Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Wednesday - April 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. GORDY         (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
LONE LEADER         (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
ALIBI IKE         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
RYVIT         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
TOP OF MY GAME         (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00    
TIA FRIDA         (fernandez ke)VILLASANA CARLOS 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OLCZYK         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
TWIST OF FAITH         (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/13/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKE WAY Feb26 Jan29       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
CALIFORNIA FLIRT Mar12 Feb23 Jan16     (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
SCR  TRICOLOUR Mar23 Feb21 Feb03 Jan02   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
TOLKIEN Mar09 Feb06       (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 126 15.00    
JEDREK Mar24 Feb18       (zito nicholas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 8.00    
BRODY'S FLY Mar12         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
SCR  BIG PAPER Apr01 Feb20 Jan29     (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 126 6.00 5% 18.50    
NEPOTISM Mar04 Feb25 Jan09     (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 126 1.40 52% 0.90    
SCR  BLUEBANK Mar02 Feb19       (caramori eduardo)MACHADO LUAN 126 50.00    
10  BROWN DELIVERS Mar03 Feb16       (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 6.00 20% 3.90    
11  VITAL SIGNS Mar25 Mar18       (blake j)ACHARD ALEX 118 50.00    
 
KEE-3   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LOT OF SPUNK Mar06 Feb24 Feb03     (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
DESTINY'S DARLING         (evans ii)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
KITTY'S PROMISE Mar25         (faircloth aveor)CANUTO THIAGO 111 20.00    
LA TOURISTA Mar18 Feb24 Jan14 Jan01   (vasquez sr)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
DELTA GAMMA CATS Mar19 Mar04 Jan29 Jan16   (west w)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 15% 5.60    
RUSSIAN ROULETTE Mar03 Jan26       (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
WAR EMPRESS         (minshall barbar)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00    
SCR  DULCIMER DAME Mar26 Mar02 Jan14     (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
FRILLS Mar26         (leitch daniel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
KEE-4   04/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE LIKE WATER Mar13         (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 125 6.00    
ONE FULL MOON         (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00    
STEAL MY SUNSHINE Mar18         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  RIDE THE PLAN Mar19 Feb18       (correas iv)GRAHAM J 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
AALIYAH EZRI         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
LITTLE BLAZE         (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 125 8.00    
RUNAWAY WIFE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
MERCI ROAD         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00    
CHARGING LADY         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 125 8.00    
10  SURF BALLROOM         (kobiskie da)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
11  WEST LOVE Mar10         (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
 
KEE-5   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISAWAY NOW Mar13         (robertson mc)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
MICKY FROM WEXFORD         (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 7% 13.80    
UNPREDICTABLE BAY Feb12         (ali alnaz)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00    
BUCKINGHAM PRINCE Mar12 Feb11       (casse w)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
INDIA INK (ARG) Mar05 Jan28       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
OVERBORE         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 7% 13.70    
UNDERHILL'S TAB Jan22         (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 33% 2.00    
LA BELLEZA NEGRA Mar17 Mar05 Jan22     (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
SKY AND SAND Feb26 Jan02       (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
10  CONAGHER Feb23         (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
11  KISSALOT Mar12 Feb12 Jan09     (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
12  VARATTI         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
KEE-6   04/13/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL KABONG         (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 8.00 15% 5.50    
DANVILLE Mar10 Feb05 Jan10     (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
COURAGEOUSLY Mar20 Feb19 Jan29 Jan13   (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
COOL RAGS Mar17 Feb23 Jan15     (foster eric)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 20% 4.00    
ARABIAN PRINCE Mar20 Jan22       (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50    
AVIANO Feb27         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
WIN WORTHY Mar10 Jan22       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6% 14.60    
LANDBISCUIT Mar02 Jan16       (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
KING VEGA (GB)         (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  CARILLO Feb19 Feb03 Jan08     (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 111 5.00    
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN Jan02         (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
 
KEE-7   04/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCK MOON Mar26 Feb26 Feb10 Jan15   (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 6% 16.10    
WHO'S THE STAR Mar06 Feb12 Jan02     (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
PORTOS         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
STAGE RAIDER Mar05         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
MILITARIST         (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
HIDDEN STASH Feb27 Jan15       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 13% 6.60    
LAUGHING BOY         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
PIRATE'S PUNCH Feb26 Jan22       (morey e)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
WINTER POOL Mar04 Jan09       (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  GHOSTLORE Mar12         (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
 
KEE-8   04/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANNAGANGSTA Mar13 Jan16       (schultz lindsa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 13% 6.90    
RISATA Mar03 Jan22       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00    
SCR  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Mar24 Mar04 Feb12 Jan01   (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
DREAM MUSIC Mar11         (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  J ZERTZ Mar03         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 30.00    
RUNNIN HAPPY Feb06         (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
MERCY WARREN Mar10 Jan22       (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
SANTA ELENA         (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  MAGNILOQUENT Feb16         (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.