Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - April 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNMARIA Mar22 Mar09 Jan04     (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.00 69% 0.40    
2  COLORINCOLONEL Mar09 Feb12       (estvanko ri)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50 ★    
3  PROMISES FOREVER Mar24 Mar09       (flores )PILARES P 126 3.00 ★    
4  BE AUTHENTIC Mar09 Feb16 Jan19 Jan01   (bird dann)CORREA L 124 8.00 ★    
5  CHECK SIX Mar22 Mar01 Feb12 Jan04   (murillo ro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  RACK DADDY Mar23 Feb22 Jan21 Jan01   (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 10.00    
7  JILLY FROM JERSEY Mar22 Mar02 Jan21     (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 6.00    
 
MVR-2   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND DEAL Apr04 Mar23 Feb23 Jan15 Jan04 (haehn r)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★    
2  CANDY KINGDOM Mar19 Feb18 Jan05     (zook s)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00    
3  ROYAL DRAGOON Mar23 Feb23 Jan26     (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  HUNTER SCOTT Mar10 Feb18 Jan21     (acevedo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
5  MUNDO MIX Mar21 Mar10       (caramori ed)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 5.00 ★    
6  MIDNIGHT J J Mar19 Mar09 Feb10 Jan14   (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 2.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELLOILEDCAT Mar14 Mar08 Mar02 Jan31 Jan15 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
2  TREASURE WILBURNYA Mar23 Mar02 Jan31     (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 ★    
3  CRYPTONIC CATWALK Mar23 Mar02       (brown t)RIVERA R 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
4  SANIBEL Mar23 Mar14 Jan15     (murillo r)CORREA L 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  DISCREET ENERGY Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 Jan25   (jones e)MUSARRO JOE 126 3.00 ★    
6  APPEALING SENORITA Mar23 Mar02       (salcedo ram)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.50    
 
MVR-4   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS Feb21         (rone penny)RIVERA R 119 1.60 58% 0.70    
1A  DE BOLT LIGHT Mar18 Mar02 Jan15 Jan02   (cline c)LEON SONNY 124 1.60 ★    
2  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Mar14 Mar02 Jan31 Jan22 Jan14 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 ★    
3  COWCHI Mar18 Feb18       (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 117 8.00    
4  AFLAXENDREAM Mar01         (laughe)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  QUEEN OF THE TILES Mar18 Feb28 Jan15     (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
SCR  EARLY BLOOMER Mar15 Jan19       (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 ★    
7  SURE FIRE READY Mar18 Feb18 Jan05     (richards rusty)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KADESH Mar22 Feb26 Feb15 Jan14   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
1A  ROSAS WAY Mar19 Mar01 Feb14     (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50    
2  IMTHEPRINCE Mar18 Mar01 Feb21 Jan22   (jones e)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
3  SEMI CHARMED DAY Mar24 Mar07 Jan25 Jan12   (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 8% 11.80    
4  STAR HAWK Mar07 Feb16 Jan14     (erdel john)RIVERA R 124 10.00 ★    
5  GILES Mar22 Mar10 Jan12     (spiess m)LEON SONNY 124 1.80 31% 2.30    
6  WARRIOR'S DREAM Mar22 Mar09 Feb14 Jan01   (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INTENTIONAL WALK Apr02 Mar10       (pizzurro jo)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
2  FREE SAILIN Mar21 Feb19       (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 117 4.50 27% 2.70    
3  SCARED WARIOR Mar21         (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 ★    
4  GOOD IDEA Apr04 Mar23 Feb18     (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50 ★    
5  BREEZY MONEY Mar21 Mar08 Feb23 Jan15 Jan04 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  PERFECT SENSE Jan22 Jan04       (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
7  JOHN'S ROCK Mar04 Feb17 Jan23     (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 6.00    
8  LADY'S BOY Mar18         (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00    
9  BEACH FRONT Mar21 Mar02 Feb19 Jan14   (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ERV'S WENCH Mar26         (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  BETHABARA Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 Jan01   (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 2.00    
2  POWER BANKER Mar31 Mar22 Mar07 Jan26 Jan01 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 3.50 ★    
3  IMMACULATE HEART Mar08         (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 ★    
4  BLACK KETTLE Mar19 Mar08 Feb19     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
5  SWEET QUEEN BEE Mar14 Feb15 Jan21     (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 6.00 15% 5.80    
6  JLO CAN DANCE Mar26 Feb23 Jan19     (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
7  MARIPOSA D'ORO Mar18 Feb19 Jan15     (miller)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
MVR-8   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANGA MAN Mar16 Feb15 Jan15     (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 6.00    
2  LUCKY STREAK Mar16 Feb15 Jan15     (gorham )PILARES P 124 5.00    
3  BISCUITS AND GRITS         (rone pe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  BIG ON BIG Mar18 Feb18 Jan24     (cowans d)RIVERA R 126 3.50 22% 3.40    
5  HENRY MAC         (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
6  JUST TAPIT IN         (waltermire bruce)LEON SONNY 124 10.00 ★    
7  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Mar16 Feb15 Jan24     (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 9% 9.90    
 
MVR-9   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY D'VALENTINE Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Feb01 Jan25 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 119 10.00    
1A  HADLEN Apr02 Mar26 Mar10 Feb16   (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 15% 5.50    
2  EXCEEDING Mar26         (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
3  TELL ME A SECRET         (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 ★    
4  HAIL TO HELEN Feb25 Feb10       (demeritte la)ROMERO GREGORY 126 5.00    
5  GREEDY ALGORITHM         (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 ★    
6  FAST TRANSIT Mar10         (huffman pat)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.00    
7  KIMALLOSA'S HALO         (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 36% 1.80    
8  MY TOMMY LEE Mar31 Mar10 Feb24 Jan23   (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.