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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Monday - April 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   04/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE PAIR OF HANDS Mar14 Feb16 Feb02     (aristone phil)RIVERA D 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
ECLIPTICALS SHORTY Mar04 Feb01       (stites flin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 6.00 7% 13.40    
MELITZA         (pessanha ney)RIVERA EDWIN 124 12.00 5% 17.90    
DUNE JUMPER Mar22 Mar02 Feb07 Jan18   (hogan will)GILARDO COURTNEY 114 3.00    
EIGHTY EIGHT KEYS Mar28 Feb22 Feb07 Jan18   (bedard alan)OCASIO M 124 5.00    
PAGEANT PRINCESS Mar01 Feb07       (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 4.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  BAI BAI SAMURAI Mar14 Jan03       (servis j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00    
 
PRX-2   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S COOKIN Feb16 Jan25       (ness jam)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00    
CICI UNIFIED Mar15 Mar02       (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
PRINCESS EMMA JO Mar15 Feb22 Jan25 Jan03   (rodriguez joh)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00    
DIVINE TWIST Mar16 Feb16       (guerrero j )IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 5.00    
TOURING MARYANNE Mar15 Feb16       (wyner ha)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
CRAZY SERENA Mar15 Jan28       (montoya marya)PENNINGTON F 118 3.50 6% 15.70    
PLATINUM ICE Mar15 Jan25       (coletti edward)RIVERA EDWIN 118 6.00    
 
PRX-3   04/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEAVER CREEK Mar22 Feb09       (velazquez dan)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
KODAPENDENT Mar01 Feb15 Jan18     (reid e)RIVERA EDWIN 123 5.00 44% 1.30    
RELATIVLEA Mar28 Feb27 Feb06     (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 118 3.00    
SCR  JUDICIAL RESTRAINT Mar21 Feb28 Feb07     (wilhelm je)GILARDO COURTNEY 116 20.00    
ESOR Mar18         (vazquez car)SOTO CINDY 123 15.00    
IMAGINE THIS Mar22 Jan05       (pollara fran)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 12.00    
ALPHA SIXTY SIX Mar22         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 6.00    
DIABLO D ORO Mar22 Feb09 Jan12     (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 123 4.00 7% 13.10    
MY COUSIN RICH Mar22 Feb09 Jan20     (vazquez jua)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 10.00    
 
PRX-4   04/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORB'S PARTY GIRL         (lake a)MILAN GERARDO 121 8.00    
SCR  BELLA MARIA         (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
DECISIVE CAUSE Mar16 Feb08       (hogan w)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00 9% 9.80    
STARSHIP CHARLY         (coletti ed)GILARDO COURTNEY 114 6.00 7% 13.20    
FRIEDER FANATIC Mar16 Feb22 Jan18     (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  FIGI'S TALE         (castillo mi)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 10.00    
ARDEAN Mar30 Mar14       (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  SOULSTONE Mar09 Jan08       (maroun douglas)CASTILLO A 121 4.00    
VEINTE         (hawthorne bobb)CORREA JULIO 121 12.00    
 
PRX-5   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLY THE SHOE Jan23         (bennett dale)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 4.00    
CATTY'S UNCLE Mar28         (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 6.00    
SOUTHERN RUNNER Mar08 Feb08 Jan18     (velazquez alfre)BEATO INOEL 118 6.00    
EGOT A POKER FACE Feb08 Jan18       (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 6.00    
B B BAD Mar22 Feb23 Jan20     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
MARATHONER Mar22 Jan06       (montoya )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00    
CUNEO Mar08 Feb23       (guerrero guada)CASTILLO A 118 3.50 29% 2.40    
ALWAYS DRINKING Mar25 Feb23       (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 6.00    
 
PRX-6   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY TEMPLE Mar14 Feb15 Jan10     (solis jacinto)RIVERA D 123 4.50 9% 10.10    
THE BIG GREY Mar14 Feb15 Feb06 Jan18   (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 123 8.00    
CHARLIES SAFARI Mar15 Jan17       (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 5.00    
JARLIAN Feb15 Jan19       (catalano l)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 8.00    
DISTRACTANDATTACK Mar22 Mar08 Jan10     (kantarmaci ilk)ADORNO ABNER 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
ARTISTIC REASON Feb13 Feb03       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
BIRCHMOUNT RD Mar14 Feb21 Jan03     (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
MAINE Mar23 Mar07 Feb07 Jan18   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
 
PRX-7   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HALLIGIRL Mar15 Feb16 Jan05     (pino michael )RIVERA D 118 5.00    
SEIZE THE WHISKEY Mar15 Feb24 Feb02 Jan25 Jan04 (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 11% 8.40    
PRINCESS KAIRA Mar28 Mar14 Feb22 Feb16 Jan25 (crowell )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 10.00 10% 8.80    
LADY MISTRESS Mar28 Mar15 Feb22 Feb08 Jan31 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 6.00 15% 5.90    
IOVA Mar14 Feb22 Jan18 Jan03   (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 123 4.00 12% 7.30    
SHETALKSTOMUCH Mar14 Feb08 Jan14     (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
RISQUE'S JEWEL Mar16 Feb28 Feb16     (bouchard lesl)RANGEL JOEZER 123 8.00    
GAVICHI Mar16 Mar01 Feb08 Feb01   (vazquez car)SOTO CINDY 123 6.00    
GOING GOING GONE Mar14 Mar05 Feb08 Jan22   (ashton patr)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 15.00    
 
PRX-8   04/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTED INDIAN Mar22         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 27% 2.80    
DECKOLOGY Mar15 Feb22       (taylor joseph)CRUZ JOEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
TOWN JAK Mar29 Feb21 Feb08 Jan31   (bedard alan)RIVERA EDWIN 123 8.00 8% 11.30    
MACH TRIAL Mar22 Mar09 Mar01 Jan31 Jan10 (tapsas elias)BOWMAN ADAM 123 4.50 27% 2.70    
SILVER FURY Mar15 Jan03       (riviezzo ral)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 10.00    
KADENS COURAGE Mar22 Mar09 Feb22 Jan25 Jan05 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  ARRECIFE Mar22 Feb01 Jan04     (dunn john)RANGEL JOEZER 123 15.00    
SCR  ALCOOLS Feb18 Jan14       (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
FOREST FIRE Mar29 Mar08 Feb23 Jan17 Jan05 (correnti)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
 
PRX-9   04/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST INTENTIONS Mar21 Mar07 Feb09     (guerrero)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
SCR  SNOW FORECAST Mar28 Feb28 Jan05     (kirby t)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
OCEANO ROSSO Mar21 Feb28 Feb09 Jan04   (hogan w)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
ORIGINALY FROM DOT Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb09 Jan26 (riviezzo ra)OCASIO JONATHAN 126 8.00    
ZENSATIONAL DIXIE Mar29 Feb15 Feb01 Jan19   (mercedes ped)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 15.00    
HIGHTIME VALENTINE Mar28         (castillo mich)OCASIO M 123 8.00    
WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT Mar21 Feb28 Feb09 Jan19 Jan04 (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  CRAZY BEA Mar29         (montoya marya)BOWMAN ADAM 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
BLUNT FORCE Mar29 Mar14       (aristone phil)RIVERA D 126 5.00 30% 2.30    
10  STORMBEAM Apr04 Feb28 Feb09 Jan26 Jan05 (riviezzo ral)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 12.00 6% 15.50    
 
PRX-10   04/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALEJANDRO'S TEAM Apr07 Mar15 Mar01 Feb16 Feb09 (riviezzo ralp)MILAN GERARDO 123 8.00    
FLAT OUT FLYING Mar19 Feb07 Jan03     (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
THEY SHOT SONNY Mar22 Mar09 Feb08     (guerrero gua)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00    
NOON TIME GEM Mar29 Feb22       (penaloza mig)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 15.00    
SCR  KINGSVILLE Mar22 Mar07 Feb18 Feb07   (padilla-p)VARGAS A 123 8.00    
MOTI Mar11 Feb11 Jan13     (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00 16% 5.20    
GRIT'N'GRIND Mar09 Mar02 Feb16     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 12% 7.10    
SKIPIN ON ORCHARD Mar23 Feb22 Feb15 Jan04   (brown r)PENNINGTON F 126 2.00    
RUNNINGFORHOME Mar23 Jan02       (santaella-ca)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00    
 
PRX-11   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLING SPEED Mar15 Feb22 Jan28 Jan22 Jan09 (king clare)RICHARDSON JASON 126 3.50    
HEY DEWZPOTS Mar02 Feb08 Jan12     (catalano l)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00    
PRESTO CHANGE O Mar23 Feb21 Jan10     (wilhelm je)MELENDEZ Y 113 20.00    
ALMOST EVIL Mar14 Feb01       (soto c)OCASIO M 123 20.00 6% 15.90    
TORN JEANS Feb10 Jan14       (flores-coba)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 116 8.00    
MY MASTERPIECE Feb11 Feb02 Jan06     (gallimore tr)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 15.00    
INTERVENTION Mar30 Mar14 Mar02 Feb21   (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 20.00    
STONEHARBOR BLONDE Mar23         (vazquez car)SOTO CINDY 123 4.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  WINDY GLO SAL Mar15 Feb09 Jan19     (beattie m)AGUILAR M 123 5.00 30% 2.30    
10  RISEN CHANGE Apr04 Mar23 Mar14 Mar07 Feb21 (hogan w)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
SCR  HAPPY LOUDON Mar23 Feb21 Jan26     (wilhelm je)GILARDO COURTNEY 116 20.00 7% 13.00    
12  QUEEN ABARRIO Feb21 Feb01 Jan10     (dominguez ma)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 10.00 8% 12.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.