (vance david )MEDELLIN ERICK 114 12.00    
COASTAL CHARM         (moquett ronal)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 6.00    
QUICK MUNNY Feb24 Jan28       (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 8.00    
CHURCH SERVICE Mar20 Feb27 Feb13 Jan30 Jan07 (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 8.00    
OUT DANCING         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 5.00 24% 3.20    
CANDYWRAPPER CRAZY Mar20 Feb27 Jan30     (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 125 8.00    
DISTORTED SECRETS Mar20 Feb18 Jan15     (deville j)HIRALDO JOHN 121 15.00 7% 14.30    
ADRIA         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 121 12.00    
SOPHIE GRACE Mar27         (von don)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 4.50    
10  CHARTREUSE         (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 125 12.00    
11  BALI DREAMIN Mar27         (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.